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← Back to GamesDec 31, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 5

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 35%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State +7.5

Edge: Kansas State +7.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 31, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
71421345
Kansas StateKansas State
1003720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-710-1410-3513-3513-4520-45
Kansas StateAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALAKSALATO744ydPUNT30ydFG1138ydPUNT626ydTD188ydTD669ydPUNT32ydTD663ydDOWNS1873ydTD798ydEND1-1ydTD346ydTO32ydTD117ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydFG854ydPUNT416ydPUNT57ydTD351ydPUNT3-3ydFG619ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydTD1071ydUncategorized564yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Kansas State
StatisticAlabamaKansas State
Passing15-2218-35
Pass Yards321210
Rush Yards175191
Total Yards496401
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-107-18
Penalties5-456-40
Possession24:2634:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
15/21, 321 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jahmyr Gibbs
15 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Jermaine Burton
3 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
18/35, 210 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
22 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kade Warner
5 REC, 48 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 4 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.69

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Knowles run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

Will Howard pass intercepted Jordan Battle return for no gain to the Alab 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 10 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.00

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 9 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Alab 20

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade Warner

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Ty Zentner 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.57

Bryce Young sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 41

3rd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 10 yds to the KanSt 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 12

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +6.73

Deuce Vaughn run for 88 yds for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the Alab 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +4.56

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 60 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 11

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the KanSt 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 6 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Howard pass incomplete to Kade Warner

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 10 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.35

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 47 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Adrian Martinez run for 8 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Touching (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 45

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Will Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 44

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 13 yds to the Alab 31

4th & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 6 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the Alab 19

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.88

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 15 yds to the Alab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Andrew Leingang) to the Alab 9

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Howard pass complete to Kade Warner for 9 yds to the Alab 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the Alab 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the Alab 4

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.13

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 22 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Jase McClellan run for 12 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 28 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 22 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 32 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Howard pass intercepted Brian Branch return for 2 yds to the KanSt 17

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jase McClellan run for 17 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 19

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KanSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 2 yds to the KanSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the Alab 27

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

James Burnip punt for 38 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 12 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KanSt 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.40

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 36 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 20

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik Knowles

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Ty Zentner 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 23 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Booker) to the Alab 40

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bryce Young run for 5 yds to the Alab 45

3rd & 13Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryce Young sacked by VJ Payne for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 41

4th & 17Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.79

Will Howard sacked by Malachi Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 23

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 27

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 24 yds, downed at the Alab 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 3 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +5.22

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 14

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 7 yds to the KanSt 21

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 29 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the KanSt 45

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 7 yds to the KanSt 27 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 37

1st & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the KanSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bryce Young pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 yds

Will Reichard 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Will Howard sacked by Brian Branch for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 6 yds to the KanSt 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 10 yds to the KanSt 32

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 53 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 15 yds to the Alab 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 30

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 29

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.37

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KanSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 30

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KanSt 38

2nd & 12Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.38

DJ Giddens run for 30 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 10 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the Alab 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben Sinnott

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the Alab 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Schippers run for 1 yd for a TD (Ty Zentner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Roydell Williams run for 12 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 7Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.90

Jamarion Miller run for 38 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
75%
8 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play