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← Back to GamesJan 10, 2023Week 1
TCUTCU
7
-Final
65
GeorgiaGeorgia

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 11.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia 77%

Market (consensus)

Georgia -13.5

Edge: TCU +13.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
70007
GeorgiaGeorgia
1721141365

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-010-017-724-731-745-752-759-765-7
GeorgiaTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOTCUGEOPUNT3-2ydTD557ydTO38ydFG627ydTD575ydTD470ydPUNT631ydTD1192ydTO43ydTD1166ydTO3-8ydTD222ydEND29ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydTD455ydPUNT624ydTD984ydDOWNS724ydTD954ydDOWNS4-6ydTD119ydPUNT520ydEND831yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Georgia
StatisticTCUGeorgia
Passing14-2320-28
Pass Yards152335
Rush Yards36254
Total Yards188589
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-119-13
Penalties5-504-30
Possession23:0136:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
14/22, 152 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Emari Demercado
14 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Derius Davis
5 REC, 101 YDS
Georgia
passing
Stetson Bennett
18/25, 304 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kenny McIntosh
8 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Brock Bowers
7 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Steve Avila) to the TCU 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 3 yds to the TCU 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 43

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Xavier Truss) to the Geo 38

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Geo 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.21

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 21 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (Arian Smith) to the TCU 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Stetson Bennett run for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Duggan run for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 2 yds to the TCU 21

3rd & 14Penalty+10 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Javon Bullard) to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.39

Derius Davis run for 2 yds to the TCU 33 Derius Davis fumbled, recovered by Geo Javon Bullard

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brock Bowers run for 5 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.28

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 15 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the TCU 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell Washington

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 4 yds to the TCU 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jack Podlesny 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.67

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 60 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Geo 6

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Geo 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Max Duggan run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Kenny McIntosh run for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Emari Demercado run for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Max Duggan sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 41

2nd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Duggan pass complete to Corey Wren for 1 yd to the TCU 42

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 11 yds to the Geo 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the Geo 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 35 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kendall Milton run for no gain to the TCU 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Stetson Bennett run for 12 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the TCU 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 8 yds to the TCU 25

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 22

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.58

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 25 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 8 yds to the TCU 23

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.06

Max Duggan pass intercepted Javon Bullard return for no gain to the Geo 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Brock Bowers run for 10 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Kendall Milton run for 9 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.31

Kendall Milton run for no gain to the TCU 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 3 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Kenny McIntosh run for 13 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darnell Washington) to the TCU 41

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the TCU 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey

3rd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.74

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 24 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the TCU 5

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 2 yds to the TCU 22

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Duggan sacked by Bear Alexander for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 12

3rd & 18Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Max Duggan pass intercepted Javon Bullard return for 3 yds to the TCU 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 35

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Geo 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai Mitchell

4th & 3Punt+58 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GEORGIA 20 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TCU 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 28 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the TCU 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Daijun Edwards

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 10 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 5 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Emari Demercado

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 16

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Ladd McConkey run for 14 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Arian Smith

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.36

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 28 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the TCU 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 14

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.26

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.38

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 23 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Geo 43

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Max Duggan sacked by Robert Beal Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Gunnar Henderson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Geo 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the TCU 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.48

Carson Beck pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 20 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Branson Robinson run for no gain to the TCU 29

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 11 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Branson Robinson run for 12 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Branson Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23

2nd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Duggan sacked by Tykee Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 15 yds to the TCU 29

4th & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA +0.16

Max Duggan sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 19

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Branson Robinson run for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 41

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the TCU 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the Geo 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the Geo 31

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Sevaughn Clark run for 18 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TCU 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Sevaughn Clark run for 3 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 42

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 43

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
66%
32 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play