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← Back to GamesDec 27, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Utah State 39%

Market (consensus)

Utah State +8

Edge: Utah State +8 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
32101438
Utah StateUtah State
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-33-103-2410-3110-38
Utah StateMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMUSMEMPUNT635ydPUNT725ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydFG1264ydFG937ydTD872ydDOWNS725ydTD550ydPUNT3-6ydTD1052ydEND13ydTO516ydPUNT34ydPUNT614ydTO913ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT648ydTD592ydTD747ydTO633ydTD558ydTO416ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Utah State
StatisticMemphisUtah State
Passing20-2915-23
Pass Yards284135
Rush Yards146126
Total Yards430261
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-145-13
Penalties5-558-54
Possession36:0623:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
20/29, 284 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jevyon Ducker
13 CAR, 83 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Eddie Lewis
5 REC, 83 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Utah State
passing
Bishop Davenport
7/9, 100 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Calvin Tyler Jr.
16 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Brian Cobbs
6 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 12 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.57

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 33 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Asa Martin

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 33

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the UthSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 33

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Terrell Vaughn

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 7 yds to the Memph 25

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.27

Seth Henigan sacked by Poukesi Vakauta for a loss of 13 yards to the Memph 12

2nd & 23Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Jevyon Ducker run for 8 yds to the Memph 20

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Byron Vaughns) to the Memph 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 48 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 3 yds to the UthSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cooper Legas pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Jaden Smith) to the UthSt 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.36

Gabriel Rogers run for 18 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.99

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 28 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sutton Smith run for 5 yds to the UthSt 12

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Sutton Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Seth Henigan pass complete to Cameron Wright for 7 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Eddie Lewis

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chris Howard 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 13 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the UthSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Cooper Legas run for 11 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Cooper Legas sacked by Jaylon Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 34

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Cooper Legas sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 36

4th & 14Field Goal Good+53 yds

Connor Coles 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the Memph 33

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.75

Asa Martin run for 15 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Martin, Asa rush for 8 yards to the UTAHST44, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Carter, Davion) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 9 yds to the Memph 47

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Taylor, Roc, PENALTY UTAHST offside (Grzesiak, Daniel) 5 yards to the UTAHST48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Asa Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 12 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Terrell Vaughn run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 11 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 5 yds to the UthSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Wilmore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 15 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roc Taylor run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Jevyon Ducker run for 5 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 22

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 22 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr.

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.49

Cooper Legas sacked by Cam'Ron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 21

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 31 yds, downed at the Memph 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 13 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 10 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 10 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 6 yds to the UthSt 9

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 7

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.66

Jevyon Ducker run for 6 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to John Hassell

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Cooper Legas run for 10 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Terrell Vaughn run for no gain to the UthSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.87

Cooper Legas pass intercepted Sylvonta Oliver return for no gain to the UthSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Gabriel Rogers

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joseph Scates run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 15

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UthSt 20

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Legas, Cooper pass complete to Vaughn, Terrell for 16 yards to the UTAHST36, PENALTY UTAHST holding 10 yards to the UTAHST10, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the UthSt 20

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Cooper Legas run for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Cooper Legas sacked by James Stewart for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 25

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 2 yds to the UthSt 27

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 34

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 1 yd to the Memph 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Seth Henigan run for 9 yds to the Memph 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph Scates

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34

3rd & 11Penalty+14 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Drake, Koby, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Anyanwu, Michael) 14 yards to the MEMPHIS48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 9 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Asa Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 43

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.26

Seth Henigan sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 48

3rd & 22Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Matt Dale) to the Memph 43

3rd & 27Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 36 Seth Henigan fumbled, forced by Patrick Joyner Jr., recovered by UthSt Byron Vaughns , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 38

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for no gain to the Memph 35

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 40

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 4 yds to the Memph 17

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tavian Coleman) to the Memph 22

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 42 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Seth Henigan sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 6 yds to the UthSt 31

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Henigan, Seth pass complete to Martin, Asa for 2 yards to the UTAHST29, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding 10 yards to the UTAHST41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, downed at the UthSt 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Otto Tia for 9 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Davenport, Bishop pass incomplete to Cobbs, Brian, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Oliver, Sylvonta) 15 yards to the UTAHST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 14 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 44 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Jevyon Ducker run for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Gabriel Rogers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.03

Asa Martin run for 22 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the UthSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Asa Martin run for no gain to the UthSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Bishop Davenport run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 12 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Otto Tia

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.55

Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+35 ydsPPA -4.32

Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Sylvonta Oliver return for 35 yds to the Memph 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 6 yds to the Memph 48

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Sutton Smith run for no gain to the Memph 48

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.93

Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 48

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.16

Jevyon Ducker run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Levi Williams pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 1 yd to the Memph 44

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Memph 39

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Levi Williams run for 10 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.21

Levi Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Joel Williams return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 17

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 14

3rd & 16Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 11

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
52%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play