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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Assumption by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Merrimack 31%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Assumption
0001717
Merrimack
21032145

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284221-024-743-17
MerrimackAssumption

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERASSMERASSASSMERASSMERASSMERASSMERASSMERASSASSMERASSMERASSMERASSMERASSASSMERASSASSMERASSMERASSPUNT36ydDOWNS630ydTD764ydTD370ydPUNT36ydTD654ydPUNT520ydPUNT842ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT527ydPUNT3-2ydEND10ydPUNT3-2ydFG519ydPUNT30ydPUNT69ydDOWNS734ydPUNT30ydTD985ydTD865ydPUNT418ydTD324ydTO3-9ydFG4-1ydTO2-3ydTD228ydPUNT3-18ydPUNT3-5ydTO231yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Assumption and Merrimack
StatisticAssumptionMerrimack
Passing15-3212-26
Pass Yards123159
Rush Yards116126
Total Yards239285
Turnovers32
3rd Down0-134-13
Penalties6-4210-78
Possession31:5028:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Assumption
passing
Jacob Cady
15/30, 123 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacob Cady
14 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Connor Milks
4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
Merrimack
passing
Jack Zergiotis
12/26, 159 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyvon Edmonds Jr.
12 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Jacari Carter
5 REC, 79 YDS

Play-by-Play

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 62 yds , Isaiah Huff return for 22 yds to the MERRIMACK 43 MERRIMACK Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the AsCol 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 63 yds , Tre'Sean Bouie return for 17 yds to the MERRIMACK 48 ASSUMPTION Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah Huff) to the AsCol 10

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 63 yds , Isaiah Huff return for 28 yds to the AsCol 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Victor Dawson run for 3 yds to the Mrmck 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Victor Dawson run for 3 yds to the Mrmck 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Pat Conroy

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 59 yds , Isaiah Huff return for 22 yds to the AsCol 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Massimo Sgambati kickoff for 54 yds , Rodney Samson return for 34 yds to the MERRIMACK 31 MERRIMACK Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Mrmck 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Massimo Sgambati kickoff for 61 yds , Rodney Samson return for 14 yds to the Mrmck 18

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+94 yds

Massimo Sgambati kickoff for 59 yds , Garry Rosemond Jr. return for 94 yds for a TD, (Lliam Davis KICK)

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.53

Berrell Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99
2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.91

Jacob Cady run for 22 yds to the Mrmck 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Jacob Cady run for 9 yds to the Mrmck 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Cady pass complete to Berrell Neal for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 36

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jacob Cady run for 1 yd to the Mrmck 35

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Zergiotis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lliam Davis KICK), (Lliam Davis KICK),

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the Mrmck 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.92

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jacari Carter for 48 yds to the Mrmck 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Tyler Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Jack Zergiotis run for 10 yds to the AsCol 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt Brehon run for 2 yds to the AsCol 1

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+40 ydsPPA -8.04

Garry Rosemond Jr. 40 Yd Interception Return (Lliam Davis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jacob Cady pass complete to Vinnie DiCarlo for 8 yds to the AsCol 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Ethan Friberg, broken up by Myles Taylor

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jacob Cady punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jacob Cady run for 7 yds to the AsCol 17

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacob Cady run for a loss of 1 yard to the AsCol 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Raekwon Washington, broken up by Myles Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Victor Dawson

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.57

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Hayden Fisher for 22 yds for a TD, (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jacari Carter for 11 yds to the AsCol 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Victor Dawson, broken up by Joseph MacDougall

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.64

E'Lijah Gray run for 21 yds to the AsCol 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Tyler Roberts

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 40 yds , Jacari Carter returns for 6 yds to the Mrmck 16

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jacob Cady pass complete to Cameron Reagan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Jacob Cady pass incomplete for a 1ST down MERRIMACK Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AsCol 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Cady run for 4 yds to the AsCol 49

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16
3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Jacob Cady pass complete to Raekwon Washington for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mrmck 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to LJ Robinson for 14 yds to the Mrmck 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

LJ Robinson run for 7 yds to the Mrmck 38

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Matt Brehon run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 10 yds to the AsCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MERRIMACK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AsCol 45

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 6 yds to the AsCol 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jelani Mason

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Jack Zergiotis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the AsCol 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 35 yds

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Gavin Johnson, broken up by Garry Rosemond Jr.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

James Henderson run for 2 yds to the AsCol 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

James Henderson run for 1 yd to the AsCol 10

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Victor Dawson run for 2 yds to the AsCol 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Victor Dawson run for 2 yds to the AsCol 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.50

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to E'Lijah Gray for a loss of 8 yards to the AsCol 42

4th & 7Punt+14 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Jacari Carter returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Cady pass complete to Raekwon Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the AsCol 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jacob Cady pass complete to Baley Collier for 6 yds to the AsCol 23

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 5 yds to the AsCol 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Pat Conroy, broken up by Tre'Sean Bouie

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

MERRIMACK Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mrmck 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Matt Brehon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 49

4th & 8Punt+11 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 44 yds , Jacari Carter returns for 11 yds to the Mrmck 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Berrell Neal run for 6 yds to the AsCol 30

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.90

Berrell Neal run for 19 yds to the AsCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13
2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacob Cady pass complete to Sean Leonard for 2 yds to the Mrmck 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Sean Leonard

4th & 12Punt+12 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 45 yds , Juju Thomas returns for 12 yds to the Mrmck 47

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

E'Lijah Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mrmck 14

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Tyler Roberts

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

pass incomplete to E'Lijah Gray

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.19

Jacob Cady sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Mrmck 35

4th & 12Punt+9 yds

punt for no gain , Jacari Carter returns for 9 yds to the AsCol 25

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacob Cady pass complete to Berrell Neal for a loss of 1 yard to the AsCol 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Cady run for a loss of 1 yard to the AsCol 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Gavin Johnson, broken up by Anthony Witherstone

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Lliam Davis 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Pat Conroy for 13 yds to the AsCol 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Hayden Fisher

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 1 yd to the AsCol 11

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

E'Lijah Gray run for 5 yds to the AsCol 6

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacob Cady pass complete to Raekwon Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Cady pass complete to Raekwon Washington

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Baley Collier

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt Brehon run for 5 yds to the Mrmck 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Brehon run for 3 yds to the Mrmck 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Jack Zergiotis run for 3 yds to the Mrmck 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Tyler Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mrmck 39

3rd & 5Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.98

Jaylen Laudermilk run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mrmck 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.96

Jacob Cady pass complete to Connor Milks for 26 yds to the AsCol 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacob Cady run for 3 yds to the AsCol 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.12

Jacob Cady pass complete to Connor Milks for 21 yds to the Mrmck 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

James Henderson run for 1 yd to the Mrmck 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Baley Collier, broken up by Tre Jordan III

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Hayden Fisher

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Victor Dawson run for 5 yds to the AsCol 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete to Jacari Carter

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

MERRIMACK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AsCol 49

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.78

Jacob Cady run for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacob Cady pass complete to Connor Milks for 7 yds to the Mrmck 43

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacob Cady run for 6 yds to the Mrmck 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Berrell Neal run for 4 yds to the Mrmck 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Baley Collier for a 1ST down MERRIMACK Penalty, Defensive pass interference (4 Yards) to the Mrmck 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ASSUMPTION Penalty, false start (Isaiah Huff) to the Mrmck 34

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Berrell Neal run for 5 yds to the Mrmck 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete to Cameron Reagan

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MERRIMACK Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Mrmck 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Baley Collier

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Jacob Cady run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Chodak KICK)

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jelani Mason for 2 yds for a TD, (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mrmck 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mrmck 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jack Zergiotis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the Mrmck 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jelani Mason for 19 yds to the AsCol 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Hayden Fisher for 18 yds to the AsCol 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Pat Conroy, broken up by Dion Kuinlan for a 1ST down ASSUMPTION Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dion Kuinlan) to the AsCol 2 for a 1ST down

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 33 yds , Jacari Carter returns for no gain to the Mrmck 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Henderson run for 5 yds to the Mrmck 42

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

James Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mrmck 44

3rd & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.17

Jacob Cady sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the AsCol 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Jacob Cady pass complete to Gavin Johnson for 28 yds to the Mrmck 47 for a 1ST down

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.74

Jacob Cady pass complete to Connor Milks for 29 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Chodak KICK),

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Cady pass incomplete to Connor Milks ASSUMPTION Penalty, false start (Isaiah Huff) to the Mrmck 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Gavin Johnson

2nd & 19Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jacari Carter for 12 yds Jack Zergiotis fumbled, recovered by AsCol Joseph MacDougall

1st & 10Rush-18 yds

Matt Brehon run for a loss of 9 yards to the Mrmck 9 MERRIMACK Penalty, Offensive holding (-9 Yards) to the Mrmck 9

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

pass incomplete to Messiah Attakorah

4th & 11Field Goal Good+39 yds

Nicholas Chodak 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Raekwon Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrmck 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Gavin Johnson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Keith Mancini

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.03

Ryan Yost pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Henderson run for 7 yds to the AsCol 32

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

ASSUMPTION Penalty, false start (Isaiah Huff) to the AsCol 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ASSUMPTION Penalty, delay of game (Isaiah Huff) to the AsCol 22

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.27

Victor Dawson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jack Zergiotis run for 8 yds to the AsCol 20

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Gabriel Bertolazzo punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

James Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the AsCol 20

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ryan Yost sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the AsCol 18

3rd & 17Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.08

Ryan Yost sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the AsCol 7

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 2 yds to the AsCol 49

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mrmck 46

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

MERRIMACK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mrmck 41

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyvon Edmonds Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mrmck 44

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.59

Ryan Yost pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

James Henderson run for 31 yds to the Mrmck 44 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Assumption

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Merrimack

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
35%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th