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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dayton by 21.6

Home Win Probability

Presbyterian 12%

Market (consensus)

Presbyterian +20.5

Edge: Dayton -20.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
211410752
Presbyterian
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-217-2814-3521-3821-4528-52
PresbyterianDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYPREDAYPREPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYTD1165ydTD175ydTD543ydTD410ydPUNT66ydPUNT829ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT38ydTD1054ydTO3-6ydTD519ydTD375ydEND1-2ydPUNT417ydTD27ydFG925ydDOWNS835ydTD660ydTD675ydTD565ydTO422ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1451ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Presbyterian
StatisticDaytonPresbyterian
Passing6-1420-40
Pass Yards55364
Rush Yards294-9
Total Yards349355
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-143-12
Penalties3-254-38
Possession37:1222:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Shane Hamm
6/14, 55 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jake Chisholm
24 CAR, 156 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Luke Brenner
2 REC, 20 YDS
Presbyterian
passing
Tyler Wesley
16/28, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
JB Seay
5 CAR, 10 YDS
receiving
Dominic Kibby
7 REC, 212 YDS, 3 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 29 yds , Alec Keathley return for a loss of 1 yard to the Dayt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Shane Hamm pass complete to Luke Brenner for 11 yds to the Dayt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Chisholm run for 6 yds to the Presb 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Shane Hamm pass complete to Kevin Roberts for 6 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Shane Hamm run for 16 yds to the Presb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shane Hamm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 27

2nd & 11Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Chisholm run for 19 yds to the Presb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-10 yds

HAMM, Shane pass to the left complete for -3 yards to BRENNER, Luke caught at the PC11 and advanced to the PC11 (HALLORAN, Keegan). PENALTY DAY Illegal Block in the Back on ROBERTS, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the PC8 to the PC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the Presb 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Shane Hamm pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Nate Hayden pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Parker Maddrey) to the Presb 28 for a 1ST down

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+45 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 53 yds , Luke Brenner return for 45 yds to the Presb 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the Presb 20

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.26

Michael Neel run for 8 yds to the Presb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Presb 9

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

QB Keeper HAMM, Shane rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards, HAMM, Shane fumbled at PC2 forced by CRIM, James, recovered by PC HERRIOTT, Alex at the PC2, returned 0 yards to the PC2, End of Play. PENALTY PC Personal Foul enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the PC9 to the PC5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Presb 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jake Chisholm run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 65 yds , Delvecchio Powell II return for 15 yds to the Presb 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Nate Hayden pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 19 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.72

JB Seay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 32 JB Seay fumbled, recovered by Presb JB Seay

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Hayden sacked by Sam Schadek for a loss of 7 yards to the Presb 25

4th & 19Punt Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -6.64

Alex Hirschfield 16 Yd Punt Return (Sam Webster Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Nate Hayden pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 12 yds to the Presb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Nate Hayden sacked by Jerell Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the Presb 32

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Hayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 31

3rd & 16Penalty0 yds

PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keith Boyd) declined

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 31 yds , returns for no gain to the Dayt 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Dayt 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Shane Hamm pass complete to Kyle Hazell for 3 yds to the Dayt 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Michael Neel run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Michael Neel run for 8 yds to the Presb 42

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Presb 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Luke Brenner run for 1 yd to the Presb 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Hamm punt for 20 yds, downed at the Presb 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

JB Seay run for 5 yds to the Presb 18

3rd & 5Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.33

Nate Hayden sacked by Ca'ron Coleman for a loss of 13 yards to the Presb 5

4th & 18Punt+10 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 44 yds , Sam Bubonics returns for 10 yds to the Presb 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Neel run for 5 yds to the Presb 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.24

Shane Hamm sacked by Nigel Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Presb 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Shawn Lodge at the Presb 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Delvecchio Powell II run for 3 yds to the Presb 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nate Hayden pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 5 yds to the Presb 15

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 40 yds , Sam Bubonics returns for 1 yd to the Dayt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Shane Hamm pass complete to Luke Brenner for 9 yds to the Presb 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Jake Chisholm run for no gain to the Presb 45

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Shane Hamm run for 7 yds to the Presb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Presb 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Shane Hamm pass complete to Derek Willits for 16 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shane Hamm run for no gain to the Presb 19

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Presb 14

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Presb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Hayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Hayden sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Presb 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the Presb 16

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the Presb 14

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shane Hamm run for 4 yds to the Presb 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the Presb 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Michael Neel run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

DAYTON Penalty, Offsides (Michael Denning) to the Presb 30

1st & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 7 yds to the Presb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.12

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 63 yds for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 29 yds , Alex Hirschfield return for 2 yds to the Dayt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kneel down by HAMM, Shane at DAY36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Shawn Lodge for 17 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+59 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 53 yds , Sam Bubonics returns for 59 yds to the Presb 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Presb 29

2nd & 3Interception Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -11.39

AJ Seay 0 Yd Interception Return (Parker Maddrey Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+42 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 44 yds , Luke Brenner return for 42 yds to the Presb 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Presb 34

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Chisholm run for 4 yds to the Presb 30

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Presb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Neel run for 5 yds to the Presb 20

2nd & 5Penalty+4 yds

PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Offsides (Nigel Brown) to the Presb 16

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Bubonics run for 5 yds to the Presb 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Neel run for no gain to the Presb 11

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 12

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Sam Webster 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Wesley run for 7 yds to the Presb 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Delvecchio Powell II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 31

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Tyler Wesley run for 7 yds to the Presb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.14

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Honrae Murray for 32 yds to the Dayt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Wesley run for 3 yds to the Dayt 27

3rd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.93

JB Seay run for a loss of 5 yards to the Dayt 32

4th & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.45

Tyler Wesley sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Dayt 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Brenner run for 5 yds to the Dayt 45

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.01

Jake Chisholm run for 34 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Presb 20

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Jake Chisholm run for 16 yds to the Presb 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Michael Neel run for 1 yd to the Presb 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

JB Seay run for 10 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 13 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Max Monroe for 11 yds to the Dayt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Delvecchio Powell II run for 7 yds to the Dayt 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Wesley run for 3 yds to the Dayt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 31 yds for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 46 yds , Luke Brenner return for 16 yds to the Dayt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

John Sciarretti run for 6 yds to the Dayt 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

John Sciarretti run for 6 yds to the Dayt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ty Stylski run for 1 yd to the Dayt 48

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Bubonics run for 5 yds to the Presb 47

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.93

Shane Hamm run for 47 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 5 yds to the Presb 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 17 yds to the Presb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception+10 ydsPPA -1.75

Tyler Wesley pass intercepted DAYTON Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the Dayt 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ty Stylski run for no gain to the Dayt 44 Ty Stylski fumbled, recovered by Dayt Kyle Hazell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

John Sciarretti run for 1 yd to the Dayt 45

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Shane Hamm run for 3 yds to the Dayt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 41 yds, downed at the Presb 11

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Wesley sacked by Nathan Arthur for a loss of 8 yards to the Presb 3

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 8 yds to the Presb 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Wesley pass complete to JB Seay for 10 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.49

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 12 yds to the Presb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyler Wesley pass complete to JB Seay for 12 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Honrae Murray for 6 yds to the Dayt 49

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Honrae Murray for 8 yds to the Dayt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

JB Seay run for 2 yds to the Dayt 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Honrae Murray for 1 yd to the Dayt 38

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.46

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kneel down by HAMM, Shane at DAY36 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

[NH] Kneel down by HAMM, Shane at DAY34 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

[NH] Kneel down by HAMM, Shane at DAY32 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Presbyterian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
25%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays