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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 19.3

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 86%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lincoln (CA)
30306
St. Thomas (MN)
15022643

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425615-015-324-637-643-6
St. Thomas (MN)Lincoln (CA)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(L(ST(L(ST(L(ST(L(ST(L(ST(L(ST(L(ST(ST(L(L(L(ST(L(ST(ST(L(L(TD774ydPUNT36ydTD655ydFG954ydPUNT518ydDOWNS1050ydTO10ydMISS728ydFG1692ydPUNT30ydEND845ydTO10ydTD13ydFG964ydTO326ydPUNT30ydSAF3-2ydTD682ydTO410ydTD239ydPUNT3-11ydFG1075ydFG712ydPUNT35ydUncategorized1285yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lincoln (CA) and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticLincoln (CA)St. Thomas (MN)
Passing18-3315-23
Pass Yards216185
Rush Yards92211
Total Yards308396
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-143-9
Penalties18-1389-93
Possession31:4328:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lincoln (CA)
passing
Rhett Riley
18/33, 216 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Otis Weah
20 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Trey Dimmings
6 REC, 130 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Cade Sexauer
15/22, 185 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gabriel Abel
16 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Jacob WIldermuth
3 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LINCOLNCA Penalty, off-side (Wilson Frederic) to the StThMN 31

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35
2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.15

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 20 yds to the Lincol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Shawn Shipman run for 15 yds to the Lincol 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy LINCOLNCA Penalty, illegal formation (Jhayvee Daily) to the Lincol 29

1st & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.40

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 13 yds to the Lincol 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Jacob WIldermuth 16 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Joshua Komis Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 39 yds , Taivonn Ervin return for 5 yds to the Lincol 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 53 yds , William Anglen return for 2 yds to the Lincol 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Otis Weah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lincol 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rhett Riley pass complete to Otis Weah for 4 yds to the Lincol 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Rhett Riley pass complete to Taivonn Ervin for 3 yds to the Lincol 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jemel Williams punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Shawn Shipman run for 8 yds to the Lincol 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.55

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 18 yds to the Lincol 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53
2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the Lincol 24

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the Lincol 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

James Klecker 19 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Louis Hyde Kick)

4th & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.00

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 18 yds to the StThMN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Otis Weah run for 3 yds to the StThMN 11

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Otis Weah run for 5 yds to the StThMN 6

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34
4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LINCOLNCA Penalty, false start (Trey Dimmings) to the StThMN 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Nicholas Feanny 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.43

Rhett Riley run for 20 yds to the STTHOMASMN 45 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, personal foul (Andrew Thomas) to the StThMN 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Trey Dimmings

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Riley Lee

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cade Sexauer punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Shawn Shipman run for 7 yds to the StThMN 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Joshua Komis for 9 yds to the Lincol 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Bryce Boyd, broken up by Kalen Mcgee

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the Lincol 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Cade Sexauer for a loss of 2 yards to the Lincol 46

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Otis Weah run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 32 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, roughing passer (David Ayeni) to the Lincol 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rhett Riley pass complete to Otis Weah for 3 yds to the Lincol 23

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Otis Weah run for 13 yds to the StThMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Otis Weah run for 1 yd to the StThMN 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rhett Riley pass complete to Keegan Grayson-Zehrung for 5 yds to the StThMN 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.93

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 24 yds to the StThMN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Rhett Riley pass complete to Otis Weah

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Jemel Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Riley Lee, broken up by Kam In

4th & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.89

Rhett Riley sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the StThMN 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.31

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the StThMN 31 Shawn Shipman fumbled, recovered by Lincol Jemel Williams

4th & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.08

Otis Weah run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Otis Weah run for 4 yds to the StThMN 27

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.70

Otis Weah run for 20 yds to the StThMN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Jemel Williams

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Otis Weah run for 1 yd to the StThMN 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Taivonn Ervin

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Nicholas Feanny 23 yd FG MISSED ST THOMAS MN Penalty, off-side (Jordan Titus) to the StThMN 3

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Louis Hyde 23 yd FG GOOD LINCOLNCA Penalty, off-side (Nick Patterson) to the Lincol 3

4th & 3Rush-13 ydsPPA -4.08

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the Lincol 1 for a 1ST down ST THOMAS MN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Lincol 16 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Joshua Komis for 16 yds to the Lincol 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Gabriel Abel run for 2 yds to the Lincol 33

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.06

Gabriel Abel run for 23 yds to the StThMN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the StThMN 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Joshua Komis for 7 yds to the StThMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 2 yds to the StThMN 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the StThMN 46

3rd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.64

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Offensive holding (Shea Albrecht) to the StThMN 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Wesley Juszczak for a 1ST down LINCOLNCA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (David Leach) to the Lincol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Joshua Komis run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.46

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 28 yds to the Lincol 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Max Zimmerman

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the Lincol 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, false start (James Klecker) to the Lincol 6

3rd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.27

Trey Dimmings run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lincol 16

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jemel Williams punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Otis Weah run for 5 yds to the Lincol 21

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Otis Weah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lincol 20

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Shawn Shipman run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 35

1st & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Joshua Komis LINCOLNCA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Elliot Johnson) to the Lincol 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth, broken up by Eldrian Arnold

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the Lincol 11

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the Lincol 7

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.26

Joshua Komis run for 3 yds to the Lincol 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+43 ydsPPA -0.56

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 43 yds Rhett Riley fumbled, recovered by StThMN Yusef Leak , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Shawn Shipman 3 Yd Run (Louis Hyde Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rhett Riley pass complete to Kishawn Berry for 5 yds to the StThMN 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 9 yds to the StThMN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

William Anglen run for a loss of 3 yards to the StThMN 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.92

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 29 yds to the StThMN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Otis Weah run for a loss of 5 yards to the StThMN 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jhayvee Daily

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Trey Dimmings, broken up by Yusef Leak

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Nicholas Feanny 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Rhett Riley pass complete to Jemel Williams for 29 yds to the StThMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -3.91

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 4 yds Cade Sexauer fumbled, recovered by Lincol Kalen Mcgee LINCOLNCA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kalen Mcgee) to the Lincol 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 15 yds to the Lincol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Cade Sexauer run for 11 yds to the Lincol 38 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 45 yds , Taivonn Ervin returns for no gain to the 50 yard line LINCOLNCA Penalty, Offensive holding (Early Jerrick) to the Lincol 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the Lincol 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Shawn Shipman for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Shawn Shipman, broken up by Marquise Greenwood

3rd & 12Safety-1 ydsPPA -1.65

Luke Herzog Safety

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26
2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Otis Weah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lincol 2

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

LINCOLNCA Penalty, false start (Traquon Cooper) to the Lincol 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Kolby Gartner pass incomplete to Jack Francl

4th & 5Punt Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -7.01

Ty Barron 30 Yd Punt Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Rhett Riley pass complete to Jhayvee Daily for 7 yds to the Lincol 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Rhett Riley run for 5 yds to the Lincol 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Jhayvee Daily, broken up by Grif Wurtz

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rhett Riley run for 5 yds to the Lincol 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Jhayvee Daily

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Trey Dimmings, broken up by IBK Mafe

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Otis Weah run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Trey Dimmings

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Rhett Riley pass complete to Kishawn Berry for a loss of 5 yards to the Lincol 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Bryce Boyd 23 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Louis Hyde Kick)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the Lincol 38 for a 1ST down LINCOLNCA Penalty, personal foul (Marquise Greenwood) to the Lincol 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Keegan Grayson-Zehrung run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lincol 12

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

LINCOLNCA Penalty, delay of game (Rhett Riley) to the Lincol 7

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Rhett Riley run for 2 yds to the Lincol 9

3rd & 17Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.03

Rhett Riley pass complete to Otis Weah

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Keegan Grayson-Zehrung run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lincol 12

4th & 17Penalty-4 yds

LINCOLNCA Penalty, false start (Tavian Wallace) to the Lincol 5

4th & 21Punt+10 yds

Jemel Williams punt for 20 yds LINCOLNCA Penalty, Defensive holding (Jhayvee Daily) to the Lincol 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Gabriel Abel run for 10 yds to the StThMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.23

Gabriel Abel run for 25 yds to the Lincol 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03
2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the Lincol 41

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Amari Powell run for 12 yds to the Lincol 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.27

Gabriel Abel run for 19 yds to the Lincol 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the Lincol 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the Lincol 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Owen Kanzler

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Stephen Shagen 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the Lincol 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lincol 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to James Klecker

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Louis Hyde 20 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 yds

Gabriel Abel run for 5 yds to the Lincol 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 yds

pass incomplete to Bryce Boyd

3rd & 5Rush+6 yds

Cade Sexauer run for 6 yds to the Lincol 4 for a 1ST down

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jemel Williams punt for no gain , Andrew McElroy returns for no gain to the StThMN 30 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Offensive holding (IBK Mafe) to the StThMN 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Otis Weah run for 8 yds to the Lincol 33

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Otis Weah run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lincol 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Taivonn Ervin, broken up by David Ayeni

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Rhett Riley pass complete to Trey Dimmings for 7 yds to the StThMN 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33
1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.51

Rhett Riley pass complete to Keegan Grayson-Zehrung for 22 yds to the Lincol 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the Lincol 41

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.48

Solomon Sangobowale run for 6 yds to the Lincol 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Trey Dimmings

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Solomon Sangobowale run for 11 yds to the StThMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Solomon Sangobowale run for 2 yds to the StThMN 40

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

for a 1ST down ST THOMAS MN Penalty, personal foul (Sanjay Redd) to the StThMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Solomon Sangobowale run for 4 yds to the StThMN 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Rhett Riley pass complete to Reggie Whitfield for 13 yds to the StThMN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Rhett Riley pass incomplete to Jhayvee Daily, broken up by Nick Hand

Situational Analysis

Lincoln (CA)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
34%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
6 plays
58%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays