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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13
RiceRice
17
-Final
21
North TexasNorth Texas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 19.2

Home Win Probability

North Texas 89%

Market (consensus)

North Texas -14.5

Edge: North Texas -14.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
RiceRice
0140317
North TexasNorth Texas
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-1414-1721-17
North TexasRice

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTRICNTRICNTRICNTRICNTRICNTRICRICNTRICNTRICNTRICNTRICNTMISS1146ydTO740ydPUNT416ydPUNT424ydTD688ydMISS1042ydPUNT30ydTD764ydTD766ydTD475ydPUNT630ydEND315ydPUNT729ydPUNT34ydMISS823ydPUNT37ydFG1055ydTD875ydPUNT34ydPUNT733ydDOWNS623ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rice and North Texas
StatisticRiceNorth Texas
Passing13-2216-29
Pass Yards229203
Rush Yards186159
Total Yards415362
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-138-15
Penalties5-503-30
Possession35:4324:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rice
passing
AJ Padgett
13/22, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Juma Otoviano
14 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Braylen Walker
4 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense
North Texas
passing
Austin Aune
16/29, 203 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ikaika Ragsdale
17 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ikaika Ragsdale
5 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 15 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Austin Aune pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 14 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 5 yds to the Rice 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 4 yds to the Rice 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the Rice 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+46 yds

Ethan Mooney 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

AJ Padgett run for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the Rice 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.01

AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 17 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.81

AJ Padgett run for no gain to the Rice 15 AJ Padgett fumbled, recovered by NoTex Enoch Jackson Jr. for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the Rice 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 11 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 2 yds to the NoTex 32

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 21 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

AJ Padgett run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 47

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Padgett run for 7 yds to the NoTex 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 13

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

AUNE, Austin pass to the right incomplete intended for WARD, Damon thrown to the UNT43. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on DEVONES, Tre'shon enforced 15 yards to the UNT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 11 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.40

Austin Aune run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.21

Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 16 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 45 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ethan Mooney kickoff for 56 yds , Tyson Thompson return for 21 yds to the Rice 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.66

AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 16 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Uriah West run for 10 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

AJ Padgett sacked by Sifa Leota for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 28

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Christian VanSickle 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 3 yds to the Rice 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the Rice 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Uriah West run for 1 yd to the Rice 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.13

AJ Padgett pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 48 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Uriah West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 52 yds , Kaylon Horton return for 21 yds to the NoTex 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.01

Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 26 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Austin Aune run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 37

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.54

Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 19 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the Rice 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

AJ Padgett pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 20 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 48 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 64 yds , Kaylon Horton return for 21 yds to the NoTex 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 9 yds to the NoTex 31

3rd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.52

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 20 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Austin Aune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 6 yds to the Rice 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Rice 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the Rice 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the Rice 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

AJ Padgett pass complete to Uriah West for 7 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 14

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Cameron Montgomery run for 10 yds to the Rice 24

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

AJ Padgett run for 9 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 43

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the NoTex 47

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the NoTex 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoTex 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 11

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 36 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the NoTex 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Uriah West run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.35

AJ Padgett run for 14 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.99

AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 15 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Uriah West run for 3 yds to the NoTex 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-10 yds

VANSICKLE, Christian field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UNT22], score nullified by penalty. PENALTY RIC Holding on BRADLEY, Jack enforced 10 yards from the UNT14 to the UNT24. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Christian VanSickle 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 3 yds to the NoTex 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Smart run for 4 yds to the NoTex 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 10 yds to the Rice 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 41

2nd & 8Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.81

Juma Otoviano run for 33 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

AJ Padgett run for no gain to the NoTex 26

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the NoTex 19

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Juma Otoviano run for 11 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-10 yds

OTOVIANO, Juma rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UNT2 (DAVIS, KD;TRIEB, Tom). PENALTY RIC Holding on ONIANWA, Ethan enforced 10 yards from the UNT4 to the UNT14 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

AJ Padgett pass incomplete

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.51

AJ Padgett run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 15

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the NoTex 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Christian VanSickle 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dorian Morris run for no gain to the NoTex 25

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.64

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 36 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the Rice 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 31

3rd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.00

Isaiah Johnson run for 23 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the Rice 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

MONTGOMERY, Cameron rush to the left for a gain of 26 yards to the UNT46 (TEXADA, Ridge), out of bounds. PENALTY RIC Holding on SERVIN, Clay enforced 10 yards from the RIC28 to the RIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 14 yds to the Rice 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.69

AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 64 yds, downed at the NoTex 7

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.35

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 25 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

AUNE, Austin pass to the left complete for 50 yards to RAGSDALE, Ikaika caught at the RIC35 and advanced to the RIC0, TOUCHDOWN UNT, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOREKA, Kaci enforced 10 yards from the UNT50 to the UNT40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the NoTex 40

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Austin Aune pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

AJ Padgett pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 8 yds to the Rice 28

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Juma Otoviano run for 14 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.32

AJ Padgett sacked by Kevin Wood for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 34

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Rice 37

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.35

run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 29 AJ Padgett fumbled, recovered by Rice AJ Padgett

4th & 23Interception0 ydsPPA +0.37

AJ Padgett pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at RIC45 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at RIC46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Rice

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th