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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Charlotte 24%

Market (consensus)

Charlotte +14.5

Edge: Charlotte +14.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
211471759
CharlotteCharlotte
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-210-287-357-427-457-527-59
CharlotteWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHACHAWKCHAWKCHAWKCHACHAWKCHATD275ydTO514ydTD17ydPUNT3-5ydTD598ydTO634ydPUNT30ydPUNT632ydTD592ydDOWNS1264ydDOWNS1376ydPUNT37ydTD256ydTD35ydTD1075ydTD445ydPUNT1020ydDOWNS953ydDOWNS833ydFG841ydTD313ydDOWNS1041ydTD666ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Charlotte
StatisticWestern KentuckyCharlotte
Passing25-4119-34
Pass Yards461223
Rush Yards131161
Total Yards592384
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-96-15
Penalties1-57-65
Possession20:2639:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
23/38, 409 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
receiving
Malachi Corley
6 REC, 162 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Charlotte
passing
Chris Reynolds
17/27, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Johnny Martin III
16 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Grant DuBose
7 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Malachi Corley run for 29 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 46 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the Charl 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Johnny Martin III run for 1 yd to the Charl 39

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Reynolds pass intercepted

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.60

Chris Reynolds sacked by Terrion Thompson and Mike Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 40

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 45

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

CHARLOTTE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chris Reynolds) to the Charl 40

3rd & 18Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (C.J. Jones) to the Charl 45

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Elijah Spencer) to the Charl 40

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

punt for 55 yds, downed at the WKent 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 10 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 13 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Austin Reed pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.19

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 64 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Charl 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Johnny Martin III run for 2 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Shadrick Byrd run for 11 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.43

Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 Chris Reynolds fumbled, recovered by WKent Kaleb Oliver

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 15 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left complete for 1 yard to THOMPSON, Taylor caught at the WKU48 and advanced to the WKU48 (STOUT, Upton). PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on TUCKER, Victor enforced 15 yards to the CLT36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 21Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Shadrick Byrd run for 10 yds to the Charl 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bailey Rice punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 8

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.57

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 37 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 22 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper REED, Austin rush up the middle for no gain to the CLT33 (MAZANGU, Barutti). PENALTY CLT Face mask on MAZANGU, Barutti enforced 15 yards from the CLT35 to the CLT20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Charl 17

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.26

Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 16 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 9 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Chris Reynolds sacked by Lorenzo Hernandez for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 36

2nd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.33

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 19 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 18 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the WKent 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Chris Reynolds sacked by Virgil Marshall for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 22

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.52

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Malachi Corley run for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKent 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Austin Reed sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 43

2nd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.30

Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 22 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 16 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 13 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the Charl 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 2 yds to the Charl 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Austin Reed pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 8

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bailey Rice punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.82

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 42 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 24

1st & 0Passing Touchdown+14 yds

Joey Beljan 14 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 25

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the Charl 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 34

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Johnny Martin III run for 7 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.07

Johnny Martin III run for 10 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Elijah Spencer 14 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Antonio Zita Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 26 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.41

Michael Mathison 19 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Rosso) to the Charl 19

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.85

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 24 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 49

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.25

Nolan Groulx run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.71

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 9 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for MARTIN III, Johnny thrown to the WKU47. PENALTY CLT Holding on HUGHES, Jaxon enforced 10 yards from the WKU47 to the CLT43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 45

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

CHARLOTTE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Chris Reynolds) to the Charl 45

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Bailey Rice punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 20 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 13 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 5 yds to the Charl 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.09

Austin Reed pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 4 yds to the Charl 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 35

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Xavier Williams run for 10 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 45

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Johnny Martin III run for 12 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Xavier Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.59

Xavier Williams sacked by JaQues Evans for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 47

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the WKent 46

4th & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.33

Xavier Williams pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 9 yds to the WKent 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 42

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Jakairi Moses run for 9 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 9 yds to the Charl 40

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.07

Jakairi Moses run for 12 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 23

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the Charl 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Brayden Narveson 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the Charl 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+42 ydsPPA -9.05

Anthony Brackenridge 42 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Xavier Williams sacked by Jaden Hunter and C.J. Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 22

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.66

Xavier Williams pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Johnny Martin III run for 2 yds to the Charl 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Xavier Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.86

Johnny Martin III run for 13 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Xavier Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the WKent 34

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.49

Xavier Williams pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.73

Darius Ocean pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 47 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 14

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Darius Ocean pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the Charl 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Dalvin Smith 5 Yd pass from Darius Ocean (Brayden Narveson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Johnny Martin III run for 6 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Charlotte

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
12 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays