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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 50%

Market (consensus)

Western Kentucky -1

Edge: Western Kentucky -1 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UABUAB
7100017
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
01010020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1710-1713-1720-17
Western KentuckyUAB

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKUABWKPUNT30ydTD364ydMISS944ydTO26ydPUNT3-7ydTO742ydTD447ydFG755ydTO12ydTD327ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydFG935ydPUNT418ydEND437ydPUNT617ydFG1353ydTO322ydTD26ydPUNT37ydPUNT534ydPUNT35ydPUNT55ydTO878ydEND955yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UAB and Western Kentucky
StatisticUABWestern Kentucky
Passing5-1214-23
Pass Yards96128
Rush Yards228224
Total Yards324352
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-113-13
Penalties4-2211-86
Possession27:2132:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UAB
passing
Dylan Hopkins
2/2, 63 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
DeWayne McBride
24 CAR, 197 YDS
receiving
Samario Rudolph
1 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
14/23, 128 YDS
rushing
LT Sanders
16 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Malachi Corley
5 REC, 77 YDS
defense
Jaques Evans
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKent 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for no gain to the WKent 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 4 yds to the UAB 41

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.13

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 59 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 8 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 21 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the UAB 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 5 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 33

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 31

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Austin Reed run for no gain to the UAB 31

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 40

2nd & 1Sack-3 ydsPPA -2.04

Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 1 yd to the UAB 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.25

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 39 yds, downed at the UAB 5

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UAB 3

1st & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 7

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 10

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 36

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.34

DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 47 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by WKent Kahlef Hailassie

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 19 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 26

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the UAB 20

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.86

Austin Reed run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 60 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 21 yds to the UAB 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.59

DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 15

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the WKent 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.93

Jacob Zeno sacked by Jaden Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 19

4th & 19Field Goal Good+36 yds

Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.92

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by UAB Fish McWilliams

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the WKent 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the WKent 19

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Dareon Goodrum) to the WKent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKent 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKent 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BROWN JR., Jermaine rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the UAB39 (ALLEN, Talique). PENALTY UAB Holding on TELFORT, Kadeem enforced 10 yards from the UAB27 to the UAB17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Jacob Zeno run for 9 yds to the UAB 26

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 30

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.46

Jacob Zeno sacked by Derrick Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 24

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 12 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.99

L.T. Sanders run for 22 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

SANDERS, L.T. rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UAB17 (CASH, Grayson;MCWILLIAMS, Mac). PENALTY WKU Face mask on LESLIE, Quantavious enforced 15 yards from the UAB18 to the UAB33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the UAB 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 21Field Goal Good+47 yds

Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 29 yds to the UAB 30

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Darius Shipp) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKent 19

2nd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.40

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 23 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Reed run for 5 yds to the WKent 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Austin Reed pass incomplete

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Tre Shaw) to the UAB 30

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.51

DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 33

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.20

DeWayne McBride run for 14 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.78

Jacob Zeno pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 23

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Vincent Murphy) to the WKent 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.97

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 18 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the UAB 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the UAB 46

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the UAB 43

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

L.T. Sanders run for 11 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Malachi Corley run for 1 yd to the UAB 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 32

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the UAB 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 yds

Brayden Narveson 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Brown Jr. return for 12 yds to the UAB 13

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Jacob Zeno run for 12 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 28

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.63

DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 6 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by WKent JaQues Evans

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaylen Hall run for 5 yds to the UAB 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Austin Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (Will Rykard) to the UAB 27

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the UAB 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKent 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.31

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 25 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the UAB 42

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the UAB 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 31 yds, downed at the UAB 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 12

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the UAB 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+26 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Jaylen Hall returns for 26 yds to the UAB 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.72

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 18 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Wes Dorsey) to the UAB 30

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Austin Reed sacked by Kelle Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 38

2nd & 23Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the UAB 37

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 23 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 44

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+28 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face mask (28 yards) (Talique Allen) to the WKent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the WKent 10

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the WKent 10

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.97

Jacob Zeno pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

L.T. Sanders run for 32 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Daewood Davis) to the UAB 41

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 12 yds to the UAB 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.28

Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the UAB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB29 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB31 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UAB

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
18 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play