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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 17.9

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 85%

Market (consensus)

Middle Tennessee -19.5

Edge: Tennessee State +19.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
00606
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
21217049

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-035-049-049-6
Middle TennesseeTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSMTTSMTTSMTTSTSMTTSMTTSMTMTTSMTTSMTTSMTTSMTPUNT833ydTO737ydPUNT513ydTD662ydPUNT36ydTD354ydTD38ydTO738ydTD1063ydDOWNS940ydTD1169ydTO411ydTD516ydTD275ydPUNT32ydPUNT52ydTD565ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT628ydPUNT611ydEND1245yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and Middle Tennessee
StatisticTennessee StateMiddle Tennessee
Passing18-2921-25
Pass Yards149212
Rush Yards61223
Total Yards210435
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-126-12
Penalties4-507-62
Possession24:2835:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
12/18, 96 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Rouse
6 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Holloman
6 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Chase Cunningham
20/24, 216 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Peasant
13 CAR, 122 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaylin Lane
4 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 11 yds to the TenSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 6 yds to the TenSt 36

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Devon Starling run for no gain to the TenSt 36

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the TenSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Devon Starling for 12 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Devon Starling run for a loss of 4 yards to the TenSt 48

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 8 yds to the MTnSt 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the TenSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.50

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 7 yds to the TenSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.10

Chase Cunningham pass intercepted

1st & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Zaire Thornton for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 11

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TenSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Zack Dobson for 3 yds to the TenSt 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Rouse run for no gain to the TenSt 32

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Zaire Thornton for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 11

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Zaire Thornton for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jashon Watkins-Perkins) to the TenSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 3 yds to the TenSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.52

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 36 yds to the TenSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Frank Peasant run for no gain to the TenSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Frank Peasant 1 Yd Run (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 62 yds , Zack Dobson return for 17 yds to the TenSt 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Rouse run for 6 yds to the TenSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 28 yds, downed at the MTnSt 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 28 yds, downed at the MTnSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 18 yds to the TenSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass up the middle incomplete intended for METCALF, Elijah broken up by WATKINS, Jashon at the TSU4. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on WATKINS, Jashon enforced 15 yards to the TSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the TenSt 15

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.44

Jaylin Lane 15 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 60 yds , Zack Dobson return for 27 yds to the TenSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the TenSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the TenSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Chevy Brenson for 2 yds to the TenSt 40

4th & 2Blocked Punt Touchdown+19 ydsPPA -7.37

Jalen Montgomery 19 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 59 yds , Zack Dobson return for 24 yds to the TenSt 30

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Devon Starling run for a loss of 4 yards to the TenSt 26

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 15 yds to the TenSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devon Starling run for no gain to the TenSt 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Zack Dobson for 14 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Devon Starling run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Devon Starling run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Draylen Ellis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the MTnSt 45

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Darius Bracy run for 8 yds to the TenSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 1 yd to the TenSt 46

2nd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Chase Cunningham sacked by Chris Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds to the TenSt 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 21 yds to the TenSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the TenSt 19

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chase Cunningham) to the TenSt 24

2nd & 14Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.33

Chase Cunningham run for 18 yds to the TenSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Illegal Snap on KELLY, Wilson enforced (-5 Yards) to the TenSt 11

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Darius Bracy 11 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 58 yds , Zack Dobson return for 22 yds to the TenSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Devon Starling for 9 yds to the TenSt 38

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 14 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 8 yds to the MTnSt 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Chayil Garnett pass complete to Zack Dobson for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31

4th & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Chayil Garnett pass complete to JJ Holloman for no gain to the MTnSt 31

4th & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Chayil Garnett pass complete to JJ Holloman for no gain to the MTnSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Chase Cunningham pass complete to AJ Toney for 16 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 6 yds to the TenSt 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Chase Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 4 yds to the TenSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Frank Peasant run for no gain to the TenSt 43

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Chase Cunningham sacked by Cameron Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the TenSt 49

3rd & 16Penalty+5 yds

CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass to the right complete for 3 yards to GATHINGS, Izaiah caught at the MTS49 and advanced to the TSU46 (POPE, K'Vaughan). PENALTY TSU Offsides on NASH, Davion enforced 5 yards from the TSU49 to the TSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.95

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 24 yds to the TenSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

A'Varius Sparrow run for 5 yds to the TenSt 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the TenSt 11

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the TenSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chase Cunningham 7 Yd Run (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 65 yds , Zack Dobson return for 31 yds to the MIDDLETENN 34 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Targeting on FLUELLEN, Tra enforced (Tra Fluellen) to the TenSt 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chayil Garnett run for no gain to the TenSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chayil Garnett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.93

Chayil Garnett pass complete to Chevy Brenson for 11 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Chayil Garnett pass intercepted

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Chayil Garnett pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 5 yds to the TenSt 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 9 yds to the TenSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the TenSt 2

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the TenSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Frank Peasant 2 Yd Run (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Taharin Sudderth) to the MTnSt 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.96

Frank Peasant 85 Yd Run (Zeke Rankin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 62 yds , Zack Dobson return for 19 yds to the TenSt 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 21

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chayil Garnett run for 2 yds to the TenSt 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Chayil Garnett pass complete to Zaire Thornton for 1 yd to the TenSt 24

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 51 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 51 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Preston Rice run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 48

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 43

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Preston Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 42

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Raquon Hartley) to the MTnSt 37

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 28 yds, downed at the TenSt 35

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 28 yds, downed at the TenSt 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the TenSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Jalen Rouse run for 18 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Chayil Garnett run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Chayil Garnett run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Jalen Rouse 34 Yd pass from Chayil Garnett (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Terry Wilkins run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Terry Wilkins run for no gain to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Terry Wilkins run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 47 yds, downed at the TenSt 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

James Thorpe run for 1 yd to the TenSt 27

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

James Thorpe run for a loss of 3 yards to the TenSt 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chayil Garnett pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 56 yds, downed at the MTnSt 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 56 yds, downed at the MTnSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Preston Rice run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Preston Rice run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Preston Rice run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 29

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tadarrius Patterson) to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Montgomery run for no gain to the MTnSt 44

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Montgomery run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 52 yds for a touchback

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ulbrich punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Chayil Garnett pass complete to Zaire Thornton for 1 yd to the TenSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Rouse run for 2 yds to the TenSt 23

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Chayil Garnett run for 7 yds to the TenSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chayil Garnett run for 1 yd to the TenSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Edwin Rhodes pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Chayil Garnett pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 37 yds

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Stone Frost pass complete to Bryce Bailey for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Terry Wilkins run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 39

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Terry Wilkins run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 46

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 43

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Stone Frost run for 8 yds to the TenSt 49

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.50

Stone Frost run for 5 yds to the TenSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Stone Frost run for 17 yds to the TenSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Montgomery run for 8 yds to the TenSt 19

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Stone Frost run for 3 yds to the TenSt 16 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play