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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1
RiceRice
14
-Final
66
USCUSC

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 8.1

Home Win Probability

USC 70%

Market (consensus)

USC -32.5

Edge: Rice +32.5 (24.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
RiceRice
770014
USCUSC
72428766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-07-714-721-728-1438-1452-1459-1466-14
USCRice

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCRICUSCRICUSCRICRICUSCRICRICRICUSCRICUSCRICUSCRICUSCRICUSCTD775ydTD1674ydTD984ydPUNT36ydTD470ydTD563ydTD1075ydEND1167ydTD36ydTD31ydTO48ydTD434ydPUNT418ydTD885ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT4-2ydDOWNS827ydTD571ydPUNT3-6ydEND739yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rice and USC
StatisticRiceUSC
Passing14-2825-30
Pass Yards134330
Rush Yards146208
Total Yards280538
Turnovers40
3rd Down5-165-7
Penalties4-556-60
Possession32:5227:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rice
passing
Wiley Green
8/13, 69 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Cameron Montgomery
6 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Luke McCaffrey
5 REC, 51 YDS
defense
USC
passing
Caleb Williams
19/22, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Williams
6 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Tahj Washington
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Shane Lee
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 4 yds to the USC 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.85

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 43 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the Rice 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the Rice 5

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Jordan Addison 5 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

3rd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 57 yds , Isaiah Esdale return for 18 yds to the Rice 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Wiley Green pass complete to Jack Bradley for 9 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Wiley Green pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the Rice 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ari Broussard run for no gain to the USC 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Wiley Green pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 19 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wiley Green pass incomplete to Isaiah Esdale

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the USC 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Wiley Green pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 6 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 12 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the USC 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the USC 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 3 yds to the USC 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ari Broussard 1 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Tim Horn kickoff for 65 yds , Brenden Rice return for 16 yds to the USC 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 8 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Williams, Caleb pass incomplete, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Fresch, Sean) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj Washington

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Rice 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.97

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 29 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the Rice 14

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Mario Williams run for 10 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Austin Jones 4 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 65 yds , Juma Otoviano return for 33 yds to the Rice 33

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Rice 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Wiley Green pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the USC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 25 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Caleb Williams run for 28 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Rice 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 13 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Raleek Brown 14 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.46

Cameron Montgomery run for 55 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Wiley Green pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the USC 12

4th & 2Interception Return Touchdown+93 ydsPPA -10.90

Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Calen Bullock return for 93 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the Rice 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

TJ McMahon run for 4 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

RICE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the Rice 20

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Ari Broussard run for 6 yds to the Rice 26

2nd & 19Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.22

TJ McMahon sacked by Latrell McCutchin for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 21

3rd & 24Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.67

TJ McMahon pass complete to Ari Broussard for 16 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Romello Height) to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.11

Cameron Montgomery run for 31 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the USC 12

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Dean Connors run for 10 yds to the USC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrew Vorhees) to the USC 28

1st & 20Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.32

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Christian Francisco) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.80

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 21 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 7 yds to the Rice 17

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for no gain to the Rice 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 9 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Denis Lynch 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 5 yds to the Rice 31

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+40 ydsPPA -7.39

Shane Lee 40 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the Rice 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -6.93

Ralen Goforth 31 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Alex Stadthaus kickoff for 64 yds , Juma Otoviano return for 14 yds to the Rice 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Dean Connors run for 12 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.12

TJ McMahon sacked by Solomon Tuliaupupu and Eric Gentry for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 23

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.25

TJ McMahon pass intercepted Xamarion Gordon return for no gain to the Rice 34

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Caleb Williams run for 12 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Caleb Williams sacked by Ikenna Enechukwu for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 22 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Addison 3 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 14 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 4 yds to the Rice 44

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TJ McMahon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 47 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 5 yds to the USC 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Caleb Williams run for 12 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Caleb Williams run for 14 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Rice 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 18 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Austin Jones 28 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 15

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

TJ McMahon pass complete to Ari Broussard for 10 yds to the Rice 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 27

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.31

TJ McMahon sacked by Jamar Sekona for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 23

4th & 12Punt+45 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 45 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 31

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Raleek Brown run for 8 yds to the USC 39 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 29

1st & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Miller Moss pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 36

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Miller Moss pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.09

TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 16 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

TJ McMahon run for 11 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ari Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 28

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.95

TJ McMahon pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Miller Moss pass complete to CJ Williams for 11 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Raleek Brown run for 5 yds to the USC 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.09

Miller Moss pass complete to Raleek Brown for 40 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Darwin Barlow 2 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 26

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.29

TJ McMahon sacked by Tyrone Taleni for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the USC 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miller Moss pass complete to Brenden Rice for 5 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Miller Moss run for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the Rice 40 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Darwin Barlow run for 6 yds to the Rice 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 20 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the Rice 19

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Rice 19

Situational Analysis

Rice

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
69%
29 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th