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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 8.8

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 30%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss +7.5

Edge: South Alabama -7.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
31001427
Southern MissSouthern Miss
737320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-310-310-1010-1317-1317-2017-2720-27
Southern MissSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSAFG666ydPUNT3-1ydTO618ydTD865ydPUNT627ydPUNT38ydDOWNS818ydFG831ydTD464ydPUNT3-9ydTO344ydPUNT34ydFG637ydTO322ydDOWNS419ydPUNT944ydPUNT3-1ydTD765ydTD1061ydDOWNS1130ydTD655ydFG1156ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Southern Miss
StatisticSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
Passing17-2619-34
Pass Yards257196
Rush Yards154102
Total Yards411298
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-146-15
Penalties5-514-36
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
15/22, 238 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Braylon McReynolds
15 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Devin Voisin
6 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Trey Lowe III
18/33, 167 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
20 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jason Brownlee
7 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.05

Braylon McReynolds run for 64 yds to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SoMis 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the SoMis 4

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Carter Bradley sacked by Kristin Booth and Santrell Latham for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Diego Guajardo 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Trey Lowe pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 5 yds to the SoMis 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+16 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 53 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 16 yds to the SAlab 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 2 yds to the SAlab 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 6 yds to the SAlab 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 10 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the SoMis 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Natrone Brooks) to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Targeting on HYATT, Ricky enforced (15 Yards) to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SAlab 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Trey Lowe pass complete to Chandler Pittman for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Trey Lowe pass complete to Latreal Jones for 11 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Chandler Pittman run for 11 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SAlab 7

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SAlab 7

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 65 yds , Braylon McReynolds return for 23 yds to the SOUMISS 42 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the SAlab 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the SAlab 12

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Braylon McReynolds run for 6 yds to the SAlab 18

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Marco Lee run for 18 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.97

Carter Bradley sacked by Josh Ratcliff and Brodarius Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 27

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for no gain to the SAlab 27

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 9 yds to the SAlab 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Trey Lowe pass complete to Antavious Willis for 6 yds to the SoMis 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

run for 3 yds to the SoMis 35

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Braylon McReynolds at the SAlab 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Omni Wells run for 7 yds to the SAlab 27

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.15

Omni Wells run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Omni Wells run for 1 yd to the SAlab 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Todd Justice run for 4 yds to the SAlab 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 15 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Tiaquelin Mims run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 14

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 15

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

LOWE III, Trey pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWNLEE, Jason thrown to the USA0. PENALTY USA Holding on ROBINSON, Marquise enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the USA15 to the USA8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kenyon Clay run for no gain to the SAlab 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 65 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 36 yds to the SAlab 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 29 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.92

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 29 yds to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marco Lee run for 1 yd to the SoMis 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 22

2nd & 13Penalty0 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Chop Block (TEAM) to the SoMis 11

2nd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Trey Lowe pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 4 yds to the SoMis 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 1 yd to the SoMis 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.09

Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 33 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.42

Carter Bradley pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Desmond Trotter run for 18 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 4 yds to the SoMis 31

4th & 6Field Goal Good+49 yds

Diego Guajardo 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 19 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.90

Trey Lowe pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carter Bradley run for 6 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SoMis 30

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.93

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 11 yds Devin Voisin fumbled, recovered by SoMis Daylen Gill

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Frank Gore Jr. run for 20 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Trey Lowe pass complete to Latreal Jones for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Matt Ryals) to the SoMis 45

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Trey Lowe pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 14 yds to the SAlab 41

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.08

Kenyon Clay run for 6 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 38

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Braylon McReynolds run for 5 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 13

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carter Bradley run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 9

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 56 yds, downed at the SoMis 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Trey Lowe pass complete to Latreal Jones for 3 yds to the SoMis 49

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

run for 6 yds to the SAlab 45

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

LOWE III, Trey pass to the left incomplete intended for MIMS, Tiaquelin thrown to the USA30. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Marquise enforced 15 yards to the USA30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the SAlab 29

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Jason Brownlee 29 Yd pass from Frank Gore Jr. (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 63 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 37 yds to the SAlab 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.49

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 25 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the SoMis 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braylon McReynolds run for 5 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Marco Lee run for no gain to the SoMis 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Dontae Lucas) to the SoMis 28

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +4.12

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 26 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Pittman run for 5 yds to the SoMis 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trey Lowe run for no gain to the SoMis 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 11 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.56

Trey Lowe sacked by Yam Banks for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 38

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Trey Lowe run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SAlab 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Lowe pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on MAYS, Briason ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 9 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SoMis 42

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Braylon McReynolds run for 7 yds to the SoMis 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 33 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 14 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.00

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.95

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 18 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trey Lowe pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds to the SAlab 24

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Trey Lowe run for 11 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.75

Trey Lowe sacked by Brock Higdon for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 19

2nd & 16Field Goal Good+36 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

[NH] Kneel down by USA at USA47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays