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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 11.7

Home Win Probability

James Madison 75%

Market (consensus)

James Madison -10

Edge: James Madison -10 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
10240640
James MadisonJames Madison
7721742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-37-1714-2721-3428-3442-3442-40
James MadisonGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSJMGSJMGSJMJMGSGSJMJMGSJMJMGSJMGSJMGSJMGSJMGSJMGSJMGSJMPUNT35ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD1077ydFG1242ydTD1-16ydPUNT55ydTD468ydFG41ydTD28ydTD1175ydTD175ydEND21ydTD475ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT521ydPUNT3-9ydTD536ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-1ydTO216ydTD236ydPUNT3-2ydTD1163ydPUNT37ydTO424ydTD845ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and James Madison
StatisticGeorgia StateJames Madison
Passing8-1521-27
Pass Yards176274
Rush Yards81151
Total Yards257425
Turnovers14
3rd Down3-139-14
Penalties6-545-30
Possession24:4535:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
8/15, 176 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marcus Carroll
13 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jamari Thrash
4 REC, 136 YDS, 1 TD
defense
James Madison
passing
Todd Centeio
21/27, 274 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Percy Agyei-Obese
20 CAR, 89 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Terrance Greene Jr.
2 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Isaac Ukwu
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds, downed at the JMads 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 6 yds to the JMads 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 40 yds, downed at the JMads 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Todd Centeio pass complete to Wayne Knight for 3 yds to the JMads 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the JMads 32

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Kaelon Black run for 13 yds to the JMads 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 3 yds to the JMads 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.03

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

CENTEIO, Todd pass to the right incomplete intended for RAVENEL, Devin thrown to the GSU27. PENALTY GSU Holding on LANE, Antavious enforced 10 yards from the GSU39 to the GSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.95

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 26 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 16 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the JMads 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the JMads 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the JMads 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.30

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 7 yds to the JMads 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Darren Grainger run for no gain to the JMads 32

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Darren Grainger sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 33

4th & 11Field Goal Good+51 yds

Michael Hayes 51 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Wayne Knight return for 35 yds to the JMads 37

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+21 ydsPPA -8.95

Javon Denis 21 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Hayes Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Wayne Knight return for 20 yds to the JMads 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds to the JMads 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 30

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Tyshawn Wyatt) to the JMads 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Todd Centeio pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 5 yds to the JMads 30

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.29

Todd Centeio sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 5 yards to the JMads 25

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

Sam Clark punt for 45 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.73

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 39 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the JMads 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the JMads 28

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.88

Darren Grainger run for 28 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the JMads 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the JMads 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Michael Hayes 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+32 ydsPPA -7.57

Terrell Gordon 32 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 15 yds to the JMads 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 23 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BLACK, Kaelon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the GSU33 (WHITE, Quavian;ABRAHAM, Justin). PENALTY Before the snap, JMU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GSU37 to the GSU42. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 18Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 18 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 9 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

CENTEIO, Todd pass up the middle incomplete intended for RAVENEL, Devin thrown to the GSU0. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on CRAWFORD, Jacorey enforced 14 yards to the GSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper CENTEIO, Todd rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the GSU0, TOUCHDOWN JMU, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:17 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY JMU Holding on HORTON, Zach enforced 10 yards from the GSU3 to the GSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 9 yds to the GeoSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 75 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for no gain to the JMads 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 1 yd to the JMads 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 8 yds to the JMads 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +4.11

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 62 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger sacked by Jamree Kromah for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the JMads 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 8 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.16

Kaelon Black run for 15 yds to the JMads 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMads 49

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the JMads 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.23

Darren Grainger sacked by Jamree Kromah and Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 25 yds, downed at the GeoSt 36

3rd & 13Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.76

Todd Centeio run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Todd Centeio sacked by Shamar McCollum for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

HAYES, Michael punt 47 yards to the JMU27 downed by BERNSTEIN, Jack, clock 04:21. PENALTY Before the snap, GSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the GSU26 to the GSU21. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 14Punt+1 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 34 yds , Devyn Coles returns for 1 yd to the JMads 46

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 42 Todd Centeio fumbled, recovered by JMads Todd Centeio

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the JMads 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -0.25

Darren Grainger run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 36 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by JMads Devyn Coles

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 36 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Darren Grainger sacked by Devyn Coles for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+39 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 39 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Kris Thornton run for 11 yds to the JMads 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 19 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 24

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 6 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 23

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 8 yds to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 16

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 62 yds , KZ Adams return for 17 yds to the GeoSt 20

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Darren Grainger sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 11 yds to the GeoSt 27

4th & 3Punt-6 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.50

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 18 yds to the JMads 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.72

run for no gain to the JMads 45 fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Tre Moore

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the JMads 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the JMads 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the JMads 28

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the JMads 27

4th & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.49

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 15 yds to the JMads 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the JMads 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Malik Sumter) to the JMads 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Darren Grainger 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.13

Todd Centeio run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

[NHSG] Kneel down by JMU at GSU35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
22%
18 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
24%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play