Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 21.3

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 89%

Market (consensus)

South Alabama -16.5

Edge: South Alabama -16.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
0071421
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
10771438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-017-017-724-1431-2138-21
South AlabamaTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSSATSTSTD465ydPUNT310ydFG1241ydPUNT416ydPUNT920ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-6ydTD1043ydPUNT415ydMISS1349ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT32ydTD1080ydPUNT626ydPUNT411ydTD352ydTD869ydTD872ydTD1475ydPUNT32ydTD10ydDOWNS1045yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and South Alabama
StatisticTexas StateSouth Alabama
Passing24-4220-34
Pass Yards143274
Rush Yards87106
Total Yards230380
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-155-17
Penalties5-4511-121
Possession26:2733:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Layne Hatcher
24/42, 143 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Berry
15 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lincoln Pare
6 REC, 50 YDS
defense
South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
20/34, 274 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Marco Lee
14 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Devin Voisin
6 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 41 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Layne Hatcher sacked by James Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 9

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 6 yds to the TexSt 15

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 25 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the SAlab 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 8 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 25 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the TexSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 8 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 25 yds to the TexSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the TexSt 17

4th & 11Field Goal Good+35 yds

Diego Guajardo 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Drue Jackson for 11 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Lincoln Pare

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 6 yds to the TexSt 49

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Layne Hatcher run for 1 yd to the TexSt 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 8

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Marco Lee run for 5 yds to the SAlab 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 9 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marco Lee run for 5 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.07

Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the SAlab 36

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.81

Carter Bradley sacked by London Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 28 Carter Bradley fumbled, recovered by TexSt Carter Bradley , return for 0 yards

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Titus Lyons

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 2 yds to the TexSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Donnovan Moorer

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 4 yds to the SAlab 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , Rontavius Groves returns for 4 yds to the TexSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.19

Layne Hatcher sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 19

4th & 16Punt+10 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 10 yds to the TexSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the TexSt 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.33

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the TexSt 12

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the TexSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the TexSt 1

3rd & 1Rush+1 yds

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TexSt 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Lincoln Pare run for 10 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the TexSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 5 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-Jones

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-Jones

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 8 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-Jones

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the TexSt 47

4th & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.17

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 22 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 12 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 19Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Diego Guajardo 37 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 58 yds , Josh Berry return for 20 yds to the TexSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Drue Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 4 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.58

Layne Hatcher sacked by Brock Higdon for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 22

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SAlab 36

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.10

Carter Bradley sacked by Sione Tupou for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 30

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 7 yds to the SAlab 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rontavius Groves at the TexSt 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Berry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Berry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.60

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 18 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Donnovan Moorer for 11 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Austin Groeschel for 1 yd to the SAlab 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 4 yds for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael James kickoff for 60 yds , Braylon McReynolds return for 15 yds to the SAlab 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 16 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marco Lee run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-Jones

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 4 yds to the SAlab 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Lincoln Pare run for 11 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Charles Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Drue Jackson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Lincoln Pare

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 42 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 48

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Marco Lee run for 10 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Marco Lee run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.99

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 41 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 45 yds , Issiah Nixon return for 11 yds to the TexSt 31

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Josh Berry run for 10 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Josh Berry run for 7 yds to the TexSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Donnovan Moorer

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Josh Berry run for 9 yds to the SAlab 28

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Charles Brown

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Donnovan Moorer for 3 yds to the SAlab 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Josh Berry run for 5 yds for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Michael James kickoff for 39 yds , Todd Justice return for 2 yds to the SAlab 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Marco Lee run for 8 yds to the SAlab 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marco Lee run for 5 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin Lacy

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.51

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 28 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Berry run for 7 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Josh Berry run for 13 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Josh Berry run for 11 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Donnovan Moorer for 4 yds to the SAlab 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Rontavius Groves for 6 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Josh Berry run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Josh Berry for 2 yds to the SAlab 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Berry run for 12 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Berry run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1

2nd & 1Rush+3 yds

Josh Berry run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Chandler Speights for 1 yd to the SAlab 3

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Layne Hatcher run for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Marco Lee run for 7 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Marco Lee run for 3 yds to the TexSt 45

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the TexSt 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 4

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+15 ydsPPA -7.06

Ke'Shun Brown 15 Yd Interception Return (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 11 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Chandler Speights for 8 yds to the SAlab 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 1 yd to the SAlab 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.56

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 6 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 10 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jahmyl Jeter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 1 yd to the SAlab 30

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.76

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
6 plays
100%
1 play