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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 10.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 24%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas State +9

Edge: South Alabama -9 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
1428731
Arkansas StateArkansas State
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-143-163-243-31
Arkansas StateSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASTD584ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT426ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-6ydTD254ydFG861ydDOWNS622ydPUNT55ydPUNT732ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT413ydSAF1-3ydDOWNS510ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT33ydEND212ydDOWNS936ydTD1361ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydPUNT71ydPUNT34ydPUNT48ydPUNT31ydTO28ydTD1152ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Arkansas State
StatisticSouth AlabamaArkansas State
Passing17-2422-39
Pass Yards179177
Rush Yards183-19
Total Yards362158
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-152-14
Penalties8-352-25
Possession35:5924:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Carter Bradley
17/24, 179 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
La'Damian Webb
28 CAR, 162 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jalen Wayne
3 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas State
passing
James Blackman
22/39, 177 YDS
rushing
Marcel Murray
4 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Jeff Foreman
6 REC, 98 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 63 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 14 yds to the SAlab 16

1st & 10Rush+69 ydsPPA +4.02

La'Damian Webb run for 69 yds to the ArkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Marco Lee run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 7

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 5 yds to the ArkSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

William Przystup punt for 51 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 9 yds to the SAlab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 2 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the SAlab 32

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 27

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for 1 yd to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 22 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 6 yds to the SAlab 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

James Blackman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 1 yd to the SAlab 46

4th & 5Punt+24 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 47 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for 24 yds to the ARST 30 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (A.J. DeShazor Jr.) to the ArkSt 41

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.45

James Blackman sacked by Gi'Narious Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 5 yds to the ArkSt 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.08

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 49 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 14 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.74

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 42 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+32 yds

Dominic Zvada 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 10 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the SAlab 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.53

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 13 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LANG, Johnnie rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the USA32 (MILLER, James;KISER, Trey). PENALTY ASU Block below the waist on TRAORE, Seydou enforced 15 yards from the USA33 to the USA48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.84

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for no gain to the SAlab 48

2nd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 6 yds to the SAlab 42

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 40 yds, downed at the SAlab 2

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the SAlab 1

1st & 11Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the SAlab 1

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Marco Lee run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 4 yds to the SAlab 8

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jalen Wayne) to the SAlab 4

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.09

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 18 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 2 yds to the SAlab 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 47 yds, downed at the ArkSt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marcel Murray run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 4 yds to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 2Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.78

James Blackman sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the ArkSt 13

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, downed at the SAlab 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 19 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Omni Wells run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 35

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 34

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jack Brooks) to the ArkSt 39

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, downed at the ArkSt 3

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (Yam Banks) to the ArkSt 8

1st & 5Safety-8 ydsPPA -2.79

James Blackman sacked by James Miller and Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.90

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 48

4th & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-13 ydsPPA -0.12

run for a loss of 13 yards to the SAlab 35 fumbled, recovered by SAlab Jack Brooks

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.78

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 39

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Marco Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 1

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Marco Lee run for no gain to the SAlab 1

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 5

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for no gain to the SAlab 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 12 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ernesto Ramirez) declined for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 63 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 23 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 8 yds to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Marcel Murray run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Johnnie Lang run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.92

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 8 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the SAlab 39

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the SAlab 39

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

James Blackman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 23 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.43

Carter Bradley run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 6 yds to the ArkSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 6

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 2

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Marco Lee run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marco Lee run for no gain to the ArkSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Bradley pass to DJ Thomas-Jones for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 62 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 29 yds to the ArkSt 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

BLACKMAN, James sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the ASU28 (SHERIFF, Jamie). PENALTY ASU Holding on WATSON, Aleric enforced 10 yards from the ASU37 to the ASU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.47

James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 12 yds to the ArkSt 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the SAlab 10

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 12

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 15

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 35 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 6 yds to the SAlab 43

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.42

James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 5 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.02

James Blackman sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 49

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 5 yds to the SAlab 16

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 11 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.66

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 47

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 41 yds, downed at the SAlab 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Marco Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 5

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Carter Bradley run for no gain to the SAlab 5

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 46

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.95

James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 6 yds Johnnie Lang fumbled, recovered by SAlab Gi'Narious Johnson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 6

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.78

La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jacob Meeks kickoff for 53 yds , Wyatt Begeal return for no gain to the ArkSt 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Mike Sharpe II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Sharpe II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 7

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
36%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play