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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 33%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss +2.5

Edge: Louisiana -2.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
566724
Southern MissSouthern Miss
20901039

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284213-420-529-529-1129-1732-1739-24
Southern MissLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOULOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOUSMLOULOUSMTO10ydDOWNS47ydPUNT512ydTO10ydTD519ydPUNT3-4ydTD359ydPUNT38ydTD176ydFG942ydPUNT520ydSAF2-1ydTD1169ydTD575ydPUNT34ydMISS646ydPUNT520ydEND14ydTO449ydPUNT67ydDOWNS645ydPUNT3-3ydTD685ydPUNT625ydTO20ydFG828ydDOWNS1456ydTO13ydTD37ydPUNT31ydTD516ydDOWNS49ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Southern Miss
StatisticLouisianaSouthern Miss
Passing21-469-18
Pass Yards336189
Rush Yards103150
Total Yards439339
Turnovers42
3rd Down5-147-16
Penalties7-558-50
Possession26:4733:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Ben Wooldridge
21/46, 336 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Chris Smith
11 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Michael Jefferson
6 REC, 179 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Zach Wilcke
8/17, 137 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
23 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Jason Brownlee
3 REC, 102 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Thomas Leo kickoff for 64 yds , Tiaquelin Mims return for 24 yds to the SoMis 25

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Wilcke pass intercepted

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 4 yds to the SoMis 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 34

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -2.72

Chris Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 35

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

run for 1 yd to the SoMis 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Latreal Jones for 2 yds to the SoMis 45

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 2 yds to the SoMis 42

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 27

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Wooldridge pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chandler Pittman run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.59

Frank Gore Jr. run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Janari Dean run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chandler Pittman run for no gain to the LaLaf 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Janari Dean run for 1 yd for a TD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 64 yds , Dontae Fleming return for 27 yds to the SOUMISS 38 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the LaLaf 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ben Wooldridge sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 14

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 4 yds to the SoMis 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Janari Dean run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Pittman run for 5 yds to the SoMis 48

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.26

Tiaquelin Mims 52 Yd pass from Frank Gore Jr. (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 62 yds , Jacob Kibodi return for 17 yds to the LaLaf 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 24

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.15

Jason Brownlee 76 Yd pass from Zach Wilcke (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 24 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offsides (Armondous Cooley) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Terrence Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+50 yds

Kenneth Almendares 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Pittman run for 5 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Frank Gore Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GORE, Frank rush to the right for a gain of 31 yards to the UL32 (AMOS, Trey). PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the USM37 to the USM32. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Janari Dean run for no gain to the SoMis 32

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

run for 11 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

run for 1 yd to the SoMis 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 55 yds, downed at the LaLaf 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2

2nd & 9Safety-2 ydsPPA -1.81

Camron Harrell Safety

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the SoMis 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Antavious Willis run for 7 yds to the SoMis 38

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

run for 6 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.44

run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Chandler Pittman run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 14 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Jason Brownlee 12 Yd pass from Zach Wilcke (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrence Williams for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.65

Michael Jefferson 63 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Kenneth Almendares PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chandler Pittman run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Offsides (Mason Narcisse) to the SoMis 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 30

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Wilcke sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 20 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.10

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 26 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Kenneth Almendares 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Janari Dean run for 3 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Antavious Willis run for 10 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 40

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Janari Dean run for 3 yds to the SoMis 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Chris Smith run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.16

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 22 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.95

Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the SoMis 26 Chris Smith fumbled, recovered by SoMis Jay Stanley

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Chandler Pittman run for 6 yds to the SoMis 32

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Wilcke run for 1 yd to the SoMis 33

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.27

run for 3 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Janari Dean run for 2 yds to the SoMis 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chandler Pittman run for 3 yds to the SoMis 41

3rd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.12

run for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.05

Dontae Fleming run for 34 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the SoMis 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for no gain to the SoMis 37

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 2 yds to the SoMis 39

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Jason Brownlee) to the SoMis 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.54

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 27 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.82

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 42 yds to the SoMis 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrence Williams for 5 yds to the SoMis 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

John Stephens Jr. 9 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 20

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Zach Wilcke run for 9 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

run for no gain to the SoMis 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 15 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 19 yds, downed at the LaLaf 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ben Wooldridge pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Janari Dean run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Janari Dean run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.63

run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

WILCKE, Zach pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWNLEE, Jason thrown to the UL0. PENALTY UL Pass Interference on MCDANIEL, Amir enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UL9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ben Wooldridge run for no gain to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Touch-Pass on BERNARD, Jacob enforced (Jacob Bernard) to the LaLaf 48

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offsides (Daylen Gill) to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the SoMis 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 13 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 4 yds to the SoMis 16

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the SoMis 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the SoMis 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.06

run for 3 yds to the SoMis 7 Frank Gore Jr. fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Kam Pedescleaux

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the SoMis 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chris Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 1

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for OSSAI, KC. PENALTY USM Roughing the Passer on STANLEY, Jay enforced 15 yards from the UL00 to the UL15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Terrence Williams 1 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

run for no gain to the SoMis 35

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

run for no gain to the SoMis 35

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

run for 1 yd to the SoMis 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, downed at the LaLaf 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.58

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 20 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Ben Wooldridge sacked by Dominic Quewon and Quentin Bivens for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 35

4th & 14Interception Return Touchdown+52 ydsPPA -6.76

Natrone Brooks 52 Yd Interception Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 58 yds , Dontae Fleming return for 27 yds to the SOUMISS 38 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyrone Lewis Jr.) to the LaLaf 4

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Ben Wooldridge sacked by Brodarius Lewis for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 18

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrence Williams for 10 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NHSG] Kneel down by USM at UL34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
32 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th