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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 5.6

Home Win Probability

App State 64%

Market (consensus)

App State -9.5

Edge: Georgia State +9.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
1400317
App StateApp State
07211442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-1414-1421-1428-1435-1742-17
App StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSGSASPUNT521ydTD1179ydPUNT521ydTD778ydPUNT37ydPUNT615ydPUNT535ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydPUNT721ydTD1275ydPUNT36ydDOWNS838ydTO423ydTD669ydPUNT4-5ydTD1067ydTO3-6ydTD513ydFG743ydTD830ydPUNT34ydTD1075ydTO22ydTO530ydEND225yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and App State
StatisticGeorgia StateApp State
Passing9-237-17
Pass Yards7362
Rush Yards228404
Total Yards301466
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-144-13
Penalties4-465-60
Possession23:2636:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
9/23, 73 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Darren Grainger
19 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ahmon Green
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Chase Brice
7/17, 62 YDS
rushing
Camerun Peoples
23 CAR, 168 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Henry Pearson
1 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Logan Doublin
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 7 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 7 yds to the AppSt 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ronald Clarke) to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Darren Grainger sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.15

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 13 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Tucker Gregg run for 22 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the AppSt 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the AppSt 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Daetrich Harrington run for 14 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Michael Hetzel

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 3 yds to the AppSt 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Darren Grainger run for 18 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.94

Darren Grainger run for 21 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the AppSt 26

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Darren Grainger 26 Yd Run (Michael Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the AppSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.39

Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nathan Kibambe at the AppSt 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christan Horn

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.45

Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christan Horn

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamyest Williams for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds , Tyler Page returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the AppSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dalton Stroman

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 23

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.86

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 5 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 20

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 16

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.17

Camerun Peoples 16 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Nate Noel

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Chase Brice pass incomplete

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 35 yds for a 1ST down , Ahmon Green return for no gain to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Tucker Gregg run for 21 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 33

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the AppSt 32

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.92

Darren Grainger sacked by Nick Hampton at AppSt 32, Darren Grainger fumbled, forced by Nick Hampton, recovered at AppSt 31

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Camerun Peoples run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nate Noel run for no gain to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.52

Ahmani Marshall run for 37 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the GeoSt 20

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ahmon Green

4th & 25Punt+5 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 52 yds , Tyler Page returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.49

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.93

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 31 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 5

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Brice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 46 yds , Ahmon Green return for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari Thrash

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.45

Darren Grainger sacked by Jalen McLeod for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 16

3rd & 16Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Darren Grainger pass intercepted Tyler Bird return for 12 yds to the GeoSt 13

1st & 13Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.73

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 9 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSt 19

1st & 0Rush+6 yds

Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the GeoSt 13

3rd & 0Penalty+11 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Brice 1 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 55 yds , Jamyest Williams return for 17 yds to the GeoSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.03

Tucker Gregg run for 27 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Darren Grainger sacked by Kevon Haigler and TEAM for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 yds

Michael Hayes 47 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 58 yds , Milan Tucker return for 63 yds to the GeoSt 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Noel run for no gain to the GeoSt 21

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Miller Gibbs

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.66

Camerun Peoples run for 41 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Anderson Castle run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Anderson Castle 2 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Darren Grainger sacked by Kyle Arnholt for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 15 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by AppSt Kevon Haigler , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the GeoSt 15 Kevon Haigler fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Montavious Cunningham , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 22 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.20

Darren Grainger sacked by Donovan Spellman for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 39

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.43

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 1 yd Cadarrius Thompson fumbled, recovered by AppSt Kyle Arnholt

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.62

Anderson Castle run for 21 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
16 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
88%
8 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
75%
4 plays