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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 23.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 7%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas State +11.5

Edge: James Madison -11.5 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
James MadisonJames Madison
01472142
Arkansas StateArkansas State
0310720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-146-1413-2113-2820-42
Arkansas StateJames Madison

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMASJMASJMASJMASJMASASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMPUNT49ydPUNT35ydPUNT1149ydPUNT33ydMISS713ydFG1465ydTD877ydPUNT38ydTD1387ydEND17ydFG1356ydTD475ydTD563ydMISS1774ydPUNT3-8ydTD343ydTD575ydTD575ydTO23ydTD128ydPUNT31ydEND943yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing James Madison and Arkansas State
StatisticJames MadisonArkansas State
Passing28-3716-26
Pass Yards394247
Rush Yards20420
Total Yards598267
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-124-13
Penalties5-360-0
Possession36:4523:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

James Madison
passing
Todd Centeio
28/37, 394 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Percy Agyei-Obese
21 CAR, 158 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kris Thornton
9 REC, 173 YDS
defense
Arkansas State
passing
James Blackman
16/26, 247 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brian Snead
15 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Seydou Traore
3 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 65 yds , Solomon Vanhorse return for 20 yds to the JMads 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 15 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMads 30

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 29

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+9 yds

Sam Clark punt for 45 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 52 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 7 yds to the JMads 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds to the JMads 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the JMads 34

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the JMads 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the JMads 43

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Latrele Palmer run for 6 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 17 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for no gain to the ArkSt 31

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 34 yds, downed at the ArkSt 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 3

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 5

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

William Przystup punt for 45 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 9 yds to the ArkSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 5 yds to the ArkSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 28

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Camden Wise 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.17

James Blackman sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.45

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 47 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brian Snead run for no gain to the JMads 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 4 yds to the JMads 25

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the JMads 21

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.93

AJ Mayer run for 5 yds to the JMads 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

James Blackman pass complete to Brian Snead for 2 yds to the JMads 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.15

James Blackman sacked by Taurus Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the JMads 23

4th & 17Penalty0 yds

ZVADA, Dominic field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at JMU31], score nullified by penalty. PENALTY JMU Roughing the Kicker on SWANN, Jordan enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the JMU23 to the JMU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the JMads 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the JMads 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Dominic Zvada 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 61 yds , Solomon Vanhorse return for 19 yds to the JMads 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 8 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

JMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the JMads 21

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the JMads 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.14

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 41 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 10 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 13 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 64 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 37 yds to the ArkSt 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

James Blackman pass complete to Brian Snead for 3 yds to the ArkSt 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 41 yds, downed at the JMads 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 8 yds to the JMads 21

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 12 yds to the JMads 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the JMads 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 6 yds to the JMads 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 17 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 9 yds to the ArkSt 14

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.49

Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 10 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 64 yds , Reagan Ealy return for 24 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Snead run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 64 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 24 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Snead run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Brian Snead run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 20 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 45

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

James Blackman run for 9 yds to the JMads 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 9 yds to the JMads 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Brian Snead run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 29

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 14 yds to the JMads 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.29

James Blackman sacked by Jailin Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 19

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 yds

Dominic Zvada 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.93

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 54 yds to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 2 yds to the ArkSt 17

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 17 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 65 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 37 yds to the ArkSt 37

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

JMU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Brent Austin) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Snead run for no gain to the JMads 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.03

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 17 yds to the JMads 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.92

run for a loss of 7 yards to the JMads 13

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 13 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 64 yds , Solomon Vanhorse return for 10 yds to the JMads 11

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Kris Thornton run for 13 yds to the JMads 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 10 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the JMads 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the JMads 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 7 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.28

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 13

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kris Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Camden Wise 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Snead run for no gain to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

James Blackman sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 14

3rd & 16Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.05

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 12

4th & 18Punt+14 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 45 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 14 yds to the ArkSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.81

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 30 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 9

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.02

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 37 yds to the JMads 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.36

James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 33 yds to the JMads 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 4 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 35 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 31

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.11

P. Agyei-Obese run for 31 yds for a TD, (C. Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Blackman run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.46

James Blackman sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

T. Centeio pass,to D. Painter for 28 yds for a TD, (C. Wise KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Camden Wise kickoff for 47 yds , Reagan Ealy return for 5 yds to the ArkSt 23

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

James Blackman sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

James Blackman pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 5 yds to the ArkSt 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, downed at the JMads 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 34

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the JMads 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 23 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Nick Kidwell) to the ArkSt 38

2nd & 14Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.74

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

[NH] Kneel down by JMU at ASU20 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

[NH] Kneel down by JMU at ASU25 (team loss of 5).

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

[NH] Kneel down by JMU at ASU27 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
38 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
69%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
26%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
10%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play