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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 31.6

Home Win Probability

James Madison 96%

Market (consensus)

James Madison -21.5

Edge: James Madison -21.5 (10.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
007613
James MadisonJames Madison
71271440

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-012-026-026-740-740-13
James MadisonTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSTSJMJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSJMTSPUNT3-3ydPUNT39ydPUNT420ydTD876ydTO418ydDOWNS950ydPUNT35ydPUNT30ydPUNT49ydFG1285ydSAF42ydTO435ydTD10ydPUNT36ydEND211ydTD1075ydTD875ydTO521ydDOWNS720ydTO437ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT35ydPUNT46ydPUNT31ydTO19ydTD430ydTO112ydTD437ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydTD772yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and James Madison
StatisticTexas StateJames Madison
Passing13-2715-25
Pass Yards140257
Rush Yards106203
Total Yards246460
Turnovers43
3rd Down2-126-13
Penalties6-490-0
Possession26:0533:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Layne Hatcher
13/27, 140 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Lincoln Pare
17 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Marcell Barbee
4 REC, 56 YDS
defense
James Madison
passing
Todd Centeio
15/25, 257 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Latrele Palmer
27 CAR, 106 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kris Thornton
4 REC, 97 YDS
defense
Taurus Jones
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Layne Hatcher sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 56 yds, downed at the JMads 22

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMads 22 Kaelon Black fumbled, recovered by JMads

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 9 yds to the JMads 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMads 31

4th & 1Punt+10 yds

Sam Clark punt for 53 yds , Ashtyn Hawkins returns for 10 yds to the TexSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Josh Berry for 17 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, False Start (Kyle Hergel) to the TexSt 38

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TexSt 38

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 6 yds to the TexSt 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 30 yds, downed at the JMads 24

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Todd Centeio sacked by Levi Bell for a loss of 5 yards to the JMads 19

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 10 yds to the JMads 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.08

Todd Centeio pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 46 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the TexSt 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 8 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Kris Thornton run for 5 yds to the TexSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Layne Hatcher run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 4 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.98

Layne Hatcher pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the JMads 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.25

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 28 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the TexSt 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 12 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the TexSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the TexSt 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the TexSt 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Lincoln Pare run for 5 yds to the TexSt 7

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, Block below the waist on HUFF, Tyler ( Yards) declined

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Sam Clark punt for 36 yds , Ashtyn Hawkins returns for 4 yds to the TexSt 18

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSt 19

1st & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.85

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Micah Hilts for 12 yds to the TexSt 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 68 yds, downed at the JMads 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 9

3rd & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.36

Todd Centeio run for 30 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 24 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the TexSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Todd Centeio pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 11 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the TexSt 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Camden Wise 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

4th & 8Safety-27 ydsPPA -1.77

run for a loss of 27 yards for a SAFETY

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Mason Shipley kickoff for 39 yds , Que Reid return for 23 yds to the JMads 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 14 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Latrele Palmer run for 11 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.36

Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the TexSt 16 Latrele Palmer fumbled, recovered by TexSt Sione Tupou

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+22 ydsPPA -7.42

Jailin Walker 22 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 52 yds , Donnovan Moorer return for 17 yds to the TexSt 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 7 yds to the TexSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the JMads 20

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 24 for a 1ST down

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 1 yd to the JMads 26

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Todd Centeio run for 18 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Latrele Palmer run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 11 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the TexSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Todd Centeio pass complete to Wayne Knight for 9 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.83

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 27 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the TexSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 24 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 11 yds to the JMads 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 39

3rd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.51

Lincoln Pare run for 22 yds to the JMads 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Charles Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Latrele Palmer run for 7 yds to the JMads 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the JMads 39

3rd & 6Penalty+7 yds

CENTEIO, Todd pass to the left incomplete intended for GREENE JR., Terrance thrown to the TSU35. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on SPEARS, Tory enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the JMU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.82

Todd Centeio pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Lincoln Pare run for 6 yds to the JMads 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 6 yds to the JMads 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Lincoln Pare run for 7 yds to the JMads 31

4th & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.63

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 1 yd to the JMads 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Latrele Palmer run for 6 yds to the JMads 36

2nd & 4Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.18

Latrele Palmer run for 25 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sammy Malignaggi run for 5 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.95

Sammy Malignaggi run for 1 yd to the TexSt 33 Sammy Malignaggi fumbled, recovered by TexSt Jarron Morris

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 29

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

Layne Hatcher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 20

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 66 yds, downed at the JMads 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Latrele Palmer run for 9 yds to the JMads 23

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexSt 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Lincoln Pare run for 13 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the JMads 49

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Marcell Barbee) to the TexSt 36

2nd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the TexSt 38

3rd & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Donnovan Moorer for 3 yds to the TexSt 41

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 31 yds, downed at the JMads 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMads 29

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the JMads 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexSt 21

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.67

Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds to the TexSt 30 Lincoln Pare fumbled, recovered by JMads Sam Kidd

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Todd Centeio pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 13 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offsides (Davon Sears Jr.) to the TexSt 12

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.92

Josh Berry run for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 Josh Berry fumbled, recovered by JMads Jarius Reimonenq

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.34

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 34 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the TexSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the TexSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jahmyl Jeter run for 7 yds to the TexSt 32

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jahmyl Jeter run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds, downed at the JMads 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the JMads 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Sammy Malignaggi run for 2 yds to the JMads 29

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sammy Malignaggi run for 4 yds to the JMads 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ashtyn Hawkins at the TexSt 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jahmyl Jeter run for 9 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.85

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 15 yds to the JMads 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.94

Jahmyl Jeter run for 21 yds to the JMads 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the JMads 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.70

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 17 yds to the JMads 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the JMads 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play