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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 9.5

Home Win Probability

Southern Illinois 68%

Market (consensus)

Southern Illinois -5.5

Edge: Southern Illinois -5.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Iowa
7213637
Southern Illinois
10712736

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-1417-2117-2823-3129-3136-37
Southern IllinoisNorthern Iowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SINISINISINISINISININISINISINISINISINISIFG1173ydTD975ydTD566ydTD1275ydPUNT3-5ydTD564ydTD1176ydTD779ydPUNT727ydEND1-1ydTO1-11ydTD214ydFG1367ydTD675ydPUNT949ydTD988ydTD1175ydMISS1252ydPUNT34ydEND669yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois
StatisticNorthern IowaSouthern Illinois
Passing27-3234-48
Pass Yards330485
Rush Yards13155
Total Yards461540
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-107-12
Penalties5-536-65
Possession32:3727:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
27/32, 330 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Vance McShane
13 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Sam Schnee
8 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
34/48, 485 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Javon Williams Jr.
7 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Avante' Cox
5 REC, 102 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 19 yds to the SoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 7 yds to the NIowa 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 15 yds to the NIowa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 5 yds to the NIowa 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Nic Baker pass complete to Remington Lutz for 8 yds to the NIowa 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 10 yds to the NIowa 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIowa 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the NIowa 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the NIowa 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jake Baumgarte 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the NIowa 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 17 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.33

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 28 yds to the SoIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the SoIll 21

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dom Williams run for no gain to the SoIll 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 11 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST down

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 10 yds to the SoIll 10

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Dom rush middle for 0 yards to the SIU10 (Hagarty,Richie) PENALTY UNI Illegal Block in Back (Hampton,Quan) 10 yards from SIU10 to SIU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 8 yds to the SoIll 42

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Javon Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jacob Garrett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.81

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 48 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the NIowa 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the NIowa 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Theo Day pass complete to Dom Williams for 14 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 1 yd to the SoIll 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 9 yds to the SoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.82

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 23 yds to the SoIll 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the SoIll 4

2nd & 4Rush+4 yds

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the SoIll 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Avante Cox run for 5 yds to the SoIll 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Deion McShane at the NIowa 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Vance McShane run for 4 yds to the NIowa 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Theo Day pass complete to Layne Pryor for 3 yds to the NIowa 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.05

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 34 yds to the SoIll 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Vance McShane run for 4 yds to the SoIll 27

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.53

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Romeir Elliott run for 3 yds to the SoIll 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 16 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the SoIll 37 Romeir Elliott fumbled, recovered by SoIll Makel Calhoun

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +3.02

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 16 yds Jacob Garrett fumbled, recovered by SoIll D'Ante' Cox for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short middle to Cox,D'Ante' PENALTY SIU Pass Interference (Cox,D'Ante') 15 yards from UNI47 to SIU38. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 6 yds to the SoIll 44

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 10 yds to the NIowa 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.91

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 27 yds to the NIowa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 2 yds to the NIowa 17

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short left to Garrett,Jacob broken up by Sander,Korby, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNI Pass Interference (Sander,Korby) 15 yards from UNI17 to UNI02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Vance McShane run for 2 yds to the NIowa 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 3 yds to the NIowa 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.87

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 22 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 22 yds to the SoIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.88

Vance McShane run for 29 yds to the SoIll 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+2 yds

Vance McShane run for 2 yds to the SoIll 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -0.88

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 6 yds to the SoIll 25 SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Block (Avante Cox) to the SoIll 10

1st & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the SoIll 14

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 10 yds to the SoIll 24

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start (Toure,Abdou) 5 yards from SIU24 to SIU19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.03

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 12 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST down NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Benny Sapp III) to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Romeir Elliott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jacob Garrett

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dom Williams at the NIowa 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kneel down by UNI at UNI14 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Theo Day sacked by Makel Calhoun for a loss of 11 yards to the NIowa 14 Theo Day fumbled, recovered by SoIll Kameron Bowdry , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Nic Baker pass complete to Remington Lutz for 10 yds to the NIowa 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Vance McShane run for 10 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Theo Day pass complete to Logan Wolf for 11 yds to the NIowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Vance McShane run for 11 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 7 yds to the SoIll 36

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Vance McShane run for 11 yds to the SoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Vance McShane run for 7 yds to the SoIll 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 4 yds to the SoIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Theo Day run for 2 yds to the SoIll 16

2nd & 12Penalty+10 yds

SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Okeke) to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Vance McShane run for no gain to the SoIll 11

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Theo Day run for 3 yds to the SoIll 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Cook 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 9 yds to the SoIll 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 17 yds to the NIowa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jacob Garrett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.17

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 45 yds to the NIowa 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds to the NIowa 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Theo Day run for 5 yds to the NIowa 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.26

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 19 yds to the NIowa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the NIowa 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 9 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the SoIll 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Theo Day pass complete to Dom Williams for 6 yds to the SoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the SoIll 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Theo Day pass incomplete to Logan Wolf

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds to the SoIll 14

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Shaun Lester run for 1 yd to the SoIll 13

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 17 yds to the SoIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SoIll 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Shaun Lester

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.39

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 11 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 18 yds to the NIowa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 11 yds to the NIowa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dom Williams run for 13 yds to the NIowa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Theo Day run for 3 yds to the NIowa 41

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Theo Day pass complete to Dom Williams for 1 yd to the SoIll 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 16 yds to the SoIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the SoIll 24

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Dom Williams run for 7 yds to the SoIll 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Dom Williams run for 12 yds to the SoIll 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dom Williams run for no gain to the SoIll 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Theo Day pass incomplete to Vance McShane

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Theo Day pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the SoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nic Baker run for 7 yds to the SoIll 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Baker,Nic pass complete short right to Cox,D'Ante' for 0 yards to the SIU47 (Sapp,Benny) PENALTY SIU Illegal Shift (Green,Jake) 5 yards from SIU47 to SIU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 48

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Javon Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the NIowa 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 6 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 13 yds to the NIowa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIowa 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 4 yds to the NIowa 21

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIowa 23

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Jake Baumgarte 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Vance McShane run for 1 yd to the NIowa 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Vance McShane run for 1 yd to the NIowa 25

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Vance McShane run for 2 yds to the NIowa 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 17 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 5 yds to the NIowa 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nic Baker pass intercepted, touchback.

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass intercepted by Brekke,Jevon at UNI00, Touchback PENALTY UNI Offside (Bailey,Cordarrius) 5 yards from UNI48 to UNI43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.41

Nic Baker pass complete to Jathen Jones for 42 yds to the NIowa 1 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
59%
27 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play