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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southeast Missouri State by 9

Home Win Probability

Southeast Missouri State 70%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Southeast Missouri State -4

Edge: Southeast Missouri State -4 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Arkansas
0173727
Southeast Missouri State
7210735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-1421-1428-1728-2035-2035-27
Southeast Missouri StateCentral Arkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMSCACASMSCASMSCASMSSMSCASMSCASMSCACASMSCASMSCASMSCASMSCASMSDOWNS1078ydTD3-1ydPUNT622ydPUNT841ydPUNT34ydMISS636ydTD180ydTD1153ydTD177ydPUNT3-3ydTD558ydFG665ydTD00ydMISS864ydPUNT623ydTO27ydFG45ydPUNT933ydDOWNS941ydTD1261ydTD676ydPUNT827ydPUNT34ydEND61yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Arkansas and Southeast Missouri State
StatisticCentral ArkansasSoutheast Missouri State
Passing20-3117-31
Pass Yards364252
Rush Yards16205
Total Yards380457
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-138-15
Penalties5-703-30
Possession23:2036:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Arkansas
passing
Will McElvain
19/30, 284 YDS
rushing
Darius Hale
12 CAR, 24 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jarrod Barnes
3 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
Southeast Missouri State
passing
Paxton DeLaurent
17/31, 252 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Geno Hess
20 CAR, 123 YDS
receiving
Johnny King
5 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 65 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 18 yds to the SEMo 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.43

Geno Hess run for 24 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Geno Hess run for 7 yds to the SEMo 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.11

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Will Weidemann for 23 yds to the CArk 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the CArk 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 17 yds to the CArk 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the CArk 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the CArk 4

4th & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -4.02

DC Pippin run for no gain to the CArk 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Hale run for 3 yds to the CArk 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 14 yds to the CArk 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Will McElvain sacked by Henry Pickens III for a loss of 4 yards Will McElvain fumbled, recovered by SEMo Bryce Norman , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 60 yds , Christian Richmond return for 29 yds to the CArk 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Christian Richmond

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kylin James run for 1 yd to the CArk 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 14 yds to the CArk 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kylin James run for 3 yds to the SEMo 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds to the SEMo 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Will McElvain run for no gain to the SEMo 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will McElvain punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SEMo 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Geno Hess run for 6 yds to the SEMo 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 19 yds to the SEMo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Paxton DeLaurent run for 1 yd to the SEMo 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for 7 yds to the SEMo 49

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Geno Hess run for 7 yds to the CArk 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the CArk 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 39 yds, downed at the CArk 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Darius Hale run for 5 yds to the CArk 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the CArk 11

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.26

Will McElvain sacked by Bryce Norman and Nasim Cairo for a loss of 3 yards to the CArk 8

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dalyn McDonald at the SEMo 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 12 yds to the CArk 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 21 yds to the CArk 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shamenski Rucker run for 3 yds to the CArk 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Johnny King

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+35 yds

DC Pippin 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Kylin James pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 80 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 63 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 30 yds to the SEMo 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 4 yds to the SEMo 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMo 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Danny Joiner for 6 yds to the SEMo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the SEMo 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the CArk 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the CArk 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Geno Hess run for 7 yds to the CArk 40

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

DELAURENT, P. pass incomplete to VICK, Damoriea, PENALTY UCA face mask (Jordan, James) 15 yards to the UCA25, 1ST DOWN SEMO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the CArk 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Ryan Flournoy

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Paxton DeLaurent run for 12 yds to the CArk 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+85 yds

Paxton DeLaurent run for a loss of 6 yards Paxton DeLaurent fumbled, recovered by CArk T.D. Williams , return for 85 yds, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 65 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 23 yds to the SEMo 23

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DELAURENT, P. pass incomplete to KING, Johnny, PENALTY UCA pass interference (Smith, Sean) 15 yards to the SEMO38, 1ST DOWN SEMO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 62 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+15 yds

CENTRAL ARK Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bradley Clark) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Trysten Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 23

2nd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Will McElvain sacked by Jordan Cole for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes, broken up by Lawrence Johnson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dalyn McDonald at the SEMo 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dalyn McDonald for 6 yds to the SEMo 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.90

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Will Weidemann for 28 yds to the CArk 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the CArk 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 14 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 13 yds to the CArk 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.37

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 45 yds to the SEMo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 9 yds to the SEMo 8

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Darius Hale run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 10

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Darius Hale run for no gain to the SEMo 10

4th & 3Field Goal Good+28 yds

Hayden Ray 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 62 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 97 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 5 yds to the CArk 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes, broken up by Bryce Norman

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 5 yds to the CArk 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Will McElvain run for 13 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will McElvain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.28

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 26 yds to the SEMo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Hayden Ray 34 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 65 yds , Christian Richmond return for 28 yds to the SEMISSOURI 37 CENTRAL ARK Penalty, Offensive holding (David Walker) to the CArk 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Hale run for 3 yds to the CArk 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Hale run for 1 yd to the CArk 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.98

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 15 yds to the CArk 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Darius Hale run for 5 yds to the CArk 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Will McElvain run for 1 yd to the CArk 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 41

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 47 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for 4 yds to the SEMo 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 7 yds to the SEMo 23

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.88

Paxton DeLaurent pass intercepted James Jordan return for no gain to the SEMo 25

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Darius Hale run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Will McElvain pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 8 yds to the SEMo 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Kylin James, broken up by JaQori Williams

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

Hayden Ray 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 45 yds , Judd Cunningham return for 3 yds to the SEMo 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Ryan Flournoy

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the SEMo 30

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

HESS, Geno rush for 4 yards to the SEMO34 (Wilson, Tamauri;Clark, KeMari), PENALTY SEMO holding (GIEG, Zack) 10 yards to the SEMO20, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Paxton DeLaurent run for 16 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Shamenski Rucker run for 7 yds to the SEMo 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 4 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Ryan Flournoy, broken up by Sean Smith

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

DELAURENT, P. pass incomplete to MCDONALD, Dalyn, PENALTY UCA roughing passer (Brown, Caden) 15 yards to the UCA38, 1ST DOWN SEMO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OGBONNA, CJ pass incomplete to DELAURENT, P., PENALTY SEMO holding (SIXKILLER, Kobe) 10 yards to the UCA48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Geno Hess run for 9 yds to the CArk 39

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Paxton DeLaurent run for 1 yd to the CArk 38

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Logan Jessup for a loss of 6 yards to the CArk 44 Paxton DeLaurent fumbled, recovered by SEMo Paxton DeLaurent , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jarrod Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Will McElvain pass complete to Austin Eldridge for 12 yds to the CArk 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Austin Eldridge, broken up by William McCall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jared Long

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.38

Will McElvain pass complete to Jared Long for 22 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 8 yds to the SEMo 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes, broken up by Eric Ivory Jr.

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will McElvain run for no gain to the SEMo 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes, broken up by Ty Leonard

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Geno Hess run for 10 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the CArk 46

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Geno Hess run for 10 yds to the CArk 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Johnny King, broken up by T.D. Williams

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Shamenski Rucker run for 12 yds to the CArk 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Shamenski Rucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Danny Joiner, broken up by Cameron Godfrey

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 10 yds to the CArk 15

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.61

Paxton DeLaurent run for 4 yds to the CArk 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Geno Hess run for no gain to the CArk 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Ryan Flournoy, broken up by Sean Smith

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Paxton DeLaurent run for 11 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 61 yds , Christian Richmond return for 20 yds to the CArk 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Trysten Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 18 yds to the CArk 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.15

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 49 yds to the SEMo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Darius Hale run for 7 yds to the SEMo 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the SEMo 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Darius Hale run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 44 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 14 yds to the SEMo 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shamenski Rucker run for 2 yds to the SEMo 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the SEMo 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for 6 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shamenski Rucker run for no gain to the SEMo 46

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Geno Hess run for 15 yds to the CArk 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the CArk 37

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

SE MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the CArk 47

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Ryan Flournoy, broken up by David Walker

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Shamenski Rucker run for 9 yds to the CArk 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 30 yds, downed at the CArk 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 4 yds to the CArk 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Christian Richmond, broken up by Bryce Norman

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Myles Butler, broken up by Eric Ivory Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dalyn McDonald at the SEMo 45

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Geno Hess run for 7 yds to the CArk 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the CArk 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the CArk 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the CArk 48

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 49

3rd & 17Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 46

Situational Analysis

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Southeast Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play