Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Towson 25%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Towson +10.5

Edge: Villanova -10.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
30003
Towson
01031427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-313-327-3
TowsonVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILTOWVILVILTOWVILTOWMISS4-1ydFG1759ydTO10ydPUNT33ydTD1192ydPUNT520ydMISS1361ydPUNT37ydPUNT619ydTO10ydFG49ydPUNT33ydFG843ydPUNT59ydTO447ydPUNT420ydPUNT826ydPUNT30ydTD529ydTD48ydPUNT511ydMISS733ydPUNT413ydEND524yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Towson
StatisticVillanovaTowson
Passing7-2511-21
Pass Yards68125
Rush Yards85267
Total Yards153392
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-155-15
Penalties6-394-34
Possession26:2533:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
7/21, 68 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
TD Ayo-Durojaiye
17 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Rayjoun Pringle
4 REC, 45 YDS
Towson
passing
Tyrrell Pigrome
11/21, 125 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joachim Bangda
17 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Perkins
4 REC, 60 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 58 yds , D'Ago Hunter return for 60 yds to the Villa 33

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 34

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the Villa 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Keegan Vaughan 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 7 yds to the Villa 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Villa 43

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.63

Connor Watkins run for 8 yds to the Tows 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Tows 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 6 yds to the Tows 41

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the Tows 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Eli Smith run for 2 yds to the Tows 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Connor Watkins run for 10 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 8 yds to the Tows 16

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 6 yds to the Tows 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Eli Smith run for 3 yds to the Tows 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matthew Mercurio 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MERCURIO, Matthew kickoff 37 yards from the VIL35 to the TOW28, fair catch by SCHWOB, Robert , clock 06:13. PENALTY VIL Offsides on MIMS, Tyrell enforced 5 yards from the VIL35 to the VIL30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 42 yds , Lukkas Londono return for 13 yds to the Tows 36

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.85

Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the Tows 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tows 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

D'Ago Hunter run for 3 yds to the Tows 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 5 yds to the Tows 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the Tows 17

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the Tows 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Tows 25

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darian Street for 8 yds to the Tows 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the Tows 35

2nd & 7Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.03

Joachim Bangda run for 33 yds to the Villa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the Villa 26

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.65

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Isaiah Perkins for 26 yds for a TD, (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Josh Cupitt kickoff for 46 yds , Jaylan Sanchez return for 7 yds to the Villa 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the Villa 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Villa 32

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the left incomplete intended for PRINGLE, Rayjuon thrown to the VIL47. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on DAVIS, Dorian enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the VIL47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

William Bartel punt for 49 yds , D'Ago Hunter returns for 13 yds to the TOWSON 41 TOWSON Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the Tows 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Tows 12

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Joachim Bangda run for 10 yds to the Tows 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the Tows 25

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 10 yds to the Tows 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

D'Ago Hunter run for 9 yds to the Tows 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

run for 4 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 7 yds to the Villa 45

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Devin Matthews run for 15 yds to the Villa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Villa 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

D'Ago Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 30

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Keegan Vaughan 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the Villa 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 7 yds to the Villa 39

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 2 yards to the Villa 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Joachim Bangda run for 6 yds to the Tows 14

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the Tows 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the Tows 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the Tows 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malik Jackson for 5 yds to the Tows 27

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rayjoun Pringle at the Villa 28

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOWSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Villa 19

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Darian Street for 5 yds to the Villa 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Isaiah Perkins for 9 yds to the Villa 5

4th & 1Field Goal Good+22 yds

Keegan Vaughan 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Josh Cupitt kickoff for 64 yds , Dez Boykin return for 31 yds to the TOWSON 34 VILLANOVA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Villa 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 9 yds to the Villa 28

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, False Start (Temi Ajirotutu) to the Villa 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the Tows 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 20 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Antonio Montero for a loss of 8 yards to the Tows 44

2nd & 18Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 13 yds to the Villa 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Isaiah Perkins for 15 yds to the Villa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the Villa 26

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the Villa 21

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Keegan Vaughan 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Josh Cupitt kickoff for 62 yds , Dez Boykin return for 18 yds to the Villa 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Connor Watkins pass complete to Charlie Gilroy for 8 yds to the Villa 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the right complete for 4 yards to GILROY, Charlie caught at the VIL37 and advanced to the VIL37, out of bounds. PENALTY VIL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BOYKIN, Dez enforced 5 yards from the VIL33 to the VIL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the Villa 31

2nd & 12Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins sacked by Olyfride Okombi for a loss of 11 yards to the Villa 20

3rd & 23Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 10 yds to the Villa 30

4th & 13Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the Tows 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

D'Ago Hunter run for 6 yds to the Tows 33

2nd & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 28 yds to the Villa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Villa 35

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.77

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 9 yds Da'Kendall James fumbled, recovered by Villa Tyrell Mims

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 19 yds to the Villa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the Villa 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the Tows 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Joachim Bangda run for 8 yds to the Tows 24

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.50

Joachim Bangda run for 20 yds to the Tows 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

D'Ago Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.14

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for 13 yds to the Villa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HUNTER, D'Ago rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the VIL41 (FURGESON, Timmy;NELSON, Jared). PENALTY Before the snap, TOW Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the VIL44 to the VIL49. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.41

D'Ago Hunter run for a loss of 9 yards to the Tows 42

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Villa 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the Villa 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, False Start (Ethan Potter) to the Villa 6

4th & 10Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 23 yds, downed at the Villa 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the Villa 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the Villa 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the Villa 20

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 10 yds to the Villa 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Isaiah Perkins for 10 yds for a TD, (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Clayton Harris kickoff for 65 yds , Dez Boykin return for 22 yds to the Villa 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Connor Watkins pass complete to Charlie Gilroy for 10 yds to the Villa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.59

Connor Watkins sacked by Ernie Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Villa 25

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 5 yds to the Villa 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+77 yds

William Bartel punt for 47 yds , D'Ago Hunter returns for 77 yds for a TD, (Keegan Vaughan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Josh Cupitt kickoff for 65 yds , Dez Boykin return for 36 yds to the TOWSON 29 VILLANOVA Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) to the Villa 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Eli Smith run for 7 yds to the Villa 16

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Eli Smith run for 4 yds to the Villa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the Tows 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Tows 43

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Curtis Murray run for 10 yds to the Villa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Curtis Murray run for 18 yds to the Villa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the Villa 24

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Chris Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Villa 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Keegan Vaughan 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Eli Smith run for 10 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt O'Connor sacked by Jesus Gibbs for a loss of 6 yards to the Villa 30

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Matt O'Connor run for 9 yds to the Villa 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the Tows 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Curtis Murray run for 5 yds to the Tows 26

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.24

Curtis Murray run for 22 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

[NHSG] Kneel down by PIGROME, Tyrrell at TOW47 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

[NHSG] Kneel down by PIGROME, Tyrrell at TOW46 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

[NHSG] Kneel down by PIGROME, Tyrrell at TOW45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
27%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Towson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
78%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays