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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Villanova
45
-Final
20
Maine
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Villanova by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Maine 34%

Market (consensus)

Maine +8.5

Edge: Maine +8.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
10217745
Maine
770620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-107-107-177-2414-3114-3820-3820-45
MaineVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIVILMAIMAIVILFG849ydPUNT3-10ydTD641ydTD1065ydTD1265ydPUNT35ydTD383ydTD670ydTD571ydPUNT33ydEND1-1ydPUNT419ydTD586ydPUNT618ydPUNT425ydTD1069ydPUNT36ydDOWNS521ydPUNT32ydTD38ydDOWNS831ydEND834yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Maine
StatisticVillanovaMaine
Passing13-1625-39
Pass Yards255201
Rush Yards211108
Total Yards466309
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-106-14
Penalties2-103-24
Possession31:4728:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
13/16, 255 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
TD Ayo-Durojaiye
9 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Jaaron Hayek
5 REC, 159 YDS, 4 TD
Maine
passing
Joe Fagnano
24/38, 192 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Barnwell
9 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Kobay White
5 REC, 57 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Brian Cooey kickoff for 59 yds , Dez Boykin return for 23 yds to the Villa 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the Villa 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the Villa 32

3rd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.03

Connor Watkins run for 19 yds to the Maine 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Rayjoun Pringle run for 20 yds to the Maine 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 34

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Jackson run for 7 yds to the Maine 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Jackson run for 3 yds to the Maine 24

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Maine 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matthew Mercurio 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 56 yds , Trevin Ewing return for 18 yds to the Maine 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BARNWELL, Elijah rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the MAI39 (GLOVER, Elijah). PENALTY MAI Holding on GERACE, Michael enforced 10 yards from the MAI27 to the MAI17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Elijah Barnwell run for no gain to the Maine 17

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt+13 yds

Brian Cooey punt for 37 yds , Rayjoun Pringle returns for 13 yds to the Maine 41

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 8 yds to the Maine 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.13

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 7 yds to the Maine 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the Maine 21

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.45

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 14 yds to the Maine 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Maine 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jacob Hennie for 6 yds to the Maine 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.30

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Kobay White for 13 yds to the Villa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the Villa 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 7 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyrese Baptiste run for 3 yds to the Villa 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the Villa 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

run for 5 yds to the Villa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Villa 14

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.46

Elijah Barnwell run for 5 yds to the Villa 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Brian Cooey kickoff for 61 yds , Dez Boykin return for 31 yds to the Villa 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the Villa 36

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 33 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by Villa Connor Watkins

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Connor Watkins run for 15 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 3 yds to the Maine 49

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Dez Boykin run for 10 yds to the Maine 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the Maine 38

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Jackson run for 3 yds to the Maine 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jalen Jackson for 5 yds to the Maine 30

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.33

Jalen Jackson run for 5 yds to the Maine 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jack Stanton for 16 yds to the Maine 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the Maine 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 51 yds , Zavier Scott return for 13 yds to the Maine 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tavion Banks run for 2 yds to the Maine 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tavion Banks run for 3 yds to the Maine 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Brian Cooey punt for 53 yds , Rayjoun Pringle returns for 2 yds to the Villa 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the Villa 22

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.79

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for a loss of 5 yards to the Villa 17

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +7.24

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 83 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MAINE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 25

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 58 yds , Trevin Ewing return for 23 yds to the Maine 30

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Kobay White for 4 yds fumbled, forced by Bryce Ganious, recovered by Maine Kobay White

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Kobay White for 15 yds to the Maine 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Kobay White for 11 yds to the Villa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Elijah Barnwell for 7 yds to the Villa 38

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Elijah Barnwell run for 8 yds to the Villa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 30 yds for a TD, (Cole Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Brian Cooey kickoff for 63 yds , Dez Boykin return for 27 yds to the Villa 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 12 yds to the Villa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to Charlie Gilroy for 5 yds to the Villa 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for 16 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 20 yds to the Maine 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 18 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 56 yds , Trevin Ewing return for 18 yds to the Maine 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tavion Banks run for 3 yds to the Maine 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Rayjoun Pringle at the Villa 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 52 yds , Zavier Scott return for 22 yds to the Maine 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for 19 yds to the Villa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Freddie Brock run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Elijah Barnwell for a loss of 4 yards to the Maine 46

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Zavier Scott run for 8 yds to the Villa 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Jackson run for 12 yds to the Villa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the Villa 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.79

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 24 yds to the Maine 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the Maine 42

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.36

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 42 yds for a TD MAINE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Benito Speight) declined, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 58 yds , Trevin Ewing return for 16 yds to the Maine 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Rohan Jones for 3 yds to the Maine 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Elijah Barnwell run for 6 yds to the Maine 32

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Elijah Barnwell run for 9 yds to the Maine 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Zavier Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Maine 37

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Joe Fagnano pass complete to John Gay for 4 yds to the Maine 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rayjoun Pringle at the Villa 17

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 16 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the Villa 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the Villa 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Michael Monios at the Maine 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 23 yds to the Villa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Elijah Barnwell for 4 yds to the Villa 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Kobay White for 14 yds to the Villa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Freddie Brock for 5 yds to the Villa 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 9 yds to the Villa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Barnwell run for 5 yds to the Villa 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Shawn Bowman 9 Yd pass from Elijah Barnwell (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Villa 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the Villa 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 37 yds , Jacob Hennie returns for no gain to the Maine 32

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Zavier Scott run for 12 yds to the Maine 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Freddie Brock run for 9 yds to the Villa 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Freddie Brock run for no gain to the Villa 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 46

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the Villa 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

William Bartel punt for 35 yds , Jacob Hennie returns for 2 yds to the MAINE 49 MAINE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacob Hennie) to the Maine 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 5 yds to the Maine 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for 3 yds to the Maine 17

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+23 ydsPPA -7.09

Jalen Goodman 23 Yd Interception Return (Matthew Mercurio Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 60 yds , Trevin Ewing return for 21 yds to the Maine 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Montigo Moss for 9 yds to the Maine 35

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Elijah Barnwell run for 9 yds to the Maine 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Elijah Barnwell run for 9 yds to the Villa 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Villa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shawn Bowman for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the Villa 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Fagnano pass complete to Freddie Brock for 1 yd to the Villa 43

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Joe Fagnano pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Eli Smith run for 8 yds to the Maine 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Eli Smith run for 1 yd to the Maine 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Eli Smith run for 3 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Eli Smith run for 3 yds to the Maine 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eli Smith run for 5 yds to the Maine 37

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Eli Smith run for no gain to the Maine 37

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Eli Smith run for 5 yds to the Maine 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Julian Glantz run for 9 yds to the Maine 23

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Maine

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play