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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

UAlbany by 6.1

Home Win Probability

UAlbany 59%

Market (consensus)

UAlbany -17

Edge: Central Connecticut +17 (10.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Connecticut
668626
UAlbany
141021045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-614-617-617-1224-1231-1238-1245-2045-26
UAlbanyCentral Connecticut

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UALCCUALCCUALCCUALCCCCCCUALCCUALCCUALCCUALCCUALCCUALTD197ydTD1369ydTD575ydPUNT3-5ydFG1079ydTD1268ydTD1255ydEND1-2ydTD727ydPUNT3-9ydTD777ydTD165ydTD875ydPUNT36ydPUNT55ydPUNT30ydDOWNS723ydPUNT419ydTO32ydTD314ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Connecticut and UAlbany
StatisticCentral ConnecticutUAlbany
Passing7-1618-26
Pass Yards116257
Rush Yards126231
Total Yards242488
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-139-13
Penalties3-306-57
Possession29:2730:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Connecticut
passing
Shon Mitchell
7/16, 116 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nasir Smith
23 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Erik Surratt
4 REC, 98 YDS, 2 TD
UAlbany
passing
Reese Poffenbarger
18/26, 257 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Todd Sibley Jr.
18 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Greaney
6 REC, 87 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+97 ydsPPA +6.96

Todd Sibley run for 97 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Nasir Smith run for 1 yd to the CConn 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 4 yds to the CConn 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Isiah Williams for 7 yds to the CConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nasir Smith run for 1 yd to the CConn 42

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Nasir Smith run for 9 yds to the Alban 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.75

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 12 yds to the Alban 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Shon Mitchell run for 10 yds to the Alban 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the Alban 22

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Barnum kickoff for 53 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 19 yds to the CConn 31

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the Alban 24

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Nasir Smith run for 10 yds to the Alban 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Jadd Dolegala

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Nasir Smith run for 10 yds to the Alban 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Nasir Smith run for 4 yds for a TD, (Santana Fonseca PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 38 yds to the CConn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the CConn 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Todd Sibley run for 2 yds to the CConn 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.05

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 28 yds to the CConn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Joey Carino run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to JaQuan DuFour

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the CConn 40

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Shon Mitchell sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the CConn 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Jackson Parker for 9 yds to the Alban 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Quinn Zinobile for 8 yds to the Alban 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Roy Alexander for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Lavarey Banton for 4 yds to the CConn 46

2nd & 6Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.45

Todd Sibley run for 34 yds to the CConn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn Zinobile

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Todd Sibley run for no gain to the CConn 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

John Opalko 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Barnum kickoff for 53 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 20 yds to the CConn 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CConn 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Malik Thomas for 6 yds to the CConn 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Everett Wormley for 5 yds to the CConn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Thomas run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the Alban 48

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Nasir Smith run for 8 yds to the Alban 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nasir Smith run for no gain to the Alban 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Shon Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Alban 17

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the Alban 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Alban 17

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.16

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Aidan Clark kickoff for 54 yds , Christian Lewis return for 34 yds to the Alban 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Todd Sibley run for 2 yds to the CConn 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Todd Sibley run for 4 yds to the CConn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 6 yds to the CConn 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.18

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 5 yds to the CConn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Lasalle Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the CConn 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Todd Sibley for 5 yds to the CConn 10

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Todd Sibley run for 5 yds to the CConn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Ian Renninger

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joey Carino run for 3 yds to the CConn 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Joey Carino run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

John Opalko kickoff for 31 yds , Reggie Darkah return for no gain to the CConn 34

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Shon Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the CConn 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Nasir Smith run for 11 yds to the Alban 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the Alban 36

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Nasir Smith run for 13 yds to the Alban 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the Alban 20

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Thomas run for no gain to the Alban 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Erik Surratt

4th & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+77 ydsPPA -10.10

Joseph Greaney 77 Yd Fumble Return (John Opalko Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

John Opalko kickoff for 55 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 32 yds to the Alban 43

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.25

Shon Mitchell sacked by Dylan Kelly for a loss of 12 yards to the CConn 45

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Shon Mitchell run for 3 yds to the CConn 48

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Everett Wormley

4th & 19Punt+13 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 42 yds , Jackson Parker returns for 13 yds to the Alban 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 26

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Todd Sibley run for 9 yds to the Alban 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Todd Sibley run for 1 yd to the CConn 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.95

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 21 yds to the CConn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 6 yds to the CConn 22

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.56

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 22 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jack Barnum kickoff for 48 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 18 yds to the CConn 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 65 yds for a TD (N. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Erik Surratt 65 Yd pass from Shon Mitchell (Nasir Smith Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Todd Sibley run for 2 yds to the Alban 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Todd Sibley run for 4 yds to the Alban 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Todd Sibley for 4 yds to the Alban 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Todd Sibley run for 8 yds to the Alban 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +1.69

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Quinn Zinobile for 47 yds to the CConn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the CConn 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 1 yd to the CConn 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 6 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Jack Barnum kickoff for 49 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 4 yds to the CConn 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Nasir Smith run for 7 yds to the CConn 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Nasir Smith run for 1 yd to the CConn 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jackson Parker at the Alban 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Todd Sibley run for 5 yds to the Alban 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Todd Sibley run for 5 yds to the CConn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nasir Smith run for no gain to the CConn 7

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Jackson Parker

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 3 yds to the CConn 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.38

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Roy Alexander for 12 yds to the CConn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 3 yds to the CConn 32

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 6 yds to the CConn 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Lavarey Banton run for no gain to the CConn 26

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Joey Carino run for 1 yd to the CConn 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Kyren Petteway run for 11 yds to the CConn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the CConn 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the CConn 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Everett Wormley

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jackson Parker at the Alban 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kavon Chambers run for 2 yds to the Alban 14

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kavon Chambers run for 3 yds to the Alban 17

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Szalkowski sacked by Shayne Manson for a loss of 3 yards to the Alban 14 Tyler Szalkowski fumbled, recovered by CConn Jayden Anderson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nasir Smith run for 2 yds to the Alban 12

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the Alban 9

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Malik Thomas run for 9 yds for a TD, (Santana Fonseca PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lavarey Banton run for 4 yds to the Alban 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Lavarey Banton run for 4 yds to the Alban 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Lavarey Banton run for 7 yds to the Alban 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Central Connecticut

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
58%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

UAlbany

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play