Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1
UAlbany
10
-Final
69
BaylorBaylor

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 26.9

Home Win Probability

Baylor 92%

Market (consensus)

Baylor -42.5

Edge: UAlbany +42.5 (15.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UAlbany
703010
BaylorBaylor
2114142069

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-742-742-1049-1056-1063-1069-10
BaylorUAlbany

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UALBAYUALBAYUALUALBAYUALBAYUALBAYUALBAYBAYUALBAYUALBAYUALBAYUALBAYUALBAYUALPUNT34ydTD676ydTO34ydTD47ydTD614ydPUNT37ydDOWNS45ydTD430ydTD675ydPUNT520ydPUNT419ydPUNT1150ydEND1180ydTD680ydFG1167ydTD954ydPUNT36ydTD761ydPUNT34ydTD422ydPUNT3-1ydTD466ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UAlbany and Baylor
StatisticUAlbanyBaylor
Passing13-3022-27
Pass Yards150314
Rush Yards87259
Total Yards237573
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-177-11
Penalties10-728-75
Possession30:2829:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UAlbany
passing
Reese Poffenbarger
13/26, 150 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Reese Poffenbarger
12 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Thomas Greaney
3 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Baylor
passing
Blake Shapen
17/20, 214 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Richard Reese
9 CAR, 62 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Monaray Baldwin
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Thomas Greaney

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Alban 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ALBANY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alban 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Taye McWilliams run for 8 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben Sims

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Blake Shapen pass complete to Seth Jones for 10 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the Alban 47

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.54

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 47 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Alban 32

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kevin Singer) to the Alban 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn Zinobile

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA +0.01

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Jackson Parker for 2 yds Jackson Parker fumbled, forced by Al Walcott, recovered by Bayl Bryson Jackson

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Alban 22 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Roughing Passer (11 Yards) to the Alban 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Alban 8

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Alban 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Craig Williams 4 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)

3rd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds , Lasalle Rose Jr. return for 18 yds to the Alban 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 3 yds to the Alban 21

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Alban 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 4 yds to the Alban 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin Easton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Thomas Greaney

4th & 6Punt+72 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 40 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Todd Sibley run for 1 yd to the Alban 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Alban 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn Zinobile

4th & 3Punt+20 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 53 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 20 yds to the BAYLOR 35 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 5 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Craig Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taye McWilliams run for no gain to the Bayl 34

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.20

Taye McWilliams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Todd Sibley run for 1 yd to the Bayl 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Todd Sibley run for 5 yds to the Bayl 24

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 17 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Blake Shapen pass complete to Armani Winfield for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Monaray Baldwin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 9 yds to the Bayl 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.79

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 16 yds to the Alban 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the Alban 38

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.12

Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 38 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 65 yds , Lasalle Rose Jr. return for 13 yds to the Alban 13

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Alban 18

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Reese Poffenbarger run for 2 yds to the Alban 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 17 yds to the Alban 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Jaxon Player and Gabe Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the Alban 34

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Todd Sibley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alban 33

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 48 yds, downed at the Bayl 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 7 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Qualan rush for loss of 1 yard to the BAYLOR25, PENALTY ALBANY unnecessary roughness (Mistler, AJ) 15 yards to the BAYLOR41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Blake Shapen sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 38

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Devyn Bobby

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Seth Jones

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Brevin Easton at the Alban 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.18

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 20 yds to the Alban 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the Alban 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn Zinobile

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.29

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Quinn Zinobile for 17 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Lasalle Rose Jr. for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.44

Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Alfonzo Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 48

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kobe Thomas) to the Alban 47

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Reese Poffenbarger run for 8 yds to the Bayl 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 6 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 8 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 2 yds to the Bayl 36

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.02

Blake Shapen sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 5 yds to the Alban 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 15 yds to the Alban 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 4 yds to the Alban 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 11 yds to the Alban 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Shapen run for 16 yds to the Alban 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

Shapen, Blake pass incomplete to Presley, Hal, PENALTY ALBANY pass interference (Brown, Semaj) 1 yards to the ALBANY1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Blake Shapen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

John Opalko kickoff for 58 yds , Craig Williams return for 23 yds to the BAYLOR 30 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Qualan Jones run for 9 yds to the Bayl 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Qualan Jones run for 6 yds to the Bayl 38

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Craig Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.17

Monaray Baldwin run for 50 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 7 yds to the Alban 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Poffenbarger, Reese pass complete to Easton, Brevin for 3 yards to the ALBANY38, PENALTY ALBANY illegal shift 5 yards to the ALBANY30, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Reese Poffenbarger run for 5 yds to the Alban 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 7 yds to the Alban 42

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cole Maxwell) to the Alban 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Roy Alexander for 6 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Ian Renninger

3rd & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.38

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 33 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Todd Sibley run for no gain to the Bayl 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Bayl 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 yds

John Opalko 25 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

John Opalko kickoff for 35 yds , Kelsey Johnson return for 16 yds to the Bayl 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the Alban 48

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Alban 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Taye McWilliams run for 9 yds to the Alban 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Seth Jones

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Kyron Drones pass complete to Ben Sims for 3 yds to the Alban 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Cameron, Josh, PENALTY ALBANY pass interference (Lewis, Christian) 15 yards to the ALBANY17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Taye McWilliams run for 1 yd to the Alban 16

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Alban 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kyron Drones pass complete to Qualan Jones for 3 yds to the Alban 9

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.00

Kyron Drones run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Reese Poffenbarger run for 1 yd to the Alban 26

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kevin Singer) to the Alban 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Jackson Parker for 10 yds to the Alban 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Jose Lopez-Quinones

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 34 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 4 yds to the Bayl 39

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 43 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (Seth Jones) to the Bayl 33

1st & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Kyron Drones pass complete to Seth Jones for 15 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Richard Reese run for 14 yds to the Alban 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Seth Jones

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.32

Richard Reese run for 23 yds to the Alban 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+1105 yds

Reese, Richard rush for 1 yard to the ALBANY14, PENALTY BAYLOR tripping (Mazzccua, Micah) 1035 yards to the ALBANY-1020, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.99

Kyron Drones pass complete to Drake Dabney for 29 yds to the Alban 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Rauschenberg kickoff for 61 yds , Brevin Easton return for no gain to the Alban 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Joey Carino run for 1 yd to the Alban 5

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Carino run for 3 yds to the Alban 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Joey Carino pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+25 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 39 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for 25 yds to the Alban 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Alban 18

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jordan Nabors run for 6 yds to the Alban 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Alban 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Richard Reese run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Szalkowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Szalkowski, Tyler pass complete to Zinobile, Quinn for 9 yards to the ALBANY34, PENALTY ALBANY illegal shift 5 yards to the ALBANY20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 4 yds to the Alban 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Szalkowski pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+14 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 56 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for 14 yds to the Bayl 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (Tate Williams) to the Bayl 26

2nd & 18Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Richard Reese run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 23

3rd & 21Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.59

Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylen Ellis for 50 yds to the Alban 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Qualan Jones run for 27 yds for a TD, (John Mayers PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Landon Alexander run for 4 yds to the Alban 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Landon Alexander run for 3 yds to the Alban 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joey Carino pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt-5 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Jenkins run for 4 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Jenkins run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jordan Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 27

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 22

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Noah Rauschenberg punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Joey Carino run for 3 yds to the Bayl 33

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Landon Alexander run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Landon Alexander run for 1 yd to the Bayl 31

Situational Analysis

UAlbany

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
15%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
43%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
62%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
91%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays