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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

William & Mary by 17

Home Win Probability

William & Mary 85%

Market (consensus)

William & Mary -10.5

Edge: William & Mary -10.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
330612
William & Mary
141410745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-328-635-638-645-645-12
William & MaryVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20W&MVILW&MVILW&MVILW&MVILW&MVILW&MVILVILW&MVILW&MVILW&MVILW&MVILMISS944ydPUNT30ydTD456ydFG647ydTD568ydPUNT934ydTD365ydPUNT612ydTD390ydFG956ydDOWNS833ydEND1-1ydPUNT710ydTD983ydDOWNS47ydFG724ydTO877ydTD1092ydTD575ydPUNT518ydEND222yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and William & Mary
StatisticVillanovaWilliam & Mary
Passing17-3012-15
Pass Yards206211
Rush Yards138371
Total Yards344582
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-128-12
Penalties7-705-64
Possession27:3032:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
17/29, 206 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Connor Watkins
7 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Dez Boykin
6 REC, 110 YDS
William & Mary
passing
Darius Wilson
12/15, 211 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bronson Yoder
14 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Rose
1 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 57 yds , DreSean Kendrick return for 20 yds to the WmMry 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the WmMry 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Darius Wilson pass complete to Hollis Mathis for 7 yds to the WmMry 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bronson Yoder run for 6 yds to the WmMry 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.61

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 22 yds to the Villa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Darius Wilson run for 4 yds to the Villa 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Tyler Rose

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

DreSean Kendrick run for 2 yds to the Villa 28

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Ethan Chang 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for no gain to the Villa 28

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Watkins run for no gain to the Villa 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for no gain to the Villa 28

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

William Bartel punt for 36 yds , Caylin Newton returns for 8 yds to the WmMry 44

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.78

Bronson Yoder run for 38 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Malachi Imoh run for 10 yds to the Villa 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 2 yds to the Villa 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Bronson Yoder run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for no gain to the Villa 25

2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.81

Connor Watkins run for 40 yds to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 2 yds to the WmMry 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaquan Allen for 5 yds to the WmMry 28

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Matthew Mercurio 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 53 yds , DreSean Kendrick return for 20 yds to the WmMry 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the WmMry 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 5 yds to the WmMry 41

3rd & 1Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.95

Donavyn Lester run for 39 yds to the Villa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Darius Wilson run for 9 yds to the Villa 11

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Villa 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

DeeWil Barlee run for 6 yds to the Villa 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 5 yds to the Villa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 3 yds to the Villa 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaylan Sanchez

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.20

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 20 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the WmMry 45

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Watkins run for 4 yds to the WmMry 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 24 yds to the WmMry 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the WmMry 45

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.30

Darius Wilson run for 55 yds for a TD WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Colby Sorsdal) to the Villa 0, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ethan Chang kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylan Sanchez return for 20 yds to the Villa 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dez Boykin run for 5 yds to the Villa 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 4 yds to the Villa 44

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 9 yds to the WmMry 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the WmMry 44

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaylan Sanchez run for 9 yds to the Villa 47

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

William Bartel punt for 45 yds , Caylin Newton returns for 2 yds to the WmMry 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the WmMry 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Malachi Imoh run for 3 yds to the WmMry 8

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY VIL Offside (Green,Jake) 5 yards from W&M08 to W&M13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +7.21

Darius Wilson pass complete to Tyler Rose for 87 yds for a TD, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ethan Chang kickoff for 49 yds , Jaylan Sanchez return for 19 yds to the Villa 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 23 yds to the WmMry 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.44

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 14 yds to the WmMry 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Daniel Lopes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaquan Allen for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Jones) to the WmMry 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 4 yds to the WmMry 9

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ethan Carr pass incomplete to Connor Watkins

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Mercurio 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Malachi Imoh run for 10 yds to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malachi Imoh run for 3 yds to the WmMry 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Darius Wilson run for 3 yds to the WmMry 41

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Bronson Yoder run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Darius Wilson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Malachi Imoh run for 9 yds to the Villa 41

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Malachi Imoh

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the Villa 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Kneel down by Villanova at VIL41 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the Villa 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 7 yds to the Villa 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the Villa 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Villa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Villa 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 3 yds to the Villa 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY VIL False Start (Ajirotutu,Temi) 5 yards from VIL40 to VIL35. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

William Bartel punt for 49 yds , Caylin Newton returns for 1 yd to the WmMry 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bronson Yoder run for 4 yds to the WmMry 21

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Bronson Yoder run for 10 yds to the WmMry 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Shotgun Wilson,Darius pass complete deep right to Newton,Caylin for 69 yards to the VIL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:56 PENALTY W&M Pass Interference (Newton,Caylin) 15 yards from W&M31 to W&M16. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.59

Bronson Yoder run for 25 yds to the WmMry 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bronson Yoder run for 5 yds to the WmMry 46

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY VIL Offside (Green,Jake) 5 yards from W&M46 to VIL49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

DreSean Kendrick sacked by Jalen Howard for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 49

2nd & 12Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.72

Bronson Yoder run for 17 yds to the WILLMMARY 34 for a 1ST down VILLANOVA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jalen Goodman) to the Villa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Caylin Newton run for 4 yds to the Villa 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the Villa 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Donavyn Lester run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Daniel Lopes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Watkins pass complete to Charlie Gilroy for 7 yds to the Villa 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Ethan Carr

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Darius Wilson pass complete to Martin Lucas for 6 yds to the Villa 26

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Lester,Donavyn rush middle for 12 yards gain to the VIL14 (Glover,Elijah) PENALTY W&M Holding (Francois,Bart) 10 yards from VIL26 to VIL36. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Donavyn Lester run for 7 yds to the Villa 29

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Darius Wilson run for 18 yds to the Villa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Donavyn Lester run for 2 yds to the Villa 9

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Donavyn Lester run for 1 yd to the Villa 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ethan Chang 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ethan Chang kickoff for 52 yds , Dez Boykin return for 14 yds to the Villa 49 VILLANOVA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Villa 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Eli Smith run for 4 yds to the Villa 19

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Eli Smith run for 18 yds to the Villa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the Villa 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Eli Smith run for 7 yds to the Villa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Connor Watkins pass complete to Rayjoun Pringle for 16 yds to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.78

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 28 yds to the WmMry 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Eli Smith run for 1 yd to the WmMry 6

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.47

Eli Smith run for 4 yds to the WmMry 8 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by WmMry Jalen Jones

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Wilson run for 5 yds to the WmMry 13

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Malachi Imoh run for 5 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

Shotgun Imoh,Malachi rush middle for 15 yards gain to the W&M33 (Nelson,Jared) PENALTY W&M Illegal Block in Back (Kendrick,DreSean) 9 yards from W&M18 to W&M09. NO PLAY.

1st & 19Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 3 yds to the WmMry 12

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bronson Yoder run for 4 yds to the WmMry 16

3rd & 12Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.52

Darius Wilson pass complete to JT Mayo for 20 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down VILLANOVA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jalen Goodman) to the Villa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 5 yds to the Villa 44

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.96

Malachi Imoh run for 19 yds to the Villa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Darius Wilson run for 1 yd to the Villa 24

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bronson Yoder run for 5 yds to the Villa 19

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.00

Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 19 yds for a TD, (Ethan Chang KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Villa 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.69

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 31 yds to the WmMry 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Connor Watkins pass complete to Eli Smith for 2 yds to the WmMry 39

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.71

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 39 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Martin Lucas run for 6 yds to the WmMry 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Martin Lucas run for 6 yds to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Martin Lucas run for 3 yds to the WmMry 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Martin Lucas run for 1 yd to the WmMry 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Martin Lucas run for 2 yds to the WmMry 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Eli Smith run for 13 yds to the Villa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Eli Smith run for 9 yds to the Villa 42

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
62%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

William & Mary

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
78%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play