Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 20.8

Home Win Probability

Princeton 88%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Princeton -11.5

Edge: Princeton -11.5 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Pennsylvania
0701320
Princeton
667019

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-012-019-719-1419-20
PrincetonPennsylvania

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRIPENPRIPENPRIPENPRIPRIPENPENPENPRIPENPRIPENPRITD1078ydPUNT1142ydTD1180ydPUNT67ydDOWNS1061ydTO526ydTD34ydPUNT3-7ydEND24ydTD1267ydDOWNS841ydTO724ydTD1566ydDOWNS1047ydTD1772ydEND17yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pennsylvania and Princeton
StatisticPennsylvaniaPrinceton
Passing38-4725-34
Pass Yards261252
Rush Yards5457
Total Yards315309
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-145-12
Penalties4-354-47
Possession33:3526:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pennsylvania
passing
Aidan Sayin
38/47, 261 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Trey Flowers
15 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Rory Starkey Jr.
12 REC, 95 YDS
Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
25/34, 252 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ryan Butler
11 CAR, 30 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dylan Classi
8 REC, 108 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Graham Gotlieb kickoff for 60 yds , AJ Barber return for 22 yds to the Princ 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to AJ Barber

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.99

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 24 yds to the Princ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 5 yds to the Penn 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Penn 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Penn 45

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.62

Niko Vangarelli run for 15 yds to the Penn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Jake Heimlicher for a loss of 4 yards to the Penn 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 11 yds to the Penn 23

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 23 yds for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 52 yds , Julien Stokes return for 15 yds to the PRINCETON 45 PENN Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Trey Flowers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 1 yd to the Penn 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 11 yds to the Penn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 10 yds to the Penn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 6 yds to the Princ 49

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Aidan Sayin run for 7 yds to the Princ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Trey Flowers run for 2 yds to the Princ 44

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Trey Flowers run for 2 yds to the Princ 42

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sayin,Aidan pass intercepted by Jester,Matthew at PRIN34 Jester,Matthew return 61 yards to the PENN05 (Sayin,Aidan) PENALTY PRIN Roughing The Passer (Nicholas,Ozzie) PRIN Illegal Block in Back declined 15 yards from PRIN42 to PRIN27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jonathan Mulatu run for 2 yds to the Princ 25

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PENN Delay Of Game (Sayin,Aidan) 5 yards from PRIN25 to PRIN30. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aidan Sayin run for 5 yds to the Princ 35 Aidan Sayin fumbled, recovered by Penn Rory Starkey Jr.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Joshua Casilli

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 5 yds to the Princ 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Alex Cherry for 7 yds to the Princ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Stenstrom run for 11 yds to the Princ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 22 yds to the Penn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ryan Butler run for 5 yds to the Penn 30 Ryan Butler fumbled, recovered by Penn Henry Byrd

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ryan Butler run for 6 yds to the Penn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.59

Blake Stenstrom run for 13 yds to the Penn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Butler run for 3 yds to the Penn 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 4 yds to the Penn 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 56 yds , Julien Stokes return for 26 yds to the Penn 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Trey Flowers run for no gain to the Penn 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Joshua Casilli for 8 yds to the Penn 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Trey Flowers run for 3 yds to the Penn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 7 yds to the Penn 48

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.72

run for 11 yds to the Penn 37 fumbled, recovered by Penn Trey Flowers

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Rory Starkey Jr.

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dareion Murphy run for 2 yds to the Princ 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 4 yds to the Princ 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 18 yds to the Princ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 8 yds to the Penn 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 4 yds to the Penn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Stenstrom,Blake pass complete deep middle to Classi,Dylan for 16 yards to the PENN29 (Smith,Kendren) PENALTY PRIN Pass Interference (Barber,AJ) 15 yards from PENN45 to PRIN40. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.80

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 35 yds to the Penn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Penn 23

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Blake Stenstrom run for 5 yds to the Penn 18

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Penn 16

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83

Niko Vangarelli run for no gain to the Penn 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 15 yds to the Penn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jonathan Mulatu run for 2 yds to the Penn 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Jonathan Mulatu for 8 yds to the Penn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Jonathan Mulatu for 1 yd to the Penn 42

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

PENN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jaden Key) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 4 yds to the Princ 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Ryan Butler

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt blocked by Francesco Barone blocked by Francesco Barone for a TD, (Graham Gotlieb KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 6 yds to the Princ 31

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Micah Morris for a loss of 6 yards to the Princ 25

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Jonathan Melvin for a loss of 7 yards to the Princ 18

4th & 17Punt+12 yds

Will Powers punt for 45 yds , Walter Soefker returns for 12 yds to the Penn 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 3 yds to the Penn 30

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Aidan Sayin run for 1 yd to the Penn 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Julien Stokes run for 11 yds to the Penn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 5 yds to the Penn 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Trey Flowers run for 1 yd to the Penn 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 6 yds to the Penn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Flowers,Trey rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PRIN46 (Nicholas,Ozzie) PENALTY PENN Holding (Radosevich,Trevor) 10 yards from PENN48 to PENN38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 11 yds to the Penn 49

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Trey Flowers run for 2 yds to the Princ 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 8 yds to the Princ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 13 yds to the Princ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonathan Mulatu run for 3 yds to the Princ 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Bryce Myers for 10 yds to the Princ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Sayin run for 5 yds to the Princ 20 Aidan Sayin fumbled, recovered by Penn Aidan Sayin

2nd & 15Fumble Return Touchdown+92 ydsPPA -10.73

Aidan Sayin pass complete deep left to Rory Starkey for 12 yards to the Princ 8 fumbled by Rory Starkey, Liam Johnson 92 Yd Fumble Return (Jeffrey Sexton Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 55 yds , Julien Stokes return for 21 yds to the Penn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 8 yds to the Penn 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 10 yds to the Penn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Trey Flowers run for 8 yds to the Princ 48

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Trey Flowers run for 7 yds to the Princ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 1 yd to the Princ 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Bryce Myers for 9 yds to the Princ 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jonathan Mulatu run for no gain to the Princ 33

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -2.58

Aidan Sayin run for no gain to the Princ 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 2 yds to the Princ 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 7 yds to the Princ 42

4th & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 13 yds to the Penn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Stenstrom run for 2 yds to the Penn 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.90

Blake Stenstrom pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 2 yds to the Penn 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 8 yds to the Penn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Trey Flowers run for 7 yds to the Princ 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Sterling Stokes for 5 yds to the Princ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 5 yds to the Princ 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trey Flowers run for 4 yds to the Princ 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Trey Flowers run for 3 yds to the Princ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 12 yds to the Princ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 5 yds to the Princ 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Justin Cayenne

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Aidan Sayin run for 5 yds to the Princ 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 3 yds to the Princ 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Malone Howley

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Aidan Sayin run for 5 yds to the Princ 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Julien Stokes for 2 yds for a TD, (Graham Gotlieb KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Ja'Derris Carr

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 16 yds to the Princ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Butler run for 5 yds to the Princ 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 4 yds to the Penn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for 14 yds to the Penn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Luke Colella for 2 yds to the Penn 30

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ryan Butler run for 5 yds to the Penn 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 3 yds to the Penn 32

4th & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.68

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 4 yds to the Penn 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Julien Stokes run for 6 yds to the Penn 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Flowers run for 3 yds to the Penn 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 5 yds to the Penn 36

4th & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.79

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 12 yds to the Penn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trey Flowers run for 4 yds to the Princ 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Julien Stokes for 9 yds to the Princ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Trey Flowers

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Julien Stokes for no gain to the Princ 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 6 yds to the Princ 33

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PENN False Start (Purcell,Jack) 5 yards from PRIN33 to PRIN38. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Julien Stokes for 12 yds to the Princ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sayin,Aidan pass incomplete short middle to Stokes,Julien PENALTY PRIN Pass Interference (Johnson,Liam) 15 yards from PRIN26 to PRIN11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 8 yds to the Princ 3

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Julien Stokes for 1 yd to the Princ 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Trey Flowers run for 1 yd to the Princ 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+4 yds

Trey Flowers run for 4 yds to the Princ 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Trey Flowers

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete to Julien Stokes

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY PRIN UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 2 yards from PRIN03 to PRIN03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Graham Gotlieb kickoff for 38 yds , Joseph Dalsey return for no gain to the Princ 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 7 yds to the Princ 29

Situational Analysis

Pennsylvania

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play