Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama State by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Texas Southern 47%

Market (consensus)

Texas Southern -5.5

Edge: Alabama State +5.5 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alabama State
0331016
Texas Southern
706013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-37-613-613-913-16
Texas SouthernAlabama State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTO3-2ydPUNT613ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-7ydTD775ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT41ydFG1675ydDOWNS523ydPUNT630ydEND13ydFG862ydTD749ydPUNT47ydPUNT941ydFG1369ydTO412ydTD639ydDOWNS731ydEND945yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama State and Texas Southern
StatisticAlabama StateTexas Southern
Passing9-199-19
Pass Yards10495
Rush Yards225125
Total Yards329220
Turnovers02
3rd Down8-181-7
Penalties12-1117-99
Possession39:0220:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama State
passing
Dematrius Davis
9/19, 104 YDS
rushing
Santos Dunn
15 CAR, 101 YDS
receiving
Kisean Johnson
2 REC, 57 YDS
Texas Southern
passing
Andrew Body
9/19, 95 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ladarius Owens
13 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Derrick Morton
2 REC, 36 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.92

Andrew Body sacked by Andrew Ogletree Sr. for a loss of 12 yards to the TexSo 35

2nd & 22Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

LaDarius Owens run for 10 yds to the TexSo 45

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.49

Andrew Body pass intercepted Jayce Medlock return for no gain to the AlbSt 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacory Merritt run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 15

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 10

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Dematrius Davis run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 13

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 12 yds to the AlbSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacory Merritt run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Santo Dunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 25

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Dematrius Davis run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 52 yds, downed at the TexSo 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Andrew Body pass complete to Kevin Harris for 7 yds to the TexSo 28

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kevin Harris run for no gain to the TexSo 28

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Body run for 1 yd to the TexSo 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Richard Garcia III punt for 47 yds, downed at the AlbSt 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 27

2nd & 7Penalty-11 yds

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 3 yards to the ALST30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ALST holding 11 yards to the ALST16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.10

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jacory Merritt for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 14

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 17

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Derek Morton at the TexSo 25

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jacorey Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Richard Garcia III kickoff for 69 yds , Santo Dunn return for 20 yds to the AlbSt 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 19

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Chauncey Moore for 7 yds to the AlbSt 26

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Dematrius Davis rush for 4 yards to the ALST30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ALST holding 10 yards to the ALST16, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 9 yds to the TexSo 25 TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, kick catching interference (10 Yards) declined

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Andrew Body pass complete to AJ Bennett for 5 yds to the TexSo 40

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Andrew Body pass incomplete, PENALTY ALST pass interference (Chauncey Moore) 15 yards to the ALST45, 1ST DOWN TXSO22, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Jacorey Howard

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Andrew Body pass incomplete, broken up by Andrew Ogletree Sr.

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexSo 40

4th & 25Punt+14 yds

Richard Garcia III punt for 59 yds , Jacorey Howard returns for 14 yds to the AlbSt 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.99

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jaelyn Lay for 9 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dematrius Davis run for 13 yds to the TexSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Santo Dunn

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Santo Dunn run for 1 yd to the TexSo 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to La'Vontae Shenault

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

Aubrey Grace punt 35 yards to the TXSO2210, Eyan Means return to the TXSO2210, fumble by Eyan Means recovered by TXSO22 Eyan Means at TXSO2210, PENALTY TXSO22 unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the TXSO2230, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Santo Dunn run for 8 yds to the TexSo 22

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.26

Santo Dunn run for 7 yds to the TexSo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacory Merritt run for 5 yds to the TexSo 10

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacory Merritt run for 6 yds to the TexSo 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSo 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSo 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Nathanial Eichner 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+48 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 66 yds , Chaunzavia Lewis return for 48 yds to the AlbSt 48

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Andrew Body run for 14 yds to the AlbSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Eyan Means

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jacorey Howard run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 28

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

LaDarius Owens run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 27

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.98

Jacorey Howard run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete, PENALTY TXSO22 pass interference (Raheme Fuller) 15 yards to the ALST40, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Santo Dunn run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Santo Dunn run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 49

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Santo Dunn run for 13 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Santo Dunn rush for 2 yards to the TXSO2236 (Gabe Smith), PENALTY TXSO22 personal foul (Gabe Smith) 14 yards to the TXSO2224, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -2.80

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the TexSo 24 ALABAMA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (La'Vontae Shenault) to the TexSo 38

2nd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the TexSo 35

3rd & 21Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.41

Dematrius Davis sacked by Tyler Martinez for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSo 45

4th & 31Punt+8 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 33 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for 8 yds to the TexSo 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Richard Garcia III kickoff for 61 yds , Santo Dunn return for 20 yds to the AlbSt 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 yds

Nathanial Eichner 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

LaDarius Owens run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

LaDarius Owens run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST down

2nd & 28Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Andrew Body run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 48

3rd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.43

Andrew Body pass complete to Derek Morton for 14 yds to the AlbSt 34

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ Bennett, PENALTY ALST roughing passer 15 yards to the ALST19, 1ST DOWN TXSO22, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derek Morton

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

LaDarius Owens run for 14 yds to the AlbSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Andrew Body run for 5 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Santo Dunn run for 17 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Raheme Fuller

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Dematrius Davis sacked by KeShon Spraggins for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSo 43

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson, broken up by Raheme Fuller

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (Aubrey Grace) to the TexSo 48

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the TexSo 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Andrew Body pass complete to Jarvis Williams for 8 yds to the TexSo 17

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

LaDarius Owens run for 2 yds to the TexSo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Andrew Body run for 14 yds to the TexSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Eyan Means, broken up by Mikey Victor

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Andrew Body run for 9 yds to the TexSo 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSo 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Body run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Andrew Body pass incomplete to Jarvis Williams, broken up by Chauncey Moore

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Richard Garcia III punt for 44 yds, downed at the AlbSt 6

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.97

Ja'Won Howell run for 16 yds to the AlbSt 42 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Kisean Johnson, PENALTY ALST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ALST41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 16 yds to the TexSo 43 for a 1ST down

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Ja'Won Howell for 16 yds to the TexSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds to the TexSo 40

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Ja'Won Howell run for 11 yds to the TexSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the TexSo 28

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ja'Won Howell run for 6 yds to the TexSo 22

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.18

Ja'Won Howell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSo 25

4th & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Nathanial Eichner 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 70 yds , Chaunzavia Lewis return for 27 yds to the TexSo 27

2nd & 10Penalty+6 yds

Andrew Body pass incomplete to 90, PENALTY ALST pass interference (Jayce Medlock) 6 yards to the TXSO2247, 1ST DOWN TXSO22, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

LaDarius Owens run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -2.49

LaDarius Owens run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSo 39 LaDarius Owens fumbled, forced by Brandon Gaddy, recovered by AlbSt Demaruez Bellamy

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete, broken up by KeShon Spraggins

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ja'Won Howell run for 5 yds to the TexSo 19

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dematrius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSo 9

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Ja'Won Howell run for 7 yds to the TexSo 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Eichner KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 45 yds , Jacorey Howard return for 8 yds to the TexSo 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

LaDarius Owens run for 2 yds to the TexSo 35

4th & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.19

Andrew Body run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Dematrius Davis run for 10 yds to the AlbSt 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ja'Won Howell run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 48

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, false start (Irshaad Davis) to the AlbSt 43

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dematrius Davis run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.54

Ja'Won Howell run for 12 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.49

Ja'Won Howell run for 4 yds to the TexSo 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS SOUTHERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TexSo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for no gain to the TexSo 19

Situational Analysis

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
13 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play