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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 30.6

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 95%

Market (consensus)

St. Thomas (MN) -16.5

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) -16.5 (14.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
770014
St. Thomas (MN)
7130626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-732-1332-1426-14
St. Thomas (MN)Drake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(ST(ST(DRADRADRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DOWNS727ydTD858ydPUNT641ydTO36ydTD230ydPUNT419ydTD1168ydTO10ydTD1180ydPUNT48ydTD1072ydPUNT39ydUncategorized630ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT733ydPUNT64ydPUNT31ydPUNT421ydTD552ydPUNT736ydPUNT529ydTO31ydTO32ydDOWNS853ydUncategorized1028yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticDrakeSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing17-3715-25
Pass Yards184181
Rush Yards123249
Total Yards307430
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-147-15
Penalties7-623-30
Possession23:5336:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Ian Corwin
17/36, 184 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dorian Boyland
12 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Matt Hartlieb
5 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Cade Sexauer
15/25, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gabriel Abel
18 CAR, 100 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Andrew McElroy
4 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.85
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Jack Ierulli kickoff for 51 yds , Owen Kanzler return for 9 yds to the StThMN 23

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 54 yds , Davion Cherwin return for 17 yds to the Drake 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Jack Ierulli kickoff for 37 yds , Ryan Sever return for 8 yds to the StThMN 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 59 yds , Davion Cherwin return for 18 yds to the Drake 24

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 60 yds , Davion Cherwin return for 20 yds to the Drake 25

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Gage Vander Leest 2 Yd pass from Ian Corwin (Luke Williams Kick)

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cade Sexauer punt for 35 yds

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA +0.16

Ian Corwin pass intercepted

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.60

Andrew McElroy 24 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Louis Hyde Kick)

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Matt Hartlieb

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.86

Ian Corwin pass complete to Dorian Boyland for 14 yds to the Drake 44

4th & 1Punt+7 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 43 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 7 yds to the StThMN 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the StThMN 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 12 yds to the StThMN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Hope Adebayo run for 6 yds to the Drake 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.01

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Bryce Boyd for 10 yds to the Drake 36 for a 1ST down DRAKE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dorian Boyland) to the Drake 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the Drake 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Max Zimmerman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 8 yds to the Drake 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Gabriel Abel run for 7 yds to the Drake 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cade Sexauer run for 2 yds to the Drake 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Gabriel Abel 1 Yd Run (Louis Hyde Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.85

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 6 yds Hope Adebayo fumbled, recovered by StThMN Andrew McElroy

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Lucas Torgerson for 10 yds to the StThMN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86
2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Gabriel Abel run for 8 yds to the StThMN 38

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Cade Sexauer run for 8 yds to the StThMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Aiden Carlson, broken up by Linden Howe

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Gabriel Abel run for 9 yds to the Drake 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the Drake 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 19 yds to the Drake 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the Drake 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Lucas Torgerson for 15 yds to the Drake 6 for a 1ST down

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Trey Radocha

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Dorian Boyland run for 5 yds to the Drake 40 DRAKE Penalty, Offensive holding (Evan Maples) to the Drake 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Ian Corwin pass complete to Zack Gray for 13 yds to the Drake 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

pass incomplete to Michael Markett

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Colin Howard

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Matt Hartlieb 8 Yd pass from Ian Corwin (Luke Williams Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Dorian Boyland run for 7 yds to the Drake 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ian Corwin pass incomplete to Matt Hartlieb, broken up by Grif Wurtz

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Dorian Boyland run for 3 yds to the Drake 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Ian Corwin pass complete to Trey Radocha for 11 yds to the Drake 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Ian Corwin pass complete to Trey Radocha for 13 yds Ian Corwin fumbled, recovered by Drake Trey Radocha for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Ian Corwin pass complete to Trey Radocha for 13 yds to the StThMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Hunter Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.83

Ian Corwin run for 17 yds to the StThMN 8 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the StThMN 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 43 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for no gain to the StThMN 17

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 42 yds , Brandon Langdok returns for 3 yds to the Drake 11

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 33 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 9 yds to the Drake 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 38 yds

4th & 11Punt+23 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 34 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 23 yds to the StThMN 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 11 yds to the Drake 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.21

Gabriel Abel run for 33 yds to the Drake 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Gabriel Abel 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

DRAKE Penalty, off-side (Holden Hughes) to the Drake 3

1st & 10Rush0 yds
4th & 14Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dorian Boyland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ian Corwin pass incomplete to Tim Nesslage, broken up by Luke Glenna

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Ian Corwin pass complete to Matt Hartlieb for 11 yds to the Drake 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Ian Corwin pass complete to Matt Hartlieb for 30 yds to the StThMN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Davion Cherwin run for 9 yds to the StThMN 26

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.15

Ian Corwin sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the StThMN 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Trey Radocha

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

DRAKE Penalty, false start (Evan Maples) to the StThMN 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Joshua Komis run for 11 yds to the StThMN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.39

Gabriel Abel run for 22 yds to the StThMN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the StThMN 35

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, delay of game (Cade Sexauer) to the StThMN 30

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy, broken up by Caleb Bowling ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Offensive holding (Brock Stanek) to the StThMN 30

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ian Corwin pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Dorian Boyland run for 9 yds to the Drake 39

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.60

Ian Corwin sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Drake 31

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.71

Cade Sexauer pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the Drake 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth, broken up by Jacob Auen

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.39

Ian Corwin pass incomplete to Brandon Langdok, broken up by Grif Wurtz

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.79

Ian Corwin run for 37 yds to the StThMN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Ian Corwin run for 8 yds to the StThMN 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Hunter Johnson

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Ian Corwin run for 4 yds to the StThMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Colin Howard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ian Corwin pass complete to Zack Gray for 4 yds to the StThMN 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ian Corwin pass incomplete to Michael Markett, broken up by Kam In

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Joshua Komis run for 11 yds to the StThMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Hope Adebayo run for 10 yds to the StThMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the Drake 46

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Joshua Komis run for 6 yds to the Drake 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -3.37

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the StThMN 38 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joshua Komis) to the StThMN 47

2nd & 23Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 45

3rd & 25Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the StThMN 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the StThMN 26

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
64%
14 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays