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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Butler 30%

Market (consensus)

Butler +7.5

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) -7.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
St. Thomas (MN)
14031027
Butler
007613

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-177-177-207-2713-27
ButlerSt. Thomas (MN)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(BUTBUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(TD1373ydTD1138ydDOWNS643ydPUNT516ydPUNT37ydPUNT1419ydMISS854ydEND1-1ydTO2-1ydFG712ydTO923ydTO46ydTD743ydFG1457ydDOWNS74ydTD735ydTD860ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing St. Thomas (MN) and Butler
StatisticSt. Thomas (MN)Butler
Passing11-1713-29
Pass Yards93123
Rush Yards168108
Total Yards261231
Turnovers12
3rd Down10-153-11
Penalties9-1153-15
Possession34:5125:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Cade Sexauer
11/16, 93 YDS
rushing
Shawn Shipman
24 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Andrew McElroy
6 REC, 37 YDS
Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
13/29, 123 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Bret Bushka
12 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Johnny O'Shea
3 REC, 45 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 60 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 22 yds to the StThMN 27 Andrew McElroy fumbled, recovered by StThMN Andrew McElroy

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the StThMN 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cade Sexauer run for 6 yds to the StThMN 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Cade Sexauer run for 3 yds to the StThMN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shawn Shipman run for no gain to the StThMN 39

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Cade Sexauer run for 9 yds to the StThMN 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the StThMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.26

Shawn Shipman run for 28 yds to the Butlr 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the Butlr 14

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Cade Sexauer run for 7 yds to the Butlr 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Joshua Komis run for 2 yds to the Butlr 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Shawn Shipman run for 3 yds to the Butlr 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cade Sexauer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stephen Shagen KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 47 yds , Joey Audia return for 12 yds to the Butlr 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the Butlr 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the Butlr 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.03

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Butlr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 1 yd to the Butlr 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 11 yds to the StThMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 10 yds to the StThMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the StThMN 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the StThMN 32

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+66 ydsPPA -9.16

Yusef Leak 66 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Stephen Shagen Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 53 yds , Joey Audia return for 18 yds to the Butlr 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour for 6 yds to the Butlr 36

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.06

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 26 yds to the StThMN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BUSHKA, Bret pass to the left incomplete intended for ADAMS, Tyler thrown to the ST10. PENALTY ST Face mask on LEAK, Yusef enforced 15 yards from the ST43 to the ST28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brody Reder run for 1 yd to the StThMN 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.28

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Joshua Komis for 4 yds to the StThMN 31

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.40

run for 10 yds to the StThMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Shawn Shipman run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.60

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 5 yards to the StThMN 45 Cade Sexauer fumbled, recovered by StThMN Andrew McElroy

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 3 yds to the StThMN 48

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gabriel Abel) to the StThMN 43

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 40 yds , Joey Audia returns for 13 yds to the Butlr 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the Butlr 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Andrew McElroy at the StThMN 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the StThMN 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Sexauer run for 3 yds to the StThMN 42

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Joshua Komis run for 4 yds to the StThMN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shawn Shipman run for no gain to the StThMN 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 9 yds to the Butlr 45

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the StThMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Shawn Shipman run for 8 yds to the Butlr 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Wesley Juszczak pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the Butlr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the Butlr 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 9 yds to the Butlr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the Butlr 30

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Butlr 44

3rd & 23Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Cade Sexauer sacked by Jacob Cain and Austin Korba for a loss of 3 yards to the Butlr 47

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 19

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Joey Suchy run for 8 yds to the Butlr 27

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 5 yds to the Butlr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Personal Foul (Kellan McKeag) to the StThMN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Bret Bushka run for 15 yds to the StThMN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Joey Suchy run for 7 yds to the StThMN 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 3Blocked Field Goal+43 yds

Luka Zurak 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kneel down by SEXAUER, Cade at ST25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 58 yds , Joey Audia return for 19 yds to the Butlr 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the Butlr 30

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Luke Wooten) to the Butlr 25

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Block below the waist on ROBLEY, Brent enforced (Brent Robley) to the Butlr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Shawn Shipman run for 7 yds to the Butlr 23

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.12

Cade Sexauer run for 6 yds to the Butlr 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shawn Shipman run for 4 yds to the Butlr 13

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cade Sexauer run for 12 yds to the Butlr 1 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Max Zimmerman) to the Butlr 18

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+35 yds

Stephen Shagen 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 59 yds , Joey Audia return for 14 yds to the Butlr 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 2 yds to the Butlr 22

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the Butlr 29

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.43

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Butlr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Bret Bushka run for 9 yds to the Butlr 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the Butlr 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.02

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Butlr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.53

Bret Bushka pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 5 yds to the StThMN 42

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the StThMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Shawn Shipman run for a loss of 4 yards to the StThMN 43 Shawn Shipman fumbled, recovered by Butlr Mike Wymer

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 4 yds to the StThMN 39

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Mohler) to the StThMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the StThMN 30

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

run for 4 yds to the StThMN 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 3 yds to the StThMN 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.95

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 12 yds to the StThMN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

run for 1 yd to the StThMN 10

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 10 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 38 yds , return for no gain to the StThMN 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 3 yds to the StThMN 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shawn Shipman run for 5 yds to the StThMN 35

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the StThMN 39 Cade Sexauer fumbled, recovered by StThMN Joshua Komis for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Gabriel Abel run for no gain to the StThMN 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the Butlr 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 8 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cade Sexauer run for no gain to the Butlr 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 9 yds to the Butlr 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Shawn Shipman run for 9 yds to the Butlr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Joshua Komis run for 7 yds to the Butlr 13

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Shawn Shipman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Butlr 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Stephen Shagen 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 51 yds , Joey Audia return for 17 yds to the Butlr 31

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Bret Bushka sacked by Jack Mohler for a loss of 2 yards to the Butlr 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 9 yds to the Butlr 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty+10 yds

BUSHKA, Bret scrambles to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the BU40 (ROBLEY, Brent), clock 07:15. PENALTY ST Holding enforced 10 yards from the BU38 to the BU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Johnny O'Shea run for no gain to the Butlr 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.22

Bret Bushka sacked by Jonathan Bunce for a loss of 13 yards to the Butlr 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the Butlr 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shawn Shipman run for 1 yd to the Butlr 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Max Zimmerman for 23 yds to the Butlr 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Joshua Komis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 11

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Shawn Shipman run for 10 yds to the Butlr 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shawn Shipman run for no gain to the Butlr 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Cade Sexauer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Shagen KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 34 yds , Brody Reder return for 9 yds to the Butlr 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Butlr 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.60

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 9 yds to the StThMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 5 yds to the StThMN 44

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Bret Bushka run for 15 yds to the StThMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 13 yds to the StThMN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Bret Bushka run for 11 yds to the StThMN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Luke Wooten 5 Yd pass from Bret Bushka (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kneel down by SEXAUER, Cade at BU48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
89%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays