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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Dayton
0
-Final
31
Butler
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dayton by 6.6

Home Win Probability

Butler 34%

Market (consensus)

Butler +9.5

Edge: Butler +9.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
00000
Butler
3714731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-017-024-031-0
ButlerDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTFG1365ydMISS950ydPUNT619ydPUNT610ydTD1287ydMISS1150ydPUNT30ydEND524ydPUNT32ydTD1269ydPUNT39ydTD1280ydDOWNS743ydTD175ydTO1171ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1064ydEND417yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Butler
StatisticDaytonButler
Passing17-3125-29
Pass Yards219338
Rush Yards109106
Total Yards328444
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-179-15
Penalties2-206-58
Possession29:4830:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Dante Casciola
15/24, 178 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jake Chisholm
15 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Sam Bubonics
2 REC, 74 YDS
Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
25/29, 338 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bret Bushka
10 CAR, 33 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Adams
4 REC, 149 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 65 yds , Joey Audia return for 23 yds to the Butlr 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

AJ Deinhart run for 2 yds to the Butlr 25

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joey Audia run for 5 yds to the Butlr 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 8 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the Butlr 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.87

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 26 yds to the Dayt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 5 yds to the Dayt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for 3 yds to the Dayt 27

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 2 yards to the Dayt 29

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 8 yds to the Dayt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Joey Suchy run for 6 yds to the Dayt 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the Dayt 14

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

AJ Deinhart run for 2 yds to the Dayt 12

4th & 1Field Goal Good+29 yds

Luka Zurak 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 42 yds , return for no gain to the Dayt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.07

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 38 yds to the Butlr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 3 yds to the Butlr 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dante Casciola run for 1 yd to the Butlr 35

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dante Casciola run for 5 yds to the Butlr 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.24

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Butlr 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 3 yds to the Butlr 26

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jake Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Sam Webster 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 22

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 12 yds to the Butlr 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 4 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the Butlr 39

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the Butlr 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Butlr 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Dante Casciola pass complete to Michael Neel for a loss of 2 yards to the Dayt 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Coleman for 11 yds to the Dayt 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Dayt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 1 yd to the Dayt 43

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Dante Casciola sacked by Jacob Cain for a loss of 3 yards to the Dayt 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 34 yds, downed at the Butlr 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

AJ Deinhart run for 4 yds to the Butlr 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 4 yds to the Butlr 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for 9 yds to the Butlr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.88

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 40 yds to the Dayt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the Dayt 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Audia for 3 yds to the Dayt 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 12 yds to the Dayt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

AJ Deinhart run for 7 yds to the Dayt 7

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Dayt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the Dayt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

AJ Deinhart run for no gain to the Dayt 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 1 yd for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 60 yds , Luke Brenner return for 28 yds to the Dayt 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the Dayt 41

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Chisholm run for 6 yds to the Dayt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 4 yds to the Butlr 49

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Jake Chisholm run for 12 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Butlr 32

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Butlr 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Dante Casciola pass complete to Alec Keathley for 8 yds to the Butlr 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joey Swanson run for 4 yds to the Butlr 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Casciola run for 1 yd to the Butlr 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Chisholm for no gain to the Butlr 17

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Sam Webster 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Butlr 23

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 5 yards to the Butlr 18

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds to the Butlr 20

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 54 yds , Sam Bubonics returns for 6 yds to the Dayt 26 BUTLER Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Dayt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 9 yds to the Dayt 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Coleman for 10 yds to the Butlr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dante Casciola run for 5 yds to the Butlr 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Chisholm run for no gain to the Dayt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 2 yds to the Dayt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 46 yds , Joey Audia returns for 4 yds to the Butlr 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 9 yds to the Butlr 40

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the Butlr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Audia for 8 yds to the Dayt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Dayt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Dayt 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 10 yds to the Dayt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Joey Audia run for a loss of 3 yards to the Dayt 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

AJ Deinhart run for 2 yds to the Dayt 33

4th & 11Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Bret Bushka run for 21 yds to the Dayt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Luke Wooten) to the Dayt 17

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 17 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 63 yds , Luke Brenner return for 34 yds to the BUTLER 31 BUTLER Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Butlr 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Butlr 48

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Dante Casciola run for 7 yds to the Butlr 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Butlr 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 35 yds, downed at the Butlr 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 7 yds to the Butlr 12

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 8 yds to the Butlr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the Butlr 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.62

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 15 yds to the Butlr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 38

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the Butlr 44

3rd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.92

Joey Audia run for 21 yds to the Dayt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 20 yds to the Dayt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 1 yard to the Dayt 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 7 yds to the Dayt 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Audia for 5 yds to the Dayt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds for a TD BUTLER Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bret Bushka) to the Dayt 0, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 57 yds , Luke Brenner return for 9 yds to the Dayt 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the Dayt 40

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Jake Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Dayt 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.21

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 31 yds to the Butlr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dante Casciola run for 3 yds to the Butlr 27

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.55

Dante Casciola sacked by Connor Reid and Jacob Cain for a loss of 5 yards to the Butlr 32

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dante Casciola run for 7 yds to the Butlr 25

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 75 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 61 yds , Luke Brenner return for 16 yds to the Dayt 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Dante Casciola pass complete to Sam Bubonics for 35 yds Sam Bubonics fumbled, recovered by Dayt Kyle Hazell for a 1ST down

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.94

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 21 yds to the Butlr 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jake Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 23

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

DAYTON Penalty, False Start (Connor Muck) to the Butlr 28

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Dante Casciola run for 12 yds to the Butlr 16

4th & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Dante Casciola run for 8 yds to the Butlr 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dante Casciola pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Casciola run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 9

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Dante Casciola sacked by Jeremiah Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Butlr 46

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Butlr 43

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.99

Dante Casciola pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Butlr 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joey Audia run for 4 yds to the Butlr 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sam Bubonics at the Dayt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Shane Hamm pass complete to Joey Swanson for 2 yds to the Dayt 18

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

DAYTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Tkatch) declined

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.84

Shane Hamm run for 16 yds to the Dayt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.15

Shane Hamm pass complete to Sam Bubonics for 39 yds to the Butlr 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Shane Hamm run for 7 yds to the Butlr 20

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Shane Hamm pass incomplete

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.46

Shane Hamm run for no gain to the Butlr 20 Shane Hamm fumbled, recovered by Dayt Shane Hamm

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kneel down by BUSHKA, Bret at BU18 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Kneel down by BUSHKA, Bret at BU16 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.36

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 22 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kneel down by BUSHKA, Bret at BU37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play