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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 23.1

Home Win Probability

Lafayette 8%

Market (consensus)

Lafayette +16

Edge: Princeton -16 (7.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Princeton
7133023
Lafayette
02002

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-142-202-23
LafayettePrinceton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPRILAFPUNT639ydPUNT2-1ydTD954ydPUNT514ydTD1262ydPUNT39ydTD1063ydPUNT824ydPUNT613ydDOWNS49ydEND1-5ydPUNT35ydFG742ydTO722ydMISS1136ydTO650ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS728ydDOWNS1374ydEND751yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Princeton and Lafayette
StatisticPrincetonLafayette
Passing30-4019-32
Pass Yards290150
Rush Yards7456
Total Yards364206
Turnovers02
3rd Down10-175-12
Penalties4-404-46
Possession39:3520:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
30/40, 290 YDS
rushing
Ryan Butler
15 CAR, 49 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Andrei Iosivas
10 REC, 150 YDS
Lafayette
passing
Rent Montie
15/28, 111 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaden Sutton
5 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
K.J. Rodgers
3 REC, 35 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 58 yds , AJ Barber return for 15 yds to the Princ 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 5 yds to the Princ 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jo Jo Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Princ 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.17

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 28 yds to the LAFAYETTE 42 for a 1ST down LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lafay 47

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Blake Stenstrom run for 8 yds to the Lafay 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Curtis, Jamar rush for no gain to the LAF20 (Johnson, Liam;Classi, Dylan), PENALTY LAF 12 men on the field (Barshaba, Alex) 10 yards to the LAF10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the Lafay 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Rent Montie pass complete to Julius Young for 7 yds to the Lafay 19

3rd & 11Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 35 yds, fair catch by AJ Barber at the Princ 46

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for a loss of 1 yard to the Princ 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 6 yds to the Lafay 49

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Blake Stenstrom run for 8 yds to the Lafay 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 8 yds to the Lafay 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.01

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 15 yds to the Lafay 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ryan Butler run for no gain to the Lafay 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 8 yds to the Lafay 10

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Lafay 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Ryan Butler run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 54 yds , Jamar Curtis return for 14 yds to the Lafay 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the Lafay 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Rent Montie pass complete to Chris Carasia for 13 yds to the Lafay 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rent Montie pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Jamar Curtis LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 10Punt+17 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 40 yds , AJ Barber returns for 17 yds to the Princ 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 8 yds to the Princ 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.83

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 1 yd to the Lafay 47 for a 1ST down LAFAYETTE Penalty, roughing passer (Malik Hamm) to the Lafay 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 3 yds to the Lafay 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ja'Derris Carr run for 5 yds to the Lafay 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.50

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 2 yds to the Lafay 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 6 yds Ja'Derris Carr fumbled, forced by DaRon Gilbert, recovered by Princ Carson Bobo

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Butler run for 10 yds to the Lafay 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the Lafay 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas, broken up by Byron Johnson

3rd & 0Penalty+6 yds

Stenstrom, Blak pass incomplete to Classi, Dylan (Ntantang, A.T.), PENALTY LAF pass interference (Ntantang, A.T.) 6 yards to the LAF2, 1ST DOWN PRIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Niko Vangarelli run for no gain to the Lafay 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Niko Vangarelli run for 1 yd to the Lafay 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Niko Vangarelli run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 61 yds , Jamar Curtis return for 13 yds to the Lafay 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the Lafay 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rent Montie pass complete to Julius Young for 5 yds to the Lafay 26

4th & 1Punt+13 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 50 yds , AJ Barber returns for 13 yds to the Princ 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 7 yds to the Princ 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the Princ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Stenstrom, Blak pass complete to Classi, Dylan for 21 yards to the LAF31, PENALTY PRIN holding (Boyd, Jonathan) 10 yards to the PRIN38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.32

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dareion Murphy for 15 yds to the Lafay 47

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Blake Stenstrom run for no gain to the Lafay 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.78

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 5 yds to the Lafay 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ja'Derris Carr run for 4 yds to the Lafay 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.93

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 35 yds to the Lafay 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Ja'Derris Carr run for 2 yds to the Lafay 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

Byron Johnson return for defensive PAT

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rent Montie pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 7 yds to the Lafay 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the Lafay 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Julius Young, broken up by Payton Tally

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Rent Montie pass complete to Chris Carasia for 6 yds to the Lafay 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Rent Montie pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 6 yds to the Lafay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rent Montie run for 1 yd to the Lafay 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Rent Montie pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 39 yds, downed at the Princ 12

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Princ 9

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.53

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ryan Butler for 12 yds to the Princ 21

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.64

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 4 yds to the Princ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Ryan Butler

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Blake Stenstrom run for 5 yds to the Princ 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Stenstrom, Blak pass complete to Iosivas, A for 70 yards to the LAF0, clock 02:57, PENALTY PRIN illegal formation 5 yards to the PRIN25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Rent Montie pass complete to Elijah Steward for 8 yds to the Princ 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rent Montie run for 1 yd to the Princ 31

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Mason Gilbert, broken up by CJ Wall

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Princ 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 56 yds , Jamar Curtis return for 11 yds to the Lafay 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaden Sutton run for 4 yds to the Lafay 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Rent Montie pass complete to Elijah Steward for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Rent Montie pass complete to Jaden Sutton for 2 yds to the Lafay 25

4th & 5Punt+17 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 44 yds , AJ Barber returns for 17 yds to the Princ 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 6 yds to the Lafay 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 7 yds to the Lafay 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 24 yds to the Lafay 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the Lafay 13

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Butler run for 3 yds to the Lafay 10

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ryan Butler run for no gain to the Lafay 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 59 yds , Jamar Curtis return for 22 yds to the Lafay 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jermaine Conyers run for 5 yds to the Lafay 33

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the Lafay 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.93

Rent Montie pass complete to Jermaine Conyers for 9 yds to the Lafay 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rent Montie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Rent Montie pass complete to Chris Carasia for 9 yds to the Princ 47

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Princ 48

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line Jamar Curtis fumbled, forced by Uche Ndukwe, recovered by Princ Uche Ndukwe , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Blake Stenstrom run for a loss of 6 yards to the Princ 44 Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by Princ Blake Stenstrom

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.07

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 14 yds to the Lafay 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ja'Derris Carr run for 1 yd to the Lafay 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the Lafay 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stenstrom, Blak pass incomplete to Bobo, Carson, PENALTY LAF pass interference (Gilbert, DaRon) 15 yards to the LAF25, 1ST DOWN PRIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 11 yds to the Lafay 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ryan Butler run for no gain to the Lafay 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas, broken up by Taylor Smallwood

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Ja'Derris Carr

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Rent Montie pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 6 yds to the Lafay 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the Lafay 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaden Sutton run for 1 yd to the Lafay 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Rent Montie pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 10 yds to the Lafay 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Montie, Rent rush for no gain to the LAF40 (Ndukwe, Uche), PENALTY PRIN face mask (Ndukwe, Uche) 15 yards to the PRIN45, 1ST DOWN LAF, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Rent Montie pass complete to Elijah Steward for 15 yds to the Princ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.19

Rent Montie pass intercepted Michael Ruttlen Jr. return for no gain to the Princ 21

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for a loss of 1 yard to the Princ 20

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Malik Hamm for a loss of 2 yards to the Princ 18

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 35 yds, downed at the Lafay 47

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Rent Montie run for 8 yds to the Princ 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Rent Montie run for 1 yd to the Princ 44

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaden Sutton run for 10 yds to the Princ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Rent Montie pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Rent Montie pass complete to Elijah Steward for 9 yds to the Princ 25

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rent Montie pass incomplete to Julius Young, broken up by C Carter

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.35

Jaden Sutton run for no gain to the Princ 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Butler run for 3 yds to the Princ 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Ryan Butler run for 14 yds to the Princ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.23

Blake Stenstrom sacked by Malik Hamm for a loss of 7 yards to the Princ 35

2nd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ryan Butler for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ja'Derris Carr run for 2 yds to the Lafay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 5 yds to the Lafay 43

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Carr, Ja'Derris rush for no gain to the LAF43 (Hamm, Malik), PENALTY PRIN holding (Boyd, Jonathan) 10 yards to the PRIN47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.92

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 19 yds to the Lafay 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Blake Stenstrom run for 5 yds to the Lafay 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.34

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 19 yds to the Lafay 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ja'Derris Carr run for 6 yds to the Lafay 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ja'Derris Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 4 yds to the Lafay 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Ryan Butler run for no gain to the Lafay 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Ah-Shaun Davis run for 1 yd to the Lafay 2

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaden Sutton run for 1 yd to the Lafay 3

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to K.J. Rodgers for 13 yds to the Lafay 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to Griffin Rooney for 4 yds to the Lafay 20

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Ah-Shaun Davis run for 10 yds to the Lafay 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to K.J. Rodgers for 7 yds to the Lafay 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to K.J. Rodgers for 15 yds to the Princ 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
3 plays