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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Mercer
55
-Final
14
VMI
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 22

Home Win Probability

VMI 10%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

VMI +27.5

Edge: VMI +27.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
724141055
VMI
0014014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-140-210-2814-3114-4514-5214-55
VMIMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMIMERVMIMERVMIVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERVMIMERDOWNS622ydTO619ydPUNT35ydTO518ydTD36ydPUNT35ydTD1378ydPUNT38ydTD870ydPUNT3-2ydTO738ydPUNT38ydTD728ydTO15ydFG10ydTO14ydTD529ydTO24ydTD319ydTD651ydTO10ydTD533ydPUNT721ydTD968ydTO38ydFG953ydPUNT35ydEND946yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and VMI
StatisticMercerVMI
Passing18-2510-23
Pass Yards19478
Rush Yards34656
Total Yards540134
Turnovers53
3rd Down11-140-11
Penalties6-351-10
Possession41:3318:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
17/24, 176 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
rushing
CJ Miller
12 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devron Harper
7 REC, 80 YDS
VMI
passing
Seth Morgan
10/21, 78 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hunter Rice
12 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Lemmond
2 REC, 25 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 58 yds , Jahleel Porter return for 21 yds to the VMI 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Korey Bridy run for 4 yds to the VMI 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 9 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 3 yds to the VMI 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Korey Bridy run for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Fred Payton pass complete to Al Wooten II for 7 yds to the VMI 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 9 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 8 yds to the VMI 26

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Travion Solomon

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MERCER False Start (Wilkerson,Tyzen) 5 yards from VMI26 to VMI31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.11

Fred Payton pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Morgan pass complete to Max Brimigion for 4 yds to the VMI 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 1 yd to the VMI 34

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

CJ Miller run for 1 yd to the Mercr 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brandon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Mercr 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.68

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 6 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

CJ Miller run for 7 yds to the VMI 38

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.04

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the VMI 40 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by VMI Dorien Starnes

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Korey Bridy run for 7 yds to the VMI 47

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the VMI 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

4th & 4Punt+87 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 41 yds , Devron Harper returns for 87 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Seth Morgan run for 5 yds to the VMI 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 22

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Al Wooten II run for 13 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Drake Starks

3rd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.77

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 26 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the VMI 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the VMI 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the VMI 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Marshall run for 2 yds to the VMI 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.25

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 16 yds to the VMI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Devron Harper run for 10 yds to the VMI 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brandon Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 60 yds , Jahleel Porter return for 18 yds to the VMI 47 VMI Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the VMI 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Jack Caussin

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Seth Morgan pass complete to Rashad Raymond for 6 yds to the VMI 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

CJ Miller run for 3 yds to the Mercr 33

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

CJ Miller run for 10 yds to the Mercr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Fred Payton pass complete to Fred Jackson for 13 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Miller run for 19 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

CJ Miller run for 1 yd to the VMI 24

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the VMI 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the VMI 12 for a 1ST down MERCER Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ty James) to the VMI 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 22 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Korey Bridy run for 2 yds to the VMI 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Andre Cooper

4th & 12Punt+9 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 33 yds , Devron Harper returns for 9 yds to the VMI 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Travion Solomon

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Brandon Marshall run for 8 yds to the VMI 39

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Brandon Marshall run for 8 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Fred Payton pass complete to Fred Jackson for 1 yd to the VMI 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.15

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 23 yds to the VMI 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Marshall run for no gain to the VMI 9

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.26

Fred Payton pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Korey Bridy run for no gain to the VMI 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Seth Morgan pass complete to VJ Johnson for 8 yds to the VMI 20

4th & 2Punt+26 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 34 yds , Devron Harper returns for 26 yds to the VMI 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Devron Harper run for 3 yds to the VMI 25

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the VMI 23 Fred Payton fumbled, recovered by Mercr Fred Payton

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Devron Harper run for 5 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MERCER Delay Of Game (Payton,Fred) 5 yards from VMI18 to VMI23. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Payton,Fred pass incomplete short left to Harper,Devron PENALTY MERCER Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Adcock,Riley) 5 yards from VMI23 to VMI28. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Al Wooten II run for 15 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the VMI 11

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Brandon Marshall run for 4 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 7 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 55 yds , Jahleel Porter return for 10 yds to the VMI 20

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.61

Korey Bridy run for 5 yds to the VMI 25 Korey Bridy fumbled, recovered by Mercr Christian Hanson

1st & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Devin Folser 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.92

Devron Harper run for 4 yds to the Mercr 29 Devron Harper fumbled, recovered by VMI Evan Eller

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.27

Seth Morgan pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 18 yds to the Mercr 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the Mercr 4

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the Mercr 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the Mercr 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Korey Bridy run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 65 yds , Devron Harper return for 17 yds to the Mercr 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Miller run for 4 yds to the Mercr 21

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Fred Payton pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Seth Morgan pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 16 yds to the Mercr 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Korey Bridy run for 2 yds to the Mercr 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Korey Bridy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+48 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 64 yds , Devron Harper return for 48 yds to the Mercr 49

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Al Wooten II run for 15 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the VMI 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 10 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Fred Payton pass complete to Andrew May for 2 yds to the VMI 19

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.16

CJ Miller run for 15 yds to the VMI 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

CJ Miller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 53 yds , Korey Bridy return for 17 yds to the VMI 29

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.22

Seth Morgan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Al Wooten II run for 16 yds to the VMI 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the VMI 19

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the VMI 23

3rd & 16Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.71

Fred Payton run for 20 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 3 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 61 yds , Korey Bridy return for 4 yds to the VMI 9 Korey Bridy fumbled, recovered by VMI Korey Bridy

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 11

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 11

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth Morgan pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 7 yds to the VMI 18

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.88

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the VMI 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Jack Caussin

4th & 2Punt+4 yds

Aaron Vardell punt for 42 yds , Devron Harper returns for 4 yds to the Mercr 32

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Brandon Marshall run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Marshall run for 5 yds to the VMI 45

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Fred Jackson run for 15 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Brandon Marshall run for 10 yds to the VMI 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon Marshall run for 7 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon Marshall run for 4 yds to the VMI 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon Marshall run for 2 yds to the VMI 11 Brandon Marshall fumbled, recovered by Mercr Brandon Marshall

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brandon Marshall run for 5 yds to the VMI 6

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MERCER False Start (Mansell,Ni) 5 yards from VMI06 to VMI11. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 11 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 25

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hagan,Wyatt pass incomplete short left to Johnson,VJ PENALTY MERCER Pass Interference (Coffey,Richie) 5 yards from VMI25 to VMI30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 33

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.95

Wyatt Hagan pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Daniel Shoch run for 1 yd to the Mercr 35

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

CJ Miller run for 5 yds to the Mercr 40

3rd & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.21

CJ Miller run for 28 yds to the VMI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Coleman run for 6 yds to the VMI 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.00

Justin Coleman run for 4 yds to the VMI 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Coleman run for 1 yd to the VMI 23

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Miller run for 8 yds to the VMI 15

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Coleman run for 2 yds to the VMI 13

4th & 1Field Goal Good+29 yds

Devin Folser 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 56 yds , Korey Bridy return for no gain to the VMI 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 14

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Wyatt Hagan pass incomplete to Max Brimigion

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Vardell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 38

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Mercr 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Mercr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Daniel Shoch pass complete to Reid Brass for 18 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Justin Coleman run for 9 yds to the VMI 25

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Daniel Shoch run for 1 yd to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Coleman run for 5 yds to the VMI 19

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Coleman run for 7 yds to the VMI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kneel down by Mercer at VMI14 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kneel down by Mercer at VMI16 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
51%
39 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays