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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 12

Home Win Probability

Mercer 74%

Market (consensus)

Mercer -14

Edge: East Tennessee State +14 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
3176733
Mercer
141472055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-314-321-1028-1728-2035-2638-2645-3348-3355-33
MercerEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSMERETSETSTO626ydFG816ydTD875ydMISS636ydTD878ydPUNT33ydPUNT418ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT38ydTD11ydTD865ydTO10ydTD121ydTD38ydPUNT312ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydFG70ydPUNT37ydTO33ydFG49ydTD565ydFG1753ydFG967ydTD559ydTD477ydTO953ydFG762ydTD311ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and Mercer
StatisticEast Tennessee StateMercer
Passing25-4523-36
Pass Yards230383
Rush Yards86194
Total Yards316577
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-175-13
Penalties5-444-29
Possession30:1129:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Tyler Riddell
20/35, 206 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Bryson Irby
6 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Will Huzzie
6 REC, 55 YDS
Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
23/35, 383 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Al Wooten II
16 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Ty James
7 REC, 120 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 4

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the Mercr 4

3rd & 11Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.13

Al Wooten II run for 19 yds to the Mercr 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Mercr 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Fred Payton pass complete to Trey Adkins for 11 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -1.76

Austin Douglas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 31 Austin Douglas fumbled, recovered by ETnSt Davion Hood

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Noah West

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 2 yds to the Mercr 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Jacob Saylors

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

MERCER Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mercr 24

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.16

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 3 yds to the Mercr 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacob Saylors run for 4 yds to the Mercr 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Jacob Saylors

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Riddell run for 2 yds to the Mercr 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Tyler Keltner 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devron Harper run for 2 yds to the Mercr 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 19 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Fred Jackson run for 3 yds to the Mercr 49

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Al Wooten II run for 13 yds to the ETnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 14 yds to the ETnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 20

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MERCER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Devron Harper pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.85

Fred Payton pass complete to Austin Douglas for 25 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Saylors run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.53

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 31 yds to the Mercr 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will Huzzie

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Tyler Keltner 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+65 ydsPPA +3.73

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 65 yds to the ETnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 2 yds to the ETnSt 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Devron Harper

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 4 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacob Saylors run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.08

Baron May pass complete to Jacob Saylors for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 17 yds to the Mercr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mercr 39

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Fred Payton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Drake Starks

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Trey Turk punt for 38 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, personal foul (-14 Yards) to the ETnSt 15

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 66 yds, downed at the Mercr 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryson Irby run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Baron May pass incomplete to Noah West

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Baron May pass incomplete to Will Huzzie

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 5 yds to the Mercr 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt , Erek Campbell returns for no gain to the Mercr 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Riddell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Douglas run for 4 yds to the Mercr 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 15 yds to the ETnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 5 yds to the ETnSt 38

4th & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.32

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 21 yds to the ETnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 15

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.77

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 15 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.31

Baron May pass intercepted Michael Campbell return for no gain to the ETnSt 21

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 21 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 8Penalty+4 yds

MERCER Penalty, illegal formation (4 Yards) to the Mercr 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the Mercr 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the Mercr 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Riddell KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Stephen Scott) to the Mercr 30

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.58

Brandon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Drake Starks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 2 yds to the Mercr 37

3rd & 8Punt+43 yds

Trey Turk punt for 41 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 43 yds to the Mercr 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Isaiah Wilson

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the Mercr 34

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (Stephen Scott) to the Mercr 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for no gain to the Mercr 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Devron Harper

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the ETnSt 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Baron May pass complete to Will Huzzie for 16 yds to the Mercr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Baron May pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for 5 yds to the Mercr 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Baron May run for 3 yds to the Mercr 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Baron May pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 9 yds to the Mercr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Baron May pass incomplete to Will Huzzie

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Tyler Keltner 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Baron May pass complete to Einaj Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 38

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Baron May run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 55 yds, downed at the Mercr 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the Mercr 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.26

Fred Payton pass intercepted Chris Hope return for no gain to the Mercr 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Baron May pass incomplete to Noah West

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacob Saylors run for 4 yds to the Mercr 16

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Baron May run for 5 yds to the Mercr 11

4th & 1Field Goal Good+28 yds

Tyler Keltner 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Devron Harper run for 3 yds to the Mercr 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 9 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Devron Harper

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brandon Marshall run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 48

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.17

Devron Harper run for 48 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Riddell run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 7 yds to the ETnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will Huzzie, broken up by Lance Wise

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Solomon Dunn for 11 yds to the Mercr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the Mercr 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 6 yds to the Mercr 40

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 41

4th & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Jawan Martin for 16 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will Huzzie, broken up by Cameron Sims

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Riddell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 22

4th & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 12 yds to the Mercr 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will Huzzie

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 11

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Stephen Scott) to the Mercr 21

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Isaiah Wilson

4th & 0Field Goal Good+39 yds

Tyler Keltner 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the Mercr 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 9 yds to the Mercr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.16

Fred Payton pass complete to Trey Adkins for 33 yds to the ETnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.07

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 21 yds to the ETnSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Marshall run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 4

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.61

Fred Payton run for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Devron Harper

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Devin Folser 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 11 yds to the Mercr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 5 yds to the Mercr 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 6 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Einaj Carter

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for 37 yds for a TD, (Tyler Riddell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Al Wooten II run for 6 yds to the Mercr 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.86

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 40 yds to the ETnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 31 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MERCER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will Huzzie

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Stephen Scott) to the ETnSt 40

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the ETnSt 40

3rd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 7 yds to the ETnSt 47

4th & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +4.02

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Zach West for 19 yds to the Mercr 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Solomon Dunn for 10 yds to the Mercr 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 7 yds to the Mercr 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 9 yds to the Mercr 12

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -5.00

Tyler Riddell pass intercepted Myles Redding return for 20 yds to the Mercr 20

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.64

Brandon Marshall run for 53 yds to the ETnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 22

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.81

Devron Harper run for a loss of 6 yards to the ETnSt 21

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Brandon Marshall run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 18

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brandon Marshall run for no gain to the ETnSt 18

4th & 13Field Goal Good+33 yds

Devin Folser 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for 5 yds to the ETnSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Quinn Caballero for 6 yds to the ETnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+41 ydsPPA -8.85

Tyler Riddell pass intercepted for a TD Michael Campbell return for 41 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Bryson Irby run for 16 yds to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bryson Irby run for 4 yds to the Mercr 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the Mercr 38

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the Mercr 37

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
31%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
50%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays