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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Gardner-Webb 47%

Market (consensus)

Gardner-Webb +7

Edge: Gardner-Webb +7 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
21771045
Gardner-Webb
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-217-217-2814-2814-3514-3814-45
Gardner-WebbMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERGARMERGARMERGARMERGARMERGARGARMERGARMERGARMERGARMERGARMERTD166ydPUNT38ydTD966ydPUNT74ydTD874ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydTD880ydPUNT32ydTD835ydPUNT412ydPUNT932ydTD1075ydTD861ydTO620ydFG820ydDOWNS1134ydTD859ydTO1469ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and Gardner-Webb
StatisticMercerGardner-Webb
Passing15-2327-46
Pass Yards187284
Rush Yards17047
Total Yards357331
Turnovers03
3rd Down3-118-17
Penalties5-558-94
Possession25:0234:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
15/23, 187 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Devron Harper
2 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devron Harper
8 REC, 109 YDS, 2 TD
Gardner-Webb
passing
Bailey Fisher
14/20, 123 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden Brown
3 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
T.J. Luther
7 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jay Billingsley kickoff for 42 yds , Brandon Marshall return for 11 yds to the Mercr 34

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +5.34

Devron Harper run for 66 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Deland Thomas for 2 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Jones run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 33 yds, downed at the Mercr 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 3 yds to the Mercr 37

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Fred Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 36

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 38

4th & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.34

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 15 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 46

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker Wroble run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Fred Payton pass complete to Sawyer Burt for 12 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.99

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 27 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 3 yds to the GrdWb 28

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Janiero Crankfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 24 Janiero Crankfield fumbled, recovered by GrdWb Michael Brooks

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.61

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Maleek Huggins for 18 yds to the GrdWb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.23

Donovan Jones run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 45 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the GrdWb 19

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 26

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Fred Jackson run for 21 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 49

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

PAYTON, Fred pass to the right incomplete intended for HARPER, Devron broken up by THOMAS, A.J. at the MER49. PENALTY GWU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the GWU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Austin Douglas run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 26

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Fred Payton sacked by William McRainey for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 13 yds to the GrdWb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 15 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 2 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Donovan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mercr 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Fred Jackson run for 2 yds to the Mercr 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Donovan Jones run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Donovan Jones run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.85

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to T.J. Luther for 47 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matthew Caldwell run for 5 yds to the Mercr 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to T.J. Luther for 16 yds to the Mercr 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Jones run for 3 yds to the Mercr 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalin Graham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Jay Billingsley kickoff for 42 yds , Brandon Marshall return for 7 yds to the Mercr 30

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Fred Payton run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mercr 23

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Fred Payton pass complete to Parker Wroble for 9 yds to the Mercr 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Janiero Crankfield run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Deland Thomas for 5 yds to the GrdWb 34

4th & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.38

Austin Hendley pass complete to Karim Page for 20 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Janiero Crankfield run for 2 yds to the Mercr 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Deland Thomas for 6 yds to the Mercr 38

4th & 2Interception Return Touchdown+67 ydsPPA -9.10

67 Yd Interception Return (Devin Folser Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 60 yds , Maleek Huggins return for 35 yds to the GrdWb 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matthew Caldwell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MERCER Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (TEAM) to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Matthew Caldwell pass complete to T.J. Luther for no gain to the Mercr 45

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 46

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Donovan Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Austin Hendley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the Mercr 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 20

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 9 yds to the Mercr 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the Mercr 32

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

TURK, Trey punt 35 yards to the GWU33, fair catch by HAYWOOD, Cutrell, clock 00:56. PENALTY GWU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the MER32 to the MER47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Fred Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Devron Harper run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 55 yds for a touchback

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Matthew Caldwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Maleek Huggins for 12 yds to the GrdWb 34

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

FISHER, Bailey pass up the middle incomplete intended for LUTHER, T.J.. PENALTY MER Face mask enforced 15 yards from the GWU34 to the GWU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 11 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 4 yds to the Mercr 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Karim Page for 6 yds to the Mercr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 8 yds to the Mercr 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Janiero Crankfield for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Janiero Crankfield for 4 yds to the Mercr 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Bailey Fisher run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 21

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 21 yds for a TD, (Jay Billingsley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Jay Billingsley kickoff for 35 yds , Fred Jackson return for 9 yds to the Mercr 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 41

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the Mercr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 6 yds to the GrdWb 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 7 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Fred Payton run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 30

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Fred Jackson run for no gain to the GrdWb 30

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.15

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 30 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 57 yds , Ephraim Floyd return for 36 yds to the GARDNERWEB 29 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the GrdWb 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Karim Page for 3 yds to the GrdWb 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Bailey Fisher pass complete to T.J. Luther for 6 yds to the GrdWb 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.50

Janiero Crankfield run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bailey Fisher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 8 yds to the GrdWb 30

3rd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -0.54

Bailey Fisher pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Austin Douglas run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Douglas run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Austin Douglas run for no gain to the GrdWb 26

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Austin Douglas run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Fred Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 6 yds to the GrdWb 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Devin Folser 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Bailey Fisher for 2 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Bailey Fisher sacked by Marques Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 20

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

FISHER, Bailey pass to the left incomplete intended for THOMAS, Deland thrown to the GWU25. PENALTY MER Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the GWU20 to the GWU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bailey Fisher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Bailey Fisher pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

FISHER, Bailey pass to the right incomplete intended for HAYWOOD, Cutrell thrown to the MER30. PENALTY MER Offsides enforced 5 yards from the GWU35 to the GWU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Deland Thomas for 11 yds to the Mercr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bailey Fisher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.23

Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 28 yds to the Mercr 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Jones run for 2 yds to the Mercr 19

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Donovan Jones run for 1 yd to the Mercr 18

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the Mercr 28

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Mercr 33

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Bailey Fisher pass incomplete

4th & 22Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.47

Ephraim Floyd run for a loss of 8 yards to the Mercr 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the Mercr 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.45

Fred Payton pass complete to Andrew May for 16 yds to the GrdWb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Fred Payton pass complete to Fred Jackson for 5 yds to the GrdWb 38

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.56

Brandon Marshall run for 13 yds to the GrdWb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Fred Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Austin Douglas run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 14 yds to the GrdWb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Austin Douglas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the GrdWb 14

1st & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Brown run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 21

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Xavion Brower run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 26

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.17

run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 24

4th & 14Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +4.19

Xavion Brower pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 37 yds to the Mercr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Xavion Brower run for 3 yds to the Mercr 36

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

BROWER, Xavion pass incomplete intended for FLOYD, Ephraim. PENALTY MER Offsides enforced 5 yards from the MER36 to the MER31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Jayden Brown run for 4 yds to the Mercr 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Xavion Brower pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavion Brower pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Xavion Brower pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Xavion Brower pass complete to Caleb Borders for 13 yds to the Mercr 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xavion Brower run for 5 yds to the Mercr 9

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Xavion Brower run for 4 yds to the Mercr 5

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Jayden Brown run for 2 yds to the Mercr 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -5.54

Xavion Brower pass intercepted

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Gardner-Webb

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
13%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays