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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
The Citadel
26
-Final
22
VMI
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

The Citadel by 1.4

Home Win Probability

VMI 46%

Market (consensus)

VMI +3.5

Edge: VMI +3.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
01401226
VMI
3019022

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-149-1422-1422-2022-26
VMIThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCVMITCTCVMITCVMITCVMITCTO749ydFG932ydTD1686ydMISS755ydTD1579ydPUNT34ydEND219ydTD1074ydPUNT35ydTD566ydTD33ydMISS1659ydPUNT35ydTD771ydPUNT32ydTD678ydTO961ydEND3-13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and VMI
StatisticThe CitadelVMI
Passing9-1118-24
Pass Yards152232
Rush Yards31989
Total Yards471321
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-144-10
Penalties11-906-62
Possession41:4518:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Peyton Derrick
7/9, 84 YDS
rushing
Cooper Wallace
9 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian Hilton
2 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
VMI
passing
Seth Morgan
16/22, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Korey Bridy
15 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chance Knox
9 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.83

Cooper Wallace run for 55 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIT False Start (Conway,Ricky) 5 yards from VMI33 to VMI38. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Peyton Derrick run for 4 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Ricky Conway for 7 yds to the VMI 27

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Braden Walker run for 4 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Cooper Wallace run for 23 yds THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nkem Njoku) to the VMI 31

1st & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIT Illegal Snap (Bartilucci,Mike) 5 yards from VMI31 to VMI36. NO PLAY.

1st & 23Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.94

Peyton Derrick sacked by Christian Dunn for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 41

2nd & 28Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.85

Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the VMI 39 Peyton Derrick fumbled, recovered by VMI Dorien Starnes

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the VMI 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leroy Thomas run for 5 yds to the VMI 47

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.40

Seth Morgan run for 24 yds to the Citad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Korey Bridy run for no gain to the Citad 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 13 yds to the Citad 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Korey Bridy run for 5 yds to the Citad 11

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Korey Bridy run for 2 yds to the Citad 9

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Morgan,Seth pass incomplete short middle to Lemmond,Isaiah PENALTY VMI Holding (Jilson,Ayden) 10 yards from CIT09 to CIT19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

VMI Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Seth Morgan) to the Citad 29

4th & 23Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jerry Rice 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 61 yds , Cooper Wallace return for 10 yds to the Citad 14

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIT False Start (Derrick,Peyton) 5 yards from CIT14 to CIT09. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Braden Walker run for 3 yds to the Citad 12

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Braden Walker run for 2 yds to the Citad 14

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Peyton Derrick run for 10 yds to the Citad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Braden Walker run for 6 yds to the Citad 30

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Braden Walker run for 4 yds to the Citad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Peyton Derrick run for 5 yds to the Citad 39

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Braden Walker run for 7 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Braden Walker run for 1 yd to the Citad 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.48

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 17 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braden Walker run for 5 yds to the VMI 33

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.42

Braden Walker run for 15 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Braden Walker run for 1 yd to the VMI 17

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Peyton Derrick run for 14 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the VMI 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the VMI 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 65 yds , Chance Knox return for 24 yds to the VMI 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Leroy Thomas run for 2 yds to the VMI 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Leroy Thomas pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 51 yds to the Citad 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Isaiah Lemmond

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Korey Bridy run for 6 yds to the Citad 17

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Korey Bridy run for 17 yds VMI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ayden Jilson) to the Citad 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 2 yds to the Citad 21

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jerry Rice 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peyton Derrick run for 5 yds to the Citad 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the Citad 27

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Ricky Conway run for 13 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Peyton Derrick run for 9 yds to the Citad 49

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the Citad 48

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.25

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Peyton Derrick run for 6 yds to the VMI 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Johnny Crawford III run for 5 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds to the VMI 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

VMI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ernie Campbell) to the VMI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Johnny Crawford III run for 10 yds to the VMI 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the VMI 11

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Peyton Derrick run for 5 yds to the VMI 6

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the VMI 4

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.94

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morgan,Seth pass complete short right to Knox,Chance for 6 yards to the VMI31 (Horn,Brian) PENALTY VMI Personal Foul (Mann,Tristan) 12 yards from VMI25 to VMI13. NO PLAY.

1st & 22Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Seth Morgan sacked by Marquise Blount for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 11

2nd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the VMI 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Seth Morgan pass complete to Rashad Raymond for 15 yds to the VMI 29

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds , Destin Mack returns for 3 yds to the Citad 35

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Johnny Crawford III run for 10 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Peyton Derrick run for 9 yds to the VMI 46

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 53 yds , Chance Knox return for 14 yds to the VMI 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 6 yds to the VMI 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the VMI 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.57

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 8 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

VMI Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the VMI 33

2nd & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.06

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 33 yds to the Citad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the Citad 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.25

Seth Morgan pass complete to VJ Johnson for 10 yds to the Citad 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Korey Bridy run for 1 yd to the Citad 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Max Brimigion pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 12 yds to the Citad 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Korey Bridy run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY CIT UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting CIT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting VMI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the Citad 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Tyler Cherry

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chance Knox at the VMI 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Seth Morgan pass complete to Max Brimigion for 7 yds Max Brimigion fumbled, recovered by VMI Korey Bridy

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Korey Bridy run for 19 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rashad Raymond run for 4 yds to the Citad 36

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.28

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 36 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 62 yds , Jay Graves-Billips return for 29 yds to the Citad 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the Citad 33

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds to the Citad 30

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 5 yds to the Citad 35

4th & 7Blocked Punt+20 yds

James Platte punt blocked by Eric Rankin blocked by Eric Rankin for a TD , Elijah Quamiley returns for 20 yds for a TD, (Jerry Rice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the Citad 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 9 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Ricky Conway run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jay Graves-Billips run for 5 yds to the VMI 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds to the VMI 43

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Cooper Wallace run for 7 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the VMI 32

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Ricky Conway run for 6 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Cooper Wallace run for no gain to the VMI 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Christian Hilton

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Braden Walker run for 9 yds to the VMI 17

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.64

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the VMI 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Johnny Crawford III run for 2 yds to the VMI 11

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Conway,Ricky rush middle for 0 yards to the VMI11 (Jones,Shamus; Summey,Tahj) PENALTY CIT Holding (Cherry,Tyler) 10 yards from VMI11 to VMI21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Ricky Conway for 10 yds to the VMI 11

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIT Delay Of Game 5 yards from VMI11 to VMI16. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+33 yds

Colby Kintner 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ernie Campbell

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Korey Bridy run for 4 yds to the VMI 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 1 yd to the VMI 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 46 yds , Destin Mack returns for no gain to the Citad 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Cooper Wallace run for 15 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the Citad 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Christian Hilton for 7 yds to the VMI 48

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Johnny Crawford III run for 6 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.76

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 29 yds to the VMI 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the VMI 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Cooper Wallace run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 56 yds , Chance Knox return for 18 yds to the VMI 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Korey Bridy run for 3 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Leroy Thomas run for 1 yd to the VMI 29

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 52 yds , Destin Mack returns for 3 yds to the Citad 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd to the Citad 23

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the Citad 28

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ricky Conway run for 3 yds to the Citad 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.38

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the Citad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 17 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Christian Hilton for 51 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kintner,Colby kickoff 65 yards to the VMI00, Touchback PENALTY CIT Offside 5 yards from CIT35 to CIT30. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 69 yds , Chance Knox return for 24 yds to the VMI 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Morgan pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 5 yds to the VMI 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 10 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Seth Morgan pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the VMI 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Chance Knox

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.40

Korey Bridy run for 14 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morgan,Seth pass incomplete short left to Lemmond,Isaiah PENALTY CIT Pass Interference (Mack,Destin) 10 yards from CIT40 to CIT30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Korey Bridy run for no gain to the Citad 30

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.01

Seth Morgan sacked by Carson Hatchett for a loss of 6 yards to the Citad 36

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Seth Morgan pass complete to Max Brimigion for 7 yds to the Citad 29

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Morgan,Seth pass incomplete short middle to Twombly,Aidan PENALTY CIT Pass Interference (Beverly,Chris) 15 yards from CIT29 to CIT14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.45

Seth Morgan pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.45

Seth Morgan pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PENALTY CIT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ravenel,Melvin) 10 yards from CIT20 to CIT10. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.11

Kneel down by The Citadel at CIT09 for loss of 1 yards.

2nd & 21Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Kneel down by The Citadel at CIT08 for loss of 1 yards.

3rd & 22Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.01

Kneel down by The Citadel at CIT07 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
30 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th