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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Mercer 80%

Market (consensus)

Mercer -18.5

Edge: The Citadel +18.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
00000
Mercer
0014317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-017-0
MercerThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCMERTCTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERTCMERPUNT616ydPUNT623ydPUNT37ydTO213ydMISS1376ydPUNT59ydTO1261ydMISS1870ydTD575ydPUNT636ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydTD380ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydPUNT731ydPUNT621ydPUNT31ydFG733ydDOWNS87ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and Mercer
StatisticThe CitadelMercer
Passing7-1716-24
Pass Yards59224
Rush Yards92147
Total Yards151371
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-155-13
Penalties1-154-55
Possession32:3927:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Peyton Derrick
7/17, 59 YDS
rushing
Sam Llewellyn
5 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Tyler Cherry
2 REC, 19 YDS
Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
16/24, 224 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Austin Douglas
11 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Ty James
7 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

kickoff for 58 yds , Jay Graves-Billips return for 13 yds to the Citad 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Logan Billings run for 11 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the Citad 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Billings run for 2 yds to the Citad 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the Citad 48

3rd & 7Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.49

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 12 yards to the Citad 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 63 yds, downed at the Mercr 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Mercr 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Devron Harper

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.93

Fred Payton pass complete to Al Wooten II for 18 yds to the Mercr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the Mercr 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 4 yds to the Mercr 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Brandon Marshall

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Citad 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Peyton Derrick run for 4 yds to the Citad 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Ricky Conway

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds to the Citad 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 48 yds , Lance Wise returns for no gain to the Mercr 13 Lance Wise fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Citad Destin Mack

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Mercr 10

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-90 ydsPPA -4.36

Sam Llewellyn run for a loss of 90 yards to the Mercr 0 Sam Llewellyn fumbled, forced by Ken Standley, recovered by Mercr TJ Moore

1st & 10Rush+25 yds

Austin Douglas run for 25 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 9 yds to the Mercr 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Mercr 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fred Payton pass complete to Nate Boehm for 5 yds to the Mercr 45

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Brandon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 4 yds to the Citad 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for no gain to the Citad 45

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

MERCER Penalty, Offensive holding (Drake Starks) to the Mercr 45

3rd & 16Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.03

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 28 yds to the Citad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 2 yds to the Citad 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Austin Douglas run for 1 yd to the Citad 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Devin Folser 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Cooper Wallace run for 9 yds to the Citad 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Sam Llewellyn run for 2 yds to the Citad 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Citad 38

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Peyton Derrick sacked by Solomon Zubairu for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 28

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 26 Al Wooten II fumbled, recovered by Mercr Al Wooten II

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Mercr 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 14 yds to the Mercr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Douglas run for 5 yds to the Mercr 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Fred Payton pass complete to Travion Solomon for 6 yds to the Citad 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.69

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 19 yds to the Citad 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Al Wooten II run for 8 yds to the Citad 15

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.27

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the Citad 11 Al Wooten II fumbled, forced by Kyler Estes, recovered by Citad Dominick Poole

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cooper Wallace run for 5 yds to the Citad 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the Citad 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 4 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jay Graves-Billips run for 4 yds to the Citad 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the Citad 27

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Ricky Conway run for 5 yds to the Citad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Tyler Cherry for 15 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ricky Conway run for 4 yds to the Mercr 49

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Cooper Wallace run for 6 yds to the Mercr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Sam Llewellyn run for 7 yds to the Mercr 36

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ricky Conway run for 5 yds to the Mercr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Peyton Derrick sacked by Ken Standley for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 32

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Peyton Derrick run for 14 yds to the Mercr 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Kam White for 1 yd to the Mercr 17

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Llewellyn run for 3 yds to the Mercr 14

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.23

Peyton Derrick sacked by Isaac Dowling for a loss of 5 yards to the Mercr 19

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jay Smith 36 yd FG MISSED

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Douglas run for 5 yds to the Mercr 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dominick Poole) to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Austin Douglas run for 22 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 24 yds to the Citad 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Ty James 9 Yd pass from Fred Payton (Devin Folser Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Citad 38

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Billings, Logan rush for no gain to the THECIT~138 (Ken Standley;Jordan Swain), PENALTY MER personal foul (Chris Hill) 15 yards to the MER47, 1ST DOWN THECIT~1, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ricky Conway run for 1 yd to the Mercr 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jay Graves-Billips run for 2 yds to the Mercr 44

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

MERCER Penalty, personal foul (Shi'heem Watkins) to the Mercr 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sam Llewellyn run for no gain to the Mercr 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Logan Billings

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Sam Llewellyn

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 27 yds, downed at the Mercr 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Mercr 3

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.15

Al Wooten II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 2

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Trey Turk punt for 59 yds , Dominick Poole returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 49

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Ricky Conway run for 2 yds to the Mercr 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Fred Payton pass complete to Trey Adkins for 14 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 63 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 59 yds , Jay Graves-Billips return for 15 yds to the Citad 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Nkem Njoku run for 1 yd to the Citad 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Peyton Derrick run for 4 yds to the Citad 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Jay Graves-Billips

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Douglas run for 2 yds to the Mercr 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 5 yds to the Mercr 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 57 yds, downed at the Citad 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Kam White

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MERCER Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Michael Campbell) to the Citad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the Citad 36

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Logan Billings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Christian Hilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the Mercr 47

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Peyton Derrick sacked by Savio Frazier for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Platte punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 5

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Douglas run for 7 yds to the Mercr 12

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Austin Douglas run for 8 yds to the Mercr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Fred Payton run for 6 yds to the Mercr 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Fred Payton run for no gain to the Mercr 29

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY MER unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY THECIT~1 unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 70 yds, downed at the Citad 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Citad 1

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Orlando Jones run for 1 yd to the Citad 2

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Citad 2

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

James Platte punt for 42 yds , Lance Wise returns for 5 yds to the Citad 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Al Wooten II run for 7 yds to the Citad 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the Citad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Fred Jackson run for 13 yds to the Citad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Citad 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Marshall run for 4 yds to the Citad 6

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Austin Douglas run for no gain to the Citad 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 yds

Devin Folser 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 32 yds , Alex Sloan return for no gain to the Citad 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Cale Williams for 4 yds to the Citad 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Kam White

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Citad 37

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Peyton Derrick pass complete to Ricky Conway for 7 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Christian Hilton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Peyton Derrick run for no gain to the Citad 44

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Peyton Derrick sacked by Ken Standley for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 40

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Ricky Conway

No play data available

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
20%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
6 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play