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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Valparaiso by 4.9

Home Win Probability

Valparaiso 60%

Market (consensus)

Valparaiso -10.5

Edge: Butler +10.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
0062026
Valparaiso
1306625

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-013-013-313-619-1325-1925-26
ValparaisoButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTTD476ydPUNT522ydTD680ydDOWNS832ydMISS1046ydPUNT728ydPUNT735ydDOWNS945ydPUNT410ydEND15ydFG1259ydPUNT31ydFG1379ydTD567ydTD575ydTD296ydTD1268ydPUNT3-8ydTD730ydTO944ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and Valparaiso
StatisticButlerValparaiso
Passing24-3517-26
Pass Yards259268
Rush Yards167179
Total Yards426447
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-142-9
Penalties3-307-55
Possession35:4524:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
24/34, 259 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Bret Bushka
18 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Wooten
7 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
Valparaiso
passing
Mason Kaplan
10/14, 135 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Aaron Dawson
14 CAR, 158 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Matt Ross
3 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 64 yds , Charlie Maxwell return for 23 yds to the Valpo 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.38

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 48 yds to the Butlr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Aaron Dawson run for 13 yds to the Butlr 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Butlr 8

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

KAPLAN rush for loss of 3 yards to the BUTLER11 (Menard, Mac), PENALTY VALPO illegal formation 5 yards to the BUTLER13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Matt Ross for 13 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 54 yds , Joey Audia return for 18 yds to the Butlr 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the Butlr 36

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

AJ Deinhart run for 12 yds to the Butlr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for a loss of 2 yards AJ Deinhart fumbled, forced by Keyon Turner, recovered by Butlr

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 9 yds to the Valpo 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Braden Contreras for 26 yds to the Valpo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Aaron Dawson run for 9 yds to the Butlr 45

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Aaron Dawson run for 9 yds to the Butlr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Butlr 40

2nd & 14Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.96

Mason Kaplan run for 10 yds to the Butlr 30 for a 1ST down BUTLER Penalty, personal foul (Jack Belskis) to the Butlr 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Jahni Clarke for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bret Bushka run for 9 yds to the Butlr 44

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the Butlr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Joey Suchy run for 8 yds to the Valpo 43

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Valpo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Wooten run for 5 yds to the Valpo 36

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the Valpo 32

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.80

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Valpo 33

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Aaron Dawson run for 14 yds to the Valpo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Aaron Dawson run for 12 yds to the Butlr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Mason Kaplan run for no gain to the Butlr 41

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 8 yds to the Butlr 34

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 10 yds to the Butlr 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Butlr 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Braden Contreras

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Brian Bartholomew 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for 16 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

AJ Deinhart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Butlr 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.02

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 14 yds to the Butlr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 3 yds to the Valpo 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Bret Bushka sacked by Sam Hafner for a loss of 2 yards to the Butlr 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mason Kaplan run for no gain to the Valpo 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 16 yds to the Valpo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Mason Kaplan run for 21 yds to the Butlr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jahni Clarke run for 2 yds to the Butlr 41

2nd & 8Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.58

Jahni Clarke run for a loss of 8 yards to the Butlr 49

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 4 yds to the Butlr 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 1 yd to the Butlr 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 15 yds to the Butlr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 5 yds to the Butlr 41

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Joey Audia run for 6 yds to the Butlr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 42

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keyon Turner) to the Valpo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the Valpo 43

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Valpo 40

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, Defensive offside (Kurt Kessen) to the Valpo 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.39

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 10 yds to the Valpo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Matt Ross, broken up by Connor Reid

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Brian Bartholomew

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Barret Labus

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 54 yds, downed at the Butlr 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the Butlr 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 65 yds , Joey Audia return for 23 yds to the Butlr 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

AJ Deinhart run for 5 yds to the Butlr 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 3 yds to the Butlr 31

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.36

AJ Deinhart run for 6 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.18

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 31 yds to the Valpo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bushka, Bret rush for 3 yards to the VALPO29 (SHERMAN;FRANCO), PENALTY BUTLER illegal formation declined, PENALTY BUTLER holding (Turner, Jack) 10 yards to the VALPO42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Bret Bushka run for 1 yd to the Valpo 41

3rd & 19Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.61

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 18 yds to the Valpo 23

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Valpo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 2 yds to the Valpo 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Tyler Adams, broken up by Max Franco

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Luka Zurak 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 44 yds , Cam Livingston return for 11 yds to the Valpo 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 33

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Valpo 33

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Appel Jr. run for no gain to the Valpo 33

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 51 yds, downed at the Butlr 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Butlr 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.72

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 18 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the Butlr 41

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Bret Bushka run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the Valpo 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the Valpo 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Valpo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 5 yds to the Valpo 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.84

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 32 yds to the Valpo 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 4 yards to the Valpo 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Tyler Adams, broken up by Max Franco

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the Valpo 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Luka Zurak 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 55 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 23 yds to the Valpo 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 18 yds to the Butlr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 3 yds to the Butlr 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.55

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Matt Ross for 46 yds to the Butlr 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Mason Kaplan 3 Yd Run (Brian Bartholomew PAT blocked)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 9 yds to the Butlr 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 10 yds to the Butlr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Wooten run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.51

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 50 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 61 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for no gain to the Valpo 4

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Valpo 1

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+99 ydsPPA +7.30

Aaron Dawson run for 99 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 8

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 53 yds , Jack Boyd return for 20 yds to the Butlr 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bret Bushka run for 3 yds to the Butlr 35

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Bushka, Bret pass incomplete to Adams, Tyler (FRANCO), PENALTY VALPO pass interference (FRANCO) 10 yards to the BUTLER45, 1ST DOWN BUTLER, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the Butlr 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the Valpo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Tyler Adams, broken up by Kohlton Sherman

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Bret Bushka run for 14 yds to the Valpo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Luke Wooten run for 11 yds to the Valpo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the Valpo 18

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Luke Wooten run for 2 yds to the Valpo 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 12 yds to the Valpo 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the Valpo 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joey Audia pass incomplete to Bret Bushka

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 4 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 63 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 9 yds to the Valpo 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jahni Clarke run for no gain to the Valpo 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for no gain to the Valpo 11

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.11

Mason Kaplan sacked by Jacob Cain for a loss of 8 yards to the Valpo 3

4th & 18Punt+6 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 33 yds , Joey Audia returns for 6 yds to the Valpo 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

AJ Deinhart run for 10 yds to the Valpo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Valpo 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 6 yds to the Valpo 11

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bret Bushka run for 4 yds to the Valpo 2

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Valpo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Bret Bushka pass complete to Cameron Heald for 3 yds to the Valpo 6

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mason Kaplan run for 3 yds to the Valpo 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 7 yds to the Valpo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Matt Ross for 19 yds to the Butlr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KAPLAN rush for 2 yards to the BUTLER44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VALPO holding (BYRD) 10 yards to the VALPO44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 13 yds to the Butlr 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Mason Kaplan run for no gain to the Butlr 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete to Evan Jernegan

4th & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 12 yds to the Butlr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete to Matt Ross

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -3.58

Mason Kaplan pass intercepted Lucas Kozlowski return for 2 yds to the Butlr 6

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Butlr 4

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
42%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
18%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play