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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Valparaiso by 8.4

Home Win Probability

Presbyterian 33%

Market (consensus)

Presbyterian +16.5

Edge: Presbyterian +16.5 (8.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Valparaiso
7772041
Presbyterian
7140021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1414-1421-1421-2121-2821-3521-41
PresbyterianValparaiso

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PREVALPREVALPREVALPREVALPREVALVALPREVALPREVALPREVALPREVALPREVALPUNT620ydTD670ydPUNT43ydPUNT411ydTD880ydTD1368ydTD575ydDOWNS1037ydTD862ydEND1-3ydPUNT715ydTO2-1ydTD235ydPUNT619ydTD1396ydPUNT520ydTD1075ydDOWNS735ydTD160ydDOWNS1055ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Valparaiso and Presbyterian
StatisticValparaisoPresbyterian
Passing18-2513-23
Pass Yards240252
Rush Yards223108
Total Yards463360
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-106-13
Penalties7-685-60
Possession34:2625:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Valparaiso
passing
Mikey Appel
8/11, 127 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aaron Dawson
23 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Solomon Davis
5 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Presbyterian
passing
Tyler Wesley
11/17, 230 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Wesley
16 CAR, 51 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jalen Jones
5 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Delvecchio Powell II run for 2 yds to the Presb 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Ty Englehart run for 1 yd to the Presb 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Ty Englehart pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 12 yds to the Presb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Delvecchio Powell II run for no gain to the Presb 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Delvecchio Powell II run for 5 yds to the Presb 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ty Englehart pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Aaron Dawson run for 11 yds to the Valpo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Valpo 48

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Valpo 48

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Mason Kaplan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Valpo 44

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

MATTHES, Evan punt 54 yards to the PC2 downed. PENALTY PC Roughing the Kicker enforced 15 yards from the VAL44 to the PC41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Mikey Appel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.12

Mikey Appel pass complete to Jake Vickers for 41 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ty Englehart pass complete to Delvecchio Powell II for 10 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Ty Englehart sacked by Kohlton Sherman for a loss of 7 yards to the Presb 28

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Englehart run for 2 yds to the Presb 30

3rd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Englehart sacked by Trent Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 28

4th & 17Punt+6 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 36 yds , Josh Becton returns for 6 yds to the Valpo 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Jeffery Vercher for 22 yds to the Presb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAWSON, Aaron rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the PC24 (PAYNE, Merrel). PENALTY VAL Holding enforced 10 yards from the PC36 to the PC46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Mason Kaplan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 49

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Matt Ross for 2 yds to the Presb 47

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

JB Seay run for 2 yds to the Presb 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 13 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Wesley run for 2 yds to the Presb 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mikal Stanley run for no gain to the Presb 37

3rd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.23

Tyler Wesley run for 19 yds to the Valpo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Mikal Stanley run for 2 yds to the Valpo 42

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Shawn Lodge run for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 44

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.45

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 44 yds for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 56 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 23 yds to the Valpo 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jahni Clarke run for 8 yds to the Valpo 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Valpo 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Mikey Appel pass complete to Braden Contreras for 7 yds to the Valpo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt Ross run for 6 yds to the Presb 48

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Solomon Davis) to the Presb 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jahni Clarke run for 4 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Jahni Clarke for 6 yds to the Presb 36

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Mason Kaplan run for 10 yds to the Presb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Presb 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.25

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 16 yds to the Presb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Aaron Dawson run for 8 yds to the Presb 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tyler Wesley) to the Presb 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Delvecchio Powell II run for 2 yds to the Presb 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +4.69

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Delvecchio Powell II for 63 yds to the Valpo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, Sideline Interference (TEAM) to the Valpo 7

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Delvecchio Powell II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Valpo 10

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Tyler Wesley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 58 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 18 yds to the Valpo 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Valpo 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mikey Appel pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.74

Mikey Appel pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 32 yds to the Presb 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Presb 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross for 7 yds to the Presb 33

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Presb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Presb 26

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.18

Mikey Appel sacked by Alex Herriott for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mikey Appel pass incomplete

4th & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.63

Mikey Appel sacked by Malek Horlback for a loss of 9 yards to the Presb 38

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyler Wesley run for 29 yds to the Valpo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Delvecchio Powell II run for 3 yds to the Valpo 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Wesley run for no gain to the Valpo 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Delvecchio Powell II for 7 yds to the Valpo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 13 yds to the Valpo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Dylan Thibault for 9 yds to the Valpo 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Wesley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Maddrey KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 25 yds , return for no gain to the Valpo 39 , return for no gain to the Valpo 39

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Mikey Appel pass complete to Solomon Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Valpo 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Parker Maddrey kickoff for 60 yds , Charlie Maxwell return for 29 yds to the Valpo 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Mason Kaplan run for 7 yds to the Valpo 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the Valpo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 47

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

KAPLAN, Mason pass up the middle incomplete intended for DAVIS, Solomon thrown to the PC20. PENALTY PC Pass Interference on HALLORAN, Keegan enforced 15 yards to the PC38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Aaron Dawson run for 14 yds to the Presb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KAPLAN, Mason pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to MAXWELL, Charlie caught at the PC26 and advanced to the PC21 (SEAY, AJ). PENALTY VAL Holding on VICKERS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the PC24 to the PC34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete

2nd & 20Penalty-10 yds

DAWSON, Aaron rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the PC23 (WILDER, George), out of bounds. PENALTY VAL Holding on FILES, Danny enforced 10 yards from the PC34 to the PC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete

3rd & 30Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Kaplan sacked by Campbell Watson for a loss of 7 yards to the Valpo 49

4th & 37Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Delvecchio Powell II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 19

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.02

Dylan Thibault pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jahni Clarke run for 5 yds to the Presb 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.89

Mikey Appel pass complete to Solomon Davis for 30 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keyon Turner) to the Presb 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 62 yds , Shawn Lodge return for 31 yds to the Presb 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Delvecchio Powell II run for no gain to the Presb 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Honrae Murray for 9 yds to the Valpo 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Wesley run for 2 yds to the Valpo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Wesley run for 4 yds to the Valpo 36

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.74

Tyler Wesley sacked by Sam Hafner for a loss of 11 yards to the Valpo 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 43 yds, downed at the Valpo 4

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Aaron Dawson run for 8 yds to the Valpo 12

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Mason Kaplan run for 3 yds to the Valpo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Jake Vickers for 7 yds to the Valpo 22

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Valpo 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.94

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 5 yds to the Valpo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jahni Clarke run for 2 yds to the Valpo 28

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

KAPLAN, Mason pass up the middle incomplete intended for GRGURIC, Dom thrown to the PC49. PENALTY PC Pass Interference on HENEGAN, Jack enforced 15 yards to the VAL43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Jeffery Vercher for 8 yds to the Presb 49

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Mason Kaplan run for 7 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Presb 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross for 14 yds to the Presb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 11 yds to the Presb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Aaron Dawson run for 6 yds to the Presb 9

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Matt Ross for 9 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 62 yds , Shawn Lodge return for 18 yds to the Presb 21

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Mikal Stanley run for 8 yds to the Presb 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 14 yds to the Presb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.70

Tyler Wesley sacked by Jadarius Horton for a loss of 13 yards to the Presb 30

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

3rd & 23Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Wesley run for 11 yds to the Presb 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Parker Maddrey punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Aaron Dawson run for 9 yds to the Valpo 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Mason Kaplan run for 5 yds to the Valpo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 41

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Mason Kaplan run for 7 yds to the Valpo 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Presb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper KAPLAN, Mason rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the PC48 (WILDER, George). PENALTY Before the snap, VAL Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the PC49 to the VAL46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.19

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Solomon Davis for 27 yds to the Presb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Presb 24

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Aaron Dawson run for 13 yds to the Presb 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jahni Clarke run for 8 yds to the Presb 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Jahni Clarke run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Englehart run for 4 yds to the Presb 29

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Delvecchio Powell II run for 14 yds to the Presb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Delvecchio Powell II run for 23 yds to the PRESBYTRAN 34 for a 1ST down PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominic Kibby) to the Valpo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Delvecchio Powell II run for 1 yd to the Valpo 43

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ty Englehart run for 3 yds to the Valpo 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ty Englehart pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Ty Englehart pass incomplete

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Aaron Dawson run for 60 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 59 yds , Shawn Lodge return for 13 yds to the Presb 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jordan Irizarry for 13 yds to the Presb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.74

Tyler Wesley sacked by Logan Chastain for a loss of 11 yards to the Presb 21

2nd & 21Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Wesley sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Presb 13

3rd & 29Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 17 yds to the Presb 30

4th & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.99

Tyler Wesley run for 15 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Tyler Wesley pass complete to Jalen Jones for 28 yds to the Valpo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Tyler Wesley sacked by Logan Chastain for a loss of 5 yards to the Valpo 32

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Wesley run for 6 yds to the Valpo 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.38

Tyler Wesley pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kneel down by KAPLAN, Mason at VAL25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Presbyterian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play