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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Butler
26
-Final
23
San Diego
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 2.5

Home Win Probability

San Diego 57%

Market (consensus)

San Diego -6

Edge: Butler +6 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
31001326
San Diego
1460323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-620-620-1323-1323-2323-26
San DiegoButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDBUTSDBUTSDBUTSDBUTSDBUTSDBUTSDBUTSDBUTBUTSDBUTSDTD1176ydFG1454ydTD584ydFG1073ydTD865ydTD1175ydPUNT37ydPUNT517ydEND10ydMISS1250ydPUNT33ydDOWNS522ydFG1447ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydFG841ydTD971ydPUNT35ydFG721ydPUNT30yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and San Diego
StatisticButlerSan Diego
Passing25-4125-36
Pass Yards268249
Rush Yards15947
Total Yards427296
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-155-12
Penalties3-152-20
Possession34:3125:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
25/41, 268 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bret Bushka
13 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Luke Wooten
14 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD
San Diego
passing
Judd Erickson
24/34, 246 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Re-al Mitchell
7 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Re-al Mitchell
7 REC, 60 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the SnDgo 24

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Re-al Mitchell run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Judd Erickson pass complete to Christian Brown for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Judd Erickson pass complete to Dylan Lawson for 5 yds to the Butlr 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the Butlr 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Judd Erickson run for 3 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Judd Erickson pass complete to Vance Jefferson for 8 yds to the Butlr 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 3 yds to the Butlr 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.69

Re-al Mitchell run for 14 yds to the Butlr 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 13 yds for a TD, (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 4 yds to the Butlr 34

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Skyler Spetter) to the Butlr 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 11 yds to the Butlr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Audia for 8 yds to the Butlr 48

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Joey Audia run for 9 yds to the SnDgo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 5 yds to the SnDgo 38

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

AJ Deinhart run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

AJ Deinhart run for 8 yds to the SnDgo 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 6 yds to the SnDgo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 6 yards to the SnDgo 25

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Joey Audia run for 9 yds to the SnDgo 16

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 yds

Luka Zurak 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.39

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 30 yds to the SnDgo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.30

Judd Erickson pass complete to Rashaan Ward for 49 yds to the Butlr 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the Butlr 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 5 yds for a TD, (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 19 yds to the Butlr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Bret Bushka pass complete to Byron Hubbard II for 24 yds to the SnDgo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Luke Wooten run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.84

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for no gain to the SnDgo 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +4.09

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 31 yds to the SnDgo 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 3

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for no gain to the SnDgo 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Luka Zurak 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Judd Erickson pass complete to Christian Brown for 2 yds to the SnDgo 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.78

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 25 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Logan Gingg run for no gain to the Butlr 38

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Butlr 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 12 yds to the Butlr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Re-al Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Butlr 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Judd Erickson pass complete to Logan Gingg for 4 yds to the Butlr 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Vance Jefferson 14 Yd pass from Judd Erickson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Joey Suchy run for 16 yds to the Butlr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

AJ Deinhart run for 2 yds to the Butlr 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 12 yds to the SnDgo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 4 yds to the SnDgo 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 10 yds to the SnDgo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-14 ydsPPA -3.25

run for a loss of 14 yards to the SnDgo 45

2nd & 24Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.21

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 40 yds to the SnDgo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 5 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 5 yds to the SnDgo 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 2 yds to the SnDgo 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 39 yds , Joey Audia returns for no gain to the Butlr 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the Butlr 39

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Bret Bushka run for 14 yds to the SnDgo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for a loss of 3 yards to the SnDgo 49

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[SG] Kneel down by MITCHELL, Re-al at USD20 (team loss of 0).

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

AJ Deinhart run for 2 yds to the Butlr 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 9 yds to the Butlr 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

AJ Deinhart run for no gain to the Butlr 33

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Garrett Carney) to the SnDgo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Luke Wooten run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for 7 yds to the SnDgo 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.45

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bret Bushka run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Luka Zurak 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Judd Erickson pass complete to Isaiah Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the SnDgo 26

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Logan Gingg run for 7 yds to the SnDgo 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Judd Erickson pass complete to Vance Jefferson for 3 yds to the SnDgo 36

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, Delay Of Game (Judd Erickson) to the SnDgo 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Wooten at the Butlr 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 14 yds to the Butlr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the Butlr 49

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Jack Turner) to the Butlr 44

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Bret Bushka run for 8 yds to the SnDgo 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the SnDgo 48

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 6 yds to the Butlr 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Judd Erickson pass complete to Vance Jefferson for 4 yds to the Butlr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 10 yds to the Butlr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the Butlr 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the Butlr 26

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 8 yds to the Butlr 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.20

Judd Erickson sacked by Austin Korba for a loss of 8 yards to the Butlr 26

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Re-al Mitchell run for 11 yds to the Butlr 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 9 yds to the Butlr 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the Butlr 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Aidan Lehman 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, Illegal Snap on TURNER, Jack enforced (Jack Turner) to the Butlr 27

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

AJ Deinhart run for 3 yds to the Butlr 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 5 yds to the Butlr 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the SnDgo 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the SnDgo 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Judd Erickson pass complete to Christian Brown for 4 yds to the SnDgo 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 44 yds, downed at the Butlr 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.26

AJ Deinhart run for 14 yds to the Butlr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 19 yds to the SnDgo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 7 yds to the SnDgo 27

4th & 2Field Goal Good+44 yds

Luka Zurak 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Joey Suchy run for 7 yds to the Butlr 36

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Joey Audia run for 18 yds to the SnDgo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for no gain to the SnDgo 46

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.85

Bret Bushka run for 17 yds to the SnDgo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 26

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Bret Bushka run for 11 yds to the SnDgo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.81

run for a loss of 6 yards to the SnDgo 21

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bret Bushka run for no gain to the SnDgo 46

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 21 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Re-al Mitchell run for no gain to the SnDgo 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Judd Erickson pass complete to Christian Brown for 5 yds to the SnDgo 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the Butlr 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joey Suchy run for 6 yds to the Butlr 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 8 yds to the SnDgo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Bret Bushka sacked by Jack Hemmert for a loss of 5 yards to the Butlr 49

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 7 yds to the SnDgo 39

4th & 3Field Goal Good+56 yds

Luka Zurak 56 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 49 yds, downed at the Butlr 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play