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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stephen F. Austin by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Stephen F. Austin 55%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Stephen F. Austin 0

Edge: Stephen F. Austin 0 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Arkansas
71314034
Stephen F. Austin
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-200-347-34
Stephen F. AustinCentral Arkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CASFACASFACASFACASFACASFACASFASFACASFACASFACASFASFACASFACASFACASFACATD962ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydMISS923ydFG1161ydPUNT5-1ydTD765ydPUNT1044ydTO39ydDOWNS48ydFG884ydUncategorized00ydDOWNS723ydTO518ydDOWNS940ydPUNT637ydPUNT32ydTD238ydTD32ydMISS743ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS42ydTO142ydDOWNS937ydPUNT37ydTD633ydUncategorized2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Arkansas and Stephen F. Austin
StatisticCentral ArkansasStephen F. Austin
Passing13-1914-31
Pass Yards17473
Rush Yards233185
Total Yards407258
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-102-16
Penalties2-224-29
Possession28:5131:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Arkansas
passing
Will McElvain
12/17, 136 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kylin James
10 CAR, 155 YDS
receiving
Kylin James
4 REC, 88 YDS, 2 TD
Stephen F. Austin
passing
Trae Self
10/21, 45 YDS
rushing
Miles Reed
23 CAR, 149 YDS
receiving
Cameron Brady
2 REC, 21 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 64 yds , Kylin James return for 37 yds to the CArk 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 4 yds to the CArk 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.58

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 12 yds to the SFAus 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Darius Hale run for 10 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will McElvain run for 5 yds to the SFAus 31

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

McElvain, Will pass incomplete to Barnes, Jarrod, PENALTY SFA holding (Walker, Jeremia) 10 yards to the SFA21, 1ST DOWN UCA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Trysten Smith run for 1 yd to the SFAus 20

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Clifton McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 21

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.83

Kylin James run for 17 yds to the SFAus 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kylin James run for 1 yd to the SFAus 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Will McElvain pass complete to Austin Eldridge for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Hayden Ray kickoff for 50 yds , Xavier Gipson return for 36 yds to the CArk 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trae Self pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the CArk 47

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.44

Trae Self sacked by David Walker and Caden Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the SFAus 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trysten Smith run for no gain to the CArk 20

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Will McElvain run for 2 yds to the CArk 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Will McElvain pass complete to Tyion Berry for 6 yds to the CArk 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gipson at the SFAus 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Trae Self pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.88

Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the CArk 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Miles Reed run for no gain to the CArk 49

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Trae Self run for 12 yds to the CArk 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Miles Reed run for no gain to the CArk 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 5 yds to the CArk 32

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Trae Self sacked by Javeon Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the CArk 37

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Chris Campos 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylin James run for 5 yds to the CArk 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 10 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 4 yds to the SFAus 44

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Kylin James run for 7 yds to the SFAus 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Trysten Smith run for 1 yd to the SFAus 36

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Clifton McDowell run for 6 yds to the SFAus 30

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.96

Trysten Smith run for 21 yds to the SFAus 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Trysten Smith run for 3 yds to the SFAus 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Hale run for 5 yds to the SFAus 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Darius Hale run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Hayden Ray 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trae Self pass complete to Keshon Williams for 5 yds to the SFAus 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trae Self pass incomplete to Keshon Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Trae Self pass incomplete to Keshon Williams

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.52

Trae Self sacked by David Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the SFAus 24

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 41 yds, downed at the CArk 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Will McElvain run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.58

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 14 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Trysten Smith run for 3 yds to the SFAus 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Will McElvain pass complete to Austin Eldridge for 10 yds to the SFAus 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trysten Smith run for 3 yds to the SFAus 20

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.79

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 20 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL ARK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 8

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 64 yds , Lenard Lemons return for 17 yds to the SFA 48 SFA Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the SFAus 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brian Maurer run for 4 yds to the SFAus 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 3 yds to the SFAus 16

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Brian Maurer run for 7 yds to the SFAus 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Trae Self sacked by Demetrius Charles and Darin Davenport for a loss of 4 yards to the SFAus 19

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the SFAus 20

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Trae Self pass complete to Cameron Brady for 9 yds to the SFAus 29

4th & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.41

Max Quick run for 23 yds to the CArk 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 4 yds to the CArk 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the CArk 42

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trae Self run for no gain to the CArk 42

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CArk 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 45 yds, downed at the CArk 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trysten Smith run for 4 yds to the CArk 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Trysten Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 5

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SFA Penalty, Defensive offside (Edward Bobino) to the CArk 10

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA +0.03

Kylin James run for 1 yd to the CArk 11 Kylin James fumbled, forced by Triumphant Olatunji, recovered by SFAus Edward Bobino

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trae Self pass complete to Miles Reed for no gain to the CArk 11

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the CArk 10

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the CArk 3

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.13

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kylin James run for 2 yds to the CArk 5

2nd & 8Rush+72 ydsPPA +4.46

Kylin James run for 72 yds to the SFAus 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Trysten Smith run for 2 yds to the SFAus 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes, broken up by Bruce Harmon

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Kylin James run for 8 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Christian Richmond

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trustin Oliver

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Hayden Ray 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 65End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 65Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jake Ward kickoff for 38 yds , Chad Aune return for 19 yds to the CArk 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 12 yds to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SFAus 46

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Christian Cain

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 1 yd to the CArk 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 3 yds to the CArk 41

4th & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Trae Self sacked by David Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the CArk 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Trysten Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.48

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 17 yds to the SFAus 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Trysten Smith run for 2 yds to the SFAus 36

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kylin James run for no gain to the SFAus 36

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -2.57

Will McElvain pass intercepted Tkai Lloyd return for 21 yds to the SFAus 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Trae Self run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 33

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Trae Self run for 11 yds to the SFAus 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the CArk 39

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the CArk 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Xavier Gipson run for 4 yds to the CArk 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaquarion Turner run for 2 yds to the CArk 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Trae Self pass incomplete to Keshon Williams

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -2.69

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 3 yds to the CArk 26

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Clifton McDowell run for 14 yds to the CArk 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Clifton McDowell run for 1 yd to the CArk 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.53

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 20 yds to the SFAus 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Will McElvain run for 1 yd to the SFAus 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Trysten Smith run for 1 yd to the SFAus 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will McElvain pass incomplete to John David White

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will McElvain punt for 36 yds, downed at the SFAus 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Trae Self run for 2 yds to the SFAus 3

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Miles Reed run for no gain to the SFAus 3

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Trae Self pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 35 yds , Jarrod Barnes returns for no gain to the SFAus 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Clifton McDowell pass incomplete to Jarrod Barnes

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Clifton McDowell pass complete to Kylin James for 38 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Trae Self pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+67 yds

Max Quick punt for 40 yds , Jarrod Barnes returns for 67 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Miles Reed run for 30 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the CArk 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Preston Weeks pass complete to Cameron Brady for 12 yds to the CArk 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the CArk 26

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Preston Weeks sacked by David Walker for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 28

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Preston Weeks run for a loss of 4 yards to the CArk 32

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Chris Campos 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Trysten Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the CArk 29

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.53

Will McElvain sacked by Marje Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the CArk 21

3rd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Trysten Smith run for 3 yds to the CArk 24

4th & 18Punt+22 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 39 yds , Xavier Gipson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 23 CENTRAL ARK Penalty, kick catching interference (Tyion Berry) to the CArk 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Darius Hale

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the CArk 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Preston Weeks pass complete to Miles Reed for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 45

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+32 ydsPPA -2.72

Kylin James run for 32 yds to the SFAus 13 Kylin James fumbled, forced by Triumphant Olatunji, recovered by SFAus Lenard Lemons

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the SFAus 15

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.65

Miles Reed run for 31 yds to the CArk 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the CArk 38

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the CArk 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Cameron Godfrey

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Preston Weeks pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Preston Weeks sacked by Jake Golday for a loss of 6 yards to the CArk 38

4th & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.59

Preston Weeks run for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line Preston Weeks fumbled, recovered by SFAus Preston Weeks , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Isaiah Broadway run for a loss of 4 yards to the CArk 46

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Broadway run for 5 yds to the SFAus 49

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Broadway run for 6 yds to the SFAus 43

4th & 3Blocked Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt blocked by Amad Murray blocked by Amad Murray

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Griffin Edwards

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Griffin Edwards

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaquarion Turner run for 9 yds to the CArk 24

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the CArk 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Maurer pass complete to Kylon Harris for 5 yds to the CArk 13

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Brian Maurer pass complete to Griffin Edwards for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 25

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for no gain to the CArk 25

Situational Analysis

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
29 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
33%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play