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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Stephen F. Austin 44%

Market (consensus)

Stephen F. Austin -7.5

Edge: Tarleton State +7.5 (8.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
0107724
Stephen F. Austin
77101741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-1014-1024-1731-1734-1741-24
Stephen F. AustinTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFATSSFATSTSSFATSSFATSSFATSSFATSSFATSTSSFATSSFATSSFATSSFATSSFATSSFAPUNT3-7ydTO30ydMISS926ydTD35ydTO1052ydTO617ydFG46ydPUNT41ydTD369ydTO966ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydPUNT521ydTD682ydEND432ydPUNT3-4ydFG652ydTD472ydTD778ydPUNT54ydTD1192ydTO415ydFG838ydDOWNS922ydTD547ydTD972ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and Stephen F. Austin
StatisticTarleton StateStephen F. Austin
Passing18-3116-25
Pass Yards222253
Rush Yards117238
Total Yards339491
Turnovers32
3rd Down2-125-14
Penalties2-306-51
Possession25:2734:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Beau Allen
18/31, 222 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Derrel Kelley III
14 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaden Smith
6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
Stephen F. Austin
passing
Trae Self
16/25, 253 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Miles Reed
19 CAR, 137 YDS
receiving
Moe Wedman
6 REC, 108 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 24

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.20

Trae Self sacked by Blaine Hoover for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 41 yds, downed at the trlst 41

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for no gain to the trlst 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -0.41

Beau Allen pass intercepted Triumphant Olatunji return for 4 yds to the SFAus 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jerrell Wimbley run for no gain to the SFAus 45

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Jerrell Wimbley run for 12 yds to the trlst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trae Self run for 5 yds to the trlst 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jerrell Wimbley run for 4 yds to the trlst 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Xavier Gipson run for 5 yds to the trlst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 30

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 2 yards to the trlst 32

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jerrell Wimbley run for 3 yds to the trlst 29

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Chris Campos 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kelley III, D. rush for loss of 1 yard to the TAR28 (Bobino, Edward), PENALTY SFA offside (Hill, Chance) 5 yards to the TAR34, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.46

Beau Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the trlst 28 Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by trlst Beau Allen

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Beau Allen run for 6 yds to the trlst 34

4th & 5Punt+84 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 50 yds , Xavier Gipson returns for 84 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the trlst 28

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.37

Derrel Kelley III run for 20 yds to the trlst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Derrel Kelley III run for no gain to the trlst 48

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Allen, B. pass incomplete to Cooper, D., PENALTY SFA pass interference (Demmings, Charl) 15 yards to the SFA37, 1ST DOWN TAR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 9 yds to the SFAus 28

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Derrel Kelley III run for no gain to the SFAus 28

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

M Douglas run for no gain to the SFAus 28

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.19

M Douglas run for 4 yds to the SFAus 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

M Douglas run for 1 yd to the SFAus 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.45

Beau Allen pass intercepted Triumphant Olatunji return for no gain to the SFAus 1

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the SFAus 8

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SFAus 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lawton Rikel run for 4 yds to the SFAus 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the SFAus 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the SFAus 20

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.12

Trae Self run for no gain to the SFAus 18 Trae Self fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by trlst Kyle Taylor

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Derrel Kelley III run for no gain to the SFAus 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 6 yds to the SFAus 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Adrian Guzman 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 10 yds to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trae Self pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.03

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 9 yards to the SFAus 26

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jerrell Wimbley

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Carr at the trlst 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 13 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.40

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 21 yds to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFAus 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 5 yds to the SFAus 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.95

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 46 yds to the trlst 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Trae Self pass incomplete to Lawton Rikel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Jerrell Wimbley run for 15 yds to the trlst 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jerrell Wimbley run for 2 yds to the trlst 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 7

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Trae Self sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the trlst 9 Trae Self fumbled, recovered by trlst Segun Ijiyera , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Deangelo Rosemond run for 3 yds to the trlst 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.17

Beau Allen sacked by Amad Murray for a loss of 8 yards to the trlst 2 Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by trlst Deangelo Rosemond , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the trlst 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trae Self pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the trlst 44

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trae Self run for 4 yds to the trlst 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trae Self punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 6 yds to the trlst 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.58

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 6 yds to the trlst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the trlst 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Deangelo Rosemond run for no gain to the trlst 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Trae Self pass complete to Miles Reed for 11 yds to the SFAus 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Reed run for no gain to the SFAus 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.19

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 27 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Trae Self pass complete to Miles Reed for 8 yds to the trlst 36

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Self, Trae sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TAR43 (Irons, M.;Hoover, B.), PENALTY TAR personal foul 15 yards to the TAR21, 1ST DOWN SFA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Miles Reed run for no gain to the trlst 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 21 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deangelo Rosemond run for 6 yds to the trlst 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Deangelo Rosemond run for 10 yds to the trlst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 16 yds to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 42 yds , Cody Henderson return for 7 yds to the trlst 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 7 yds to the trlst 38

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.24

Beau Allen sacked by BJ Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the trlst 26 Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by trlst Austin Whitehead , return for 0 yards

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 31 yds, downed at the SFAus 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFAus 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.34

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 50 yds to the trlst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jerrell Wimbley run for no gain to the trlst 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Trae Self run for 1 yd to the trlst 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trae Self pass incomplete to Moe Wedman, broken up by Jalen Carr

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chris Campos 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 24 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Beau Allen run for 9 yds to the SFAus 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.25

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the SFAus 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Derrel Kelley III run for 33 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 55 yds , Lenard Lemons return for 12 yds to the SFAus 22

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 21

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Miles Reed run for 13 yds to the SFAus 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 29

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 12 yds to the SFAus 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune for 7 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.32

Miles Reed run for 48 yds to the trlst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 50 yds , Bryon Broussard return for 19 yds to the trlst 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the trlst 42

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.21

Beau Allen sacked by Amad Murray for a loss of 6 yards to the trlst 38

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by Bruce Harmon

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper, broken up by JaTerious Evans

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 54 yds, downed at the SFAus 8

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the SFAus 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the SFAus 24

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the SFAus 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.31

Xavier Gipson run for 26 yds to the trlst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jerrell Wimbley run for 3 yds to the trlst 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 12 yds to the trlst 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Trae Self pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 3 yds to the trlst 28

3rd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.63

Jerrell Wimbley run for 22 yds to the trlst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the trlst 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Trae Self run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the trlst 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the trlst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 13 yds to the SFAus 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Beau Allen sacked by BJ Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by SFAus Edward Bobino , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jerrell Wimbley run for 4 yds to the trlst 46

2nd & 6Penalty-6 yds

Self, Trae rush for 22 yards to the TAR24, PENALTY SFA holding (Williams, Kesho) 6 yards to the SFA48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller, broken up by Jaylen Jackson

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jerrell Wimbley run for 6 yds to the trlst 46

4th & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.52

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 28 yds to the trlst 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 19

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Miles Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the trlst 22

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Trae Self pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 10 yds to the trlst 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Chris Campos 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Beau Allen pass complete to Antwoine Ware for 5 yds to the trlst 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the trlst 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Beau Allen run for 4 yds to the trlst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Darius Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Derrel Kelley III run for 18 yds to the SFAus 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Jaden Smith

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the SFAus 43

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Derrel Kelley III run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 45

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.77

Beau Allen sacked by BJ Thompson and JaTerious Evans for a loss of 8 yards to the trlst 47

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Miles Reed run for 19 yds to the trlst 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Miles Reed run for no gain to the trlst 28

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.81

Miles Reed run for 25 yds to the trlst 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trae Self run for no gain to the trlst 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Trae Self run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Chris Campos kickoff for 53 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 16 yds to the trlst 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

M Douglas run for 9 yds to the trlst 37

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

M Douglas run for 8 yds to the trlst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

M Douglas run for no gain to the trlst 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 27 yds to the SFA 28 for a 1ST down TARLETON ST Penalty, personal foul (Blake Haynes) to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Deangelo Rosemond run for 4 yds to the SFAus 39 for a 1ST down SFA Penalty, personal foul (Rason Williams II) to the SFAus 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Deangelo Rosemond run for 3 yds to the SFAus 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 4 yds to the SFAus 17

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Deangelo Rosemond run for 4 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 13 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 23

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

TEAM run for no gain to the SFAus 23

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
32 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play