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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alcorn State by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Alcorn State 51%

Market (consensus)

Alcorn State +15

Edge: Alcorn State +15 (15.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stephen F. Austin
3714731
Alcorn State
7170327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-1024-1024-2427-24
Alcorn StateStephen F. Austin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASSFAASSFAASSFAASSFAASSFAASSFASFAASSFAASSFAASSFAASSFAASSFATD1199ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT39ydFG946ydPUNT32ydTD1559ydTD368ydDOWNS834ydFG1056ydPUNT715ydTD382ydEND10ydTO953ydPUNT34ydTD753ydPUNT3-6ydTD235ydPUNT618ydPUNT418ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-5ydFG1393ydTD952yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stephen F. Austin and Alcorn State
StatisticStephen F. AustinAlcorn State
Passing18-3012-26
Pass Yards226141
Rush Yards153285
Total Yards379426
Turnovers11
3rd Down11-194-14
Penalties11-1036-70
Possession36:5223:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stephen F. Austin
passing
Trae Self
18/30, 226 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jerrell Wimbley
17 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerrell Wimbley
3 REC, 67 YDS
Alcorn State
passing
Aaron Allen
12/26, 141 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarveon Howard
21 CAR, 194 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Rodgers
2 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 59 yds , Manny Jones return for no gain to the AlcSt 1

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Juan Anthony Jr. 18 Yd pass from Aaron Allen (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 58 yds , Korbyn White return for 10 yds to the SFAus 32

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.72

Jarveon Howard run for 21 yds to the AlcSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Aaron Allen pass complete to CJ Bolar for 10 yds to the AlcSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tim McNair Jr. for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aaron Allen pass complete to Tim McNair Jr. for 3 yds to the SFAus 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aaron Allen run for 4 yds to the SFAus 43

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the SFAus 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Niko Duffey run for 2 yds to the SFAus 38

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Jarveon Howard run for 9 yds to the SFAus 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Jarveon Howard run for 11 yds to the SFAus 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 59 yds , Malik Rodgers return for 11 yds to the AlcSt 46 SFA Penalty, personal foul (Triumphant Olatunji) to the AlcSt 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 48 yds , Jerrell Wimbley return for 10 yds to the SFAus 27

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 53 yds , Jerrell Wimbley return for 4 yds to the SFAus 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 43 yds , Lenard Lemons return for no gain to the SFAus 20

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff , Carson Spence return for no gain to the AlcSt 35 ALCORN ST Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 56 yds , Lenard Lemons return for 16 yds to the SFAus 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 50 yds , Malik Rodgers return for 6 yds to the AlcSt 21

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Noah Kiani kickoff for 50 yds , Lenard Lemons return for 33 yds to the SFAus 48

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Miles Reed run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 26

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the SFAus 27

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SFAus 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to CJ Bolar, broken up by Edward Bobino

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to CJ Bolar

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 9 yds to the AlcSt 39

4th & 15Field Goal Good+47 yds

Chris Campos 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Trae Self pass complete to Josh Thompson for 3 yds to the SFAus 27

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.98

Trae Self pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 37 yds to the AlcSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Trae Self pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 8 yds to the AlcSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (Justice Guillory) to the AlcSt 30

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 32

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Chad Aune

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Trae Self pass complete to Josh Thompson for 2 yds to the AlcSt 30

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 43 yds , Xavier Gipson returns for 16 yds to the SFAus 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Tim McNair Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the SFAus 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Miles Reed run for 11 yds to the AlcSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jerrell Wimbley run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 31

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.58

Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 7 yds to the AlcSt 20

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 18

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.13

Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaquarion Turner run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 8 SFA Penalty, false start (Justice Guillory) to the AlcSt 13

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Trae Self pass incomplete to Cameron Brady, broken up by Malcolm Magee

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trae Self run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 10

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Trae Self run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Trae Self run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (Carson Spence) to the AlcSt 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Josh Thompson 7 Yd pass from Trae Self (Chris Campos Kick)

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.82

Malik Rodgers 46 Yd pass from Aaron Allen (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Aaron Allen pass complete to CJ Bolar for 17 yds to the AlcSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds to the SFAus 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Josh Thompson

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Trae Self pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 7 yds to the SFAus 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 12 yds to the SFAus 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Miles Reed run for 12 yds to the AlcSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91
2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Trae Self run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 39

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the SFAus 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Niko Duffey

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Noah Kiani 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Aaron Allen pass complete to Juan Anthony Jr. for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SFA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bruce Harmon) to the SFAus 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SFA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Bruce Harmon) to the SFAus 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Juan Anthony Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Niko Duffey run for 4 yds to the SFAus 16

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Niko Duffey run for 5 yds to the SFAus 11

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Niko Duffey run for 6 yds to the SFAus 5 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.75

SFA Penalty, Offensive holding (Justice Guillory) to the SFAus 8

1st & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 13 yds to the SFAus 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaquarion Turner run for 3 yds to the SFAus 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.11

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 7 yds to the SFAus 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller, broken up by Trevor James

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller, broken up by Terreance Ellis

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +6.49

Jarveon Howard 73 Yd Run (Noah Kiani Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jarveon Howard run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Aaron Allen run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 27

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.95

SFA Penalty, Defensive holding (Keegan Holm) to the AlcSt 35

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.08

Jerrell Wimbley fumbled, recovered by AlcSt Charles Gonzales

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jerrell Wimbley run for 1 yd to the SFAus 31

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.80

Jerrell Wimbley run for 22 yds to the AlcSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Trae Self sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SFAus 49

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trae Self pass incomplete to Josh Thompson, broken up by Devin Dawson

3rd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.48

Trae Self pass complete to Jerrell Wimbley for 17 yds to the AlcSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 8 yds to the AlcSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaquarion Turner run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Aaron Allen run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to CJ Bolar, broken up by Jeremiah Walker

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Lawton Rikel 33 Yd pass from Trae Self (Chris Campos Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jerrell Wimbley run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 46

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.17

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.28

Trae Self run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Trae Self pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 9 yds to the AlcSt 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Trae Self run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 33 for a 1ST down

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Niko Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 20

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ALCORN ST Penalty, false start (Steve Carter) to the AlcSt 15

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Juan Anthony Jr., broken up by Jeremiah Walker

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Juan Anthony Jr., broken up by Myles Heard

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Jerrell Wimbley 20 Yd Run (Chris Campos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Trae Self pass incomplete to Xavier Gipson, broken up by Malcolm Magee for a 1ST down ALCORN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Calvontay Key) to the AlcSt 20 for a 1ST down

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Jarveon Howard run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.34

ALCORN ST Penalty, illegal block (Tavarious Griffin) to the AlcSt 23

1st & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Aaron Allen pass complete to CJ Bolar for 12 yds to the AlcSt 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Tavarious Griffin

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jarveon Howard run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 43

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune for 26 yds Trae Self fumbled, recovered by SFAus Keegan Holm for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.70

Trae Self sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the AlcSt 36

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trae Self pass incomplete to Moe Wedman, broken up by Calvontay Key

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Jerrell Wimbley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 37

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Trae Self punt for 36 yds

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 4

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Monterio Hunt, broken up by Jeremiah Walker

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, false start (Justice Guillory) to the AlcSt 49

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87
3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Noah Kiani punt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.92

Niko Duffey run for 33 yds to the SFAus 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Monterio Hunt

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Noah Kiani 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.46

Aaron Allen pass complete to Juan Anthony Jr. for 16 yds to the AlcSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 18

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Aaron Allen run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.31

Jarveon Howard run for 19 yds to the AlcSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.85

ALCORN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jerimiah Green) to the AlcSt 29

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Aaron Allen run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 32

2nd & 22Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Niko Duffey run for 12 yds to the AlcSt 44

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52
2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Jerrell Wimbley run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 11

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Trae Self pass complete to Moe Wedman for 11 yds for a TD, (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jerrell Wimbley run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Jerrell Wimbley run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Jerrell Wimbley run for 11 yds to the AlcSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jerrell Wimbley run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 27

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlcSt 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune for 14 yds to the AlcSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the AlcSt 20

Situational Analysis

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alcorn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play