Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 38.2

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 97%

Market (consensus)

South Dakota State -34.5

Edge: South Dakota State -34.5 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Illinois
030710
South Dakota State
10731434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-010-317-320-327-334-10
South Dakota StateWestern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISDSWISDSWISDSWISDSSDSWISDSWISDSWISDSWISDSWISDSWISDSWISDSPUNT33ydTD652ydTO553ydFG1479ydFG1166ydPUNT520ydPUNT3-7ydTD958ydMISS45ydPUNT38ydPUNT616ydEND26ydPUNT66ydTO10ydFG1281ydPUNT35ydTD1167ydDOWNS914ydTD342ydTD475ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-3ydEND417yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Illinois and South Dakota State
StatisticWestern IllinoisSouth Dakota State
Passing13-2517-33
Pass Yards201188
Rush Yards19270
Total Yards220458
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-116-14
Penalties3-215-45
Possession18:3441:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Illinois
passing
Clay Bruno
10/20, 129 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylen Reed
8 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Naseim Brantley
4 REC, 107 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
17/33, 188 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
27 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaxon Janke
9 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylen Reed run for no gain to the WIll 25

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Ludovick Choquette run for 3 yds to the WIll 28

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 26 yds , Tyler Feldkamp returns for 2 yds to the SDkSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

run for 4 yds to the WIll 48

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.51

run for 26 yds to the WIll 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the WIll 18

2nd & 6Penalty+6 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TJ Limehouse) to the WIll 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the WIll 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaylen Reed run for 12 yds to the WIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 13 yds to the SDkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 13 yds to the SDkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jaylen Reed for 12 yds to the SDkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.44

Clay Bruno run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 12 Clay Bruno fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Daeton Mcgaughy

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 15 yds to the SDkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 9 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Mark Gronowski pass complete to A.J. Coons for 19 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the WIll 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the WIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Buri run for 3 yds to the WIll 22

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Angel Johnson run for 13 yds to the WIll 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the WIll 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Hunter Dustman 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Green kickoff for 65 yds , Jay Parker return for 16 yds to the WIll 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylen Reed run for 1 yd to the WIll 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 5 yds to the WIll 22

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Clay Bruno run for 7 yds to the WIll 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.29

Erin Collins run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIll 24

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 8 yds to the WIll 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.70

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 30 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jack Whyte for 20 yds to the SDkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Mason Laramie 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Mason Laramie kickoff for 59 yds , Tyler Feldkamp return for 17 yds to the SDkSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Isaiah Davis run for 16 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 39 yds, downed at the WIll 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylen Reed run for 3 yds to the WIll 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.29

Clay Bruno sacked by Reece Winkelman for a loss of 10 yards to the WIll 11

4th & 17Punt-6 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 41 yds , Tyler Feldkamp returns for a loss of 6 yards to the SDkSt 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

DUSTMAN, Hunter punt 44 yards to the WIU10, fair catch by BRANTLEY, Naseim, clock 07:01. PENALTY WIU Roughing the Kicker on SANDERS, Taj enforced 15 yards from the SDS46 to the WIU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Devon Cole Jr. for 12 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the WIll 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.06

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 14 yds to the WIll 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the WIll 11

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Mark Gronowski run for 11 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the WIll 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the WIll 15

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Hunter Dustman 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Ludovick Choquette run for 7 yds to the WIll 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the WIll 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the SDkSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 7 yds to the SDkSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.49

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 3 yds to the SDkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 6 yds to the SDkSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 47 yds, downed at the WIll 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaylen Reed run for 5 yds to the WIll 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaylen Reed run for 1 yd to the WIll 10

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Isaiah rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the SDS24 (TEAM). PENALTY SDS Holding on GREENFIELD, Garret enforced 10 yards from the SDS21 to the SDS11 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 2 yds to the SDkSt 13

2nd & 18Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Michael Morgan for 18 yds to the SDkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Jadon Janke) to the SDkSt 20

1st & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 26

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Mason Laramie kickoff for 63 yds , Tyler Feldkamp return for 19 yds to the SDkSt 21

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 32

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Dalys Beanum) to the SDkSt 27

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 28 yds, downed at the WIll 45

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.72

Clay Bruno pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.32

run for 16 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper GRONOWSKI, Mark rush up the middle for a gain of 35 yards to the WIU27 (BROOKS, Braylen). PENALTY SDS Holding on O'BRIAN, John enforced 10 yards from the SDS38 to the SDS28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 11 yds to the SDkSt 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.30

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 20 yds to the WIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 14 yds to the WIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Davis run for 13 yds to the WIll 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the WIll 6

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Hunter Dustman 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Jack Green kickoff for 48 yds , Jake McClure return for 11 yds to the WIll 28

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Jay Parker run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIll 24 Jay Parker fumbled, recovered by WIll Jay Parker

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylen Reed run for 3 yds to the WIll 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 6 yds to the WIll 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 34 yds , Tyler Feldkamp returns for no gain to the SDkSt 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the SDkSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the SDkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the WIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Amar Johnson run for 10 yds to the WIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the WIll 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the WIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the WIll 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.07

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 19 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Green kickoff for 56 yds , Jay Parker return for 19 yds to the WIll 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Jaylen Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.00

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jaylin Jackson for 13 yds to the WIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Clay Bruno pass complete to Donald McKinney for 9 yds to the WIll 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the WIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Clay Bruno run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.45

Clay Bruno sacked by Caleb Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the WIll 42

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Mark Gronowski sacked by Jake Detiveaux for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 18Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.39

Isaiah Davis run for 38 yds to the WIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Isaiah Davis run for 12 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Henry Ogala run for 7 yds to the WIll 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jay Parker for 12 yds to the WIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown0 ydsPPA +4.37

Jay Parker 0 Yd pass from Henry Ogala (Mason Laramie Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Mason Laramie kickoff for 56 yds , Tyler Feldkamp return for 13 yds to the SDkSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 26

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.42

Keaton Heide sacked by Brian Bruce for a loss of 8 yards to the SDkSt 18

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 40

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Henry Ogala) to the WIll 33

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Henry Ogala pass complete to Jay Parker for 4 yds to the WIll 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Henry Ogala pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Buri run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Josh Buri run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Buri run for 8 yds to the WIll 47

Situational Analysis

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
64%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th