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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 45%

Market (consensus)

Youngstown State +3

Edge: Youngstown State +3 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
1400721
Youngstown State
7002128

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-2121-21
Youngstown StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSSIYSPUNT612ydTD170ydPUNT33ydTD650ydTD1475ydPUNT428ydPUNT941ydPUNT835ydPUNT31ydTO539ydEND18ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydTO43ydMISS44ydTO531ydMISS1259ydPUNT418ydPUNT31ydTD566ydTD585ydMISS948ydTD873ydPUNT33ydTD333ydTO10ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Youngstown State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisYoungstown State
Passing19-2824-38
Pass Yards312268
Rush Yards75109
Total Yards387377
Turnovers40
3rd Down4-117-16
Penalties4-537-41
Possession24:1735:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
18/27, 320 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Javon Williams Jr.
12 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
D'Ante' Cox
5 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
24/38, 268 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
21 CAR, 84 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Bryce Oliver
12 REC, 145 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Alexander for 2 yds to the YngSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Brandon Alexander

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Alexander for 9 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Jaleel McLaughlin

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Brandon Alexander

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bryce Miller at the SoIll 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 70 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 54 yds , Alijah Curtis return for 1 yd to the YngSt 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 15

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the YngSt 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 8 yds to the YngSt 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the YngSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 8 yds to the YngSt 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.19

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 7 yds to the YngSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 9 yds to the YngSt 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the YngSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the SoIll 41 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Harris Jr.) to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the SoIll 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 5 yds to the SoIll 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.49

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 1 yd to the SoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the SoIll 25

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU False Start 5 yards from SIU25 to SIU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the SoIll 27

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.39

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the SoIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass intercepted by Bush,Clayton at SIU05 Bush,Clayton return 13 yards to the SIU18 (McLaughlin,Jaleel) PENALTY SIU Pass Interference (Jules,PJ) 15 yards from SIU21 to SIU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the SoIll 5

2nd & 5Rush+5 yds

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the SoIll 10

3rd & 10Penalty+8 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass incomplete short right to Oliver,Bryce PENALTY SIU Pass Interference (Jules,PJ) 8 yards from SIU10 to SIU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 32 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Nic Baker sacked by Alex Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Penalty0 yds

SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the YngSt 47

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YngSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Serrano for 3 yds to the YngSt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 5 yds to the YngSt 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 15 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 13 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Davidson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 15 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mitch Davidson run for 4 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the SoIll 32

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU False Start (Parker,Aidan) 5 yards from SIU32 to SIU37. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SIU37 to SIU42. NO PLAY.

4th & 17Punt0 yds

punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Pop Jones III run for 9 yds to the SoIll 20

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Pop Jones III run for 2 yds to the SoIll 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Nic Baker pass complete to Pop Jones III for 1 yd to the SoIll 21

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SoIll 22

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.81

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 22 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoIll 45

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoIll 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the YngSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Luke Hensley

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 31

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short left to Cox,D'Ante' PENALTY YSU Offside (Lee,Devin) 5 yards from SIU31 to SIU36. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 17 yds to the YngSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the YngSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.23

Nic Baker pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the YngSt 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 59 yds , Bryce Miller return for 11 yds to the SoIll 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Javon Williams Jr. run for no gain to the SoIll 17

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 21

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.96

Nic Baker sacked by Hunter Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the SoIll 13

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Nic Baker run for 5 yds to the SoIll 18

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 12 yds to the SoIll 30

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Shaun Lester run for 6 yds to the SoIll 24 Shaun Lester fumbled, recovered by YngSt Hunter Allen

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the SoIll 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 6 yds to the SoIll 15

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle Davidson,Mitch pass incomplete short right to Oliver,Bryce broken up by Burrola,Zach PENALTY YSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Walker,Errol) 5 yards from SIU15 to SIU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Colt McFadden 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 14 yds to the SoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 5 yds to the SoIll 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 12 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Nic Baker pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 4 yds to the YngSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 13 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 16 yds to the SoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitch Davidson run for 8 yds to the SoIll 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 3 yds to the SoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 3 yds to the SoIll 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 8 yds to the SoIll 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 9 yds to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the SoIll 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the SoIll 10

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Colt McFadden 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Javon Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the SoIll 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 3 yds to the SoIll 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YngSt 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Luke Hensley

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Pop Jones III run for 1 yd to the SoIll 35

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short left to Cox,D'Ante' PENALTY YSU Pass Interference (Benton Jr.,Greg) 1 yard from SIU35 to SIU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Pop Jones III run for 2 yds to the SoIll 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Nic Baker pass complete to Pop Jones III for 13 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Pop Jones III run for 1 yd to the YngSt 48

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.62

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 48 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 50 yds , Randy Smith return for no gain to the YngSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 14 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 7 yds to the YngSt 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 1 yd to the YngSt 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 15 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 48 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 1 yd to the SoIll 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.05

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 27 yds to the YngSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the YngSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the YngSt 42

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Pop Jones III run for 17 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Pop Jones III run for 3 yds to the YngSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 8 yds to the YngSt 30

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nic Baker run for 3 yds to the YngSt 27

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Jake Baumgarte 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Jaleel McLaughlin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 9 yds to the YngSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Brandon Alexander

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.66

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 29 yds to the SoIll 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the SoIll 7

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 7 yds for a TD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY SIU Personal Foul (Strong,Justin) 15 yards from YSU35 to YSU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 47 yds , Javon Williams Jr. return for no gain to the SoIll 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jathen Jones

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 6

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoIll 33 , Randy Smith returns for 7 yds to the SoIll 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the SoIll 27

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the SoIll 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Nic Baker pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the YngSt 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kneel down by Youngstown St. at YSU15 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play