Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 47%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
0100616
Youngstown State
21771449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-021-328-1035-1035-1649-16
Youngstown StateDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSDAYYSPUNT37ydTD857ydTO513ydTD535ydPUNT31ydTD361ydPUNT427ydTO324ydFG716ydTD375ydTD882ydPUNT611ydEND415ydMISS1055ydPUNT613ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-5ydTD248ydDOWNS1250ydTO38ydTD323ydTD470ydTO2-1ydTD335ydPUNT30ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Youngstown State
StatisticDaytonYoungstown State
Passing17-2712-18
Pass Yards134248
Rush Yards55230
Total Yards189478
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-154-9
Penalties4-258-92
Possession32:2427:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Dante Casciola
17/26, 134 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jake Chisholm
12 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Luke Brenner
3 REC, 46 YDS
Youngstown State
passing
Demeatric Crenshaw
11/17, 230 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
13 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Max Tomczak
3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Chisholm for no gain to the Dayt 17

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

DAYTON Penalty, Chop Block (Matt Lenti) declined

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 7 yds to the Dayt 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YngSt 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the YngSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the Dayt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 9 yds to the Dayt 37

2nd & 1Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Rushton,Dra rush left for 0 yards to the DAY37 (Schmiesing,Ben) PENALTY DAY Offside (Robertson,Drew) 5 yards from DAY37 to DAY32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the Dayt 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Dra Rushton run for 14 yds to the Dayt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Dra Rushton run for 10 yds to the Dayt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 3 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the Dayt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 6 yds to the Dayt 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Jake Chisholm run for 10 yds to the Dayt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Casciola,Dante rush right for 5 yards gain to the DAY49, out of bounds at DAY49 PENALTY DAY Holding (Clyde,Conor) 10 yards from DAY44 to DAY34. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dante Casciola run for 4 yds to the Dayt 38

2nd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dante Casciola pass intercepted

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the Dayt 39 Demeatric Crenshaw fumbled, recovered by YngSt Demeatric Crenshaw

2nd & 14Penalty0 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.86

Dra Rushton run for 22 yds to the Dayt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the Dayt 17

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dante Casciola pass complete to Alec Keathley for no gain to the Dayt 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Derek Willits

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 34 yds , Randy Smith returns for no gain to the YngSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 8 yds to the YngSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the Dayt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle Crenshaw,Demeatric pass incomplete short left to Oliver,Bryce PENALTY YSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Parker,Aidan) 5 yards from DAY47 to YSU48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.73

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 52 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (D'Marco Augustin) to the Dayt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 6 yds to the YngSt 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Dra Rushton run for 11 yds to the YngSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 13 yds Bryce Oliver fumbled, recovered by Dayt Cole Hildebrand

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the YngSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dante Casciola run for 7 yds to the YngSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Jake Chisholm run for 4 yds to the YngSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds to the YngSt 24

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Dante Casciola run for 7 yds to the YngSt 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Jake Chisholm

4th & 6Field Goal Good+34 yds

Sam Webster 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Max Tomczak for 33 yds to the Dayt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 15 yds to the Dayt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Max Tomczak for 27 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 65 yds , Luke Brenner return for 18 yds to the Dayt 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Dayt 23

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.73

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 37 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dante Casciola pass complete to Joey Swanson for 4 yds to the YngSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dante Casciola run for 2 yds to the YngSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dante Casciola pass complete to Luke Brenner for 2 yds to the YngSt 31

4th & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Dante Casciola pass complete to Kyle Hazell for 23 yds to the YngSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down DAYTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Michael Denning) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 6 yds to the YngSt 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sam Bubonics at the Dayt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Dayt 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.62

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Derek Willits for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Trowers) to the Dayt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Dante Casciola sacked by Dylan Wudke for a loss of 4 yards to the Dayt 38

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 37

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the Dayt 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Crenshaw,Demeatric pass complete deep left to McLaughlin,Jaleel for 15 yards to the DAY31 (Hildebrand,Cole) PENALTY YSU Illegal Shift (Fordham,Latrell) 5 yards from DAY46 to YSU49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the Dayt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.80

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Max Tomczak for 32 yds to the Dayt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 8 yds to the Dayt 23 fumbled, recovered by YngSt Bryce Oliver

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 3 yds to the Dayt 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Colt McFadden 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Dante Casciola pass complete to Kyle Hazell for 9 yds to the Dayt 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Luke Brenner

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Jake Chisholm run for 6 yds to the Dayt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dante Casciola run for 1 yd to the Dayt 36

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dante Casciola run for 3 yds to the Dayt 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Kyle Hazell

4th & 12Punt+10 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 49 yds , Randy Smith returns for 10 yds to the YngSt 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 3 yds to the YngSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Dante Casciola sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Dayt 9

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Dante Casciola pass complete to Derek Willits for 5 yds to the Dayt 14

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.12

Dante Casciola sacked by Dawan Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the Dayt 9

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the Dayt 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the Dayt 46

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.29

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 46 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 60 yds , Luke Brenner return for 30 yds to the Dayt 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

John Sciarretti run for 1 yd to the Dayt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Dante Casciola pass complete to Dante Casciola for 1 yd to the Dayt 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Dante Casciola pass complete to Jake Coleman for 14 yds to the Dayt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Luke Brenner run for 1 yd to the Dayt 48

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Ty Stylski run for 8 yds to the YngSt 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Dante Casciola pass complete to Ty Stylski for 4 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Casciola,Dante pass incomplete short left to Hazell,Kyle PENALTY YSU Pass Interference (Burr,Caleb) 15 yards from YSU40 to YSU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Dante Casciola sacked by Dawan Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 28

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

John Sciarretti run for 2 yds to the YngSt 26

3rd & 11Penalty+13 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Casciola,Dante pass incomplete short left to Hazell,Kyle broken up by Augustin,D'Marco PENALTY YSU Targeting (Augustin,D'Marco) 13 yards from YSU26 to YSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Stylski run for no gain to the YngSt 13

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Dante Casciola sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the YngSt 19

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dante Casciola run for 4 yds to the YngSt 15

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Dante Casciola pass incomplete to Jake Coleman

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the YngSt 22

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the YngSt 19

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the YngSt 23 Demeatric Crenshaw fumbled, recovered by Dayt Jeremy Jonozzo

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Jordan Trowers) to the YngSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Stylski run for 5 yds to the YngSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Dante Casciola run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY YSU Personal Foul (Diggs,Deamontae) 15 yards from DAY35 to DAY50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 41 yds , Alex Howard return for 21 yds to the YngSt 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the YngSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 20 yds to the Dayt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jake Benio for 12 yds to the Dayt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 30 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cole Dow run for 1 yd to the Dayt 24

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Dow pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY DAY Offside (Wardzala,Jack) 5 yards from DAY35 to DAY30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Randy Smith run for 3 yds to the Dayt 27

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.18

Randy Smith run for 9 yds to the Dayt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 18 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 65 yds , Luke Brenner return for 21 yds to the Dayt 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ty Stylski run for 6 yds to the Dayt 27

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Ty Stylski run for 1 yd to the Dayt 26

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Stylski run for no gain to the Dayt 26

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DAY Delay Of Game 5 yards from DAY26 to DAY21. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 42

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 40

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 38

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 37

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
69%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th