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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 12.4

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 24%

Market (consensus)

North Dakota +10

Edge: South Dakota State -10 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
77211449
North Dakota
14701435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-014-721-721-1421-2121-3528-4235-49
North DakotaSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSDSNDSDSNDNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSTD675ydPUNT31ydTD511ydPUNT39ydTD419ydPUNT410ydPUNT621ydTD1293ydTD875ydTO1050ydEND1-1ydTD666ydPUNT43ydTD38ydTO10ydTD217ydDOWNS929ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT3-18ydTD670ydTD874ydTD210ydPUNT521ydTD33ydDOWNS722ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and North Dakota
StatisticSouth Dakota StateNorth Dakota
Passing17-2227-40
Pass Yards213291
Rush Yards9574
Total Yards308365
Turnovers03
3rd Down3-88-17
Penalties7-731-10
Possession23:4036:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
15/20, 197 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Amar Johnson
14 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jadon Janke
5 REC, 86 YDS
North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
27/39, 291 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyler Hoosman
15 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
6 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 31 yds to the SDkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.75

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 21 yds to the SDkSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 11 yds to the SDkSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 10 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 26

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (Miller,Gus) 5 yards from SDSU26 to SDSU21. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 5 yds to the SDkSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jadon Janke

4th & 9Punt+61 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 46 yds , Bo Belquist returns for 61 yds to the SDkSt 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Quincy Vaughn run for no gain to the SDkSt 2

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Tucker Kraft

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 7 yds to the SDkSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 6 yds to the NDKTA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 8 yds to the NDKTA 32

2nd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+69 ydsPPA -8.74

DyShawn Gales 69 Yd Interception Return (Hunter Dustman Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 65 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 28 yds to the NDKTA 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tommy Schuster run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 36

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy Schuster run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jadon Janke at the SDkSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 8 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Tucker Kraft for 15 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.34

Mark Gronowski sacked by Wyatt Pedigo for a loss of 6 yards to the SDkSt 48

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 46

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (Kraft,Tucker) 5 yards from UND46 to SDSU49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 8

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 8 yds to the NDKTA 16

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Hoosman run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 5 yds to the NDKTA 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.20

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 25 yds to the SDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the SDkSt 44

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyler Hoosman run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the SDkSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.52

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 34 yds to the SDkSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Amar Johnson run for 13 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Mark Gronowski run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Morgan run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.53

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 13 yds to the NDKTA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 32

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Tucker Kraft for 32 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 12 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 2 yds to the NDKTA 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.45

Tommy Schuster run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 7 yds to the SDkSt 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 44

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.66

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Maag,Garett PENALTY SDSU Holding (Beanum,Dalys) 10 yards from SDSU44 to SDSU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Caden Dennis

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Tommy Schuster run for 9 yds to the SDkSt 25

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -4.08

Tommy Schuster pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kneel down by South Dakota St. at SDSU19 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 59 yds , Jadon Janke return for 28 yds to the SDkSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 20 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.01

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 18 yds to the NDKTA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Amar Johnson run for 20 yds to the NDKTA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 10 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.94

Tommy Schuster sacked by Colby Huerter for a loss of 10 yards to the NDKTA 25

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Hoosman run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 32

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Tommy Schuster sacked by Reece Winkelman for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 28 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by NDKTA Bo Belquist , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt+58 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 38 yds , Jadon Janke returns for 58 yds to the NDKTA 8

1st & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 5 yds to the NDKTA 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the NDKTA 17 Isaiah Smith fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Isaiah Stalbird

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the NDKTA 17 Isaiah Smith fumbled, recovered by SDkSt Isaiah Stalbird

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Jadon Janke pass complete to Mark Gronowski for 16 yds to the NDKTA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 4 yds to the NDKTA 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 6 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 37

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.37

Tommy Schuster run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 7 yds to the SDkSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyler Hoosman run for no gain to the SDkSt 46

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.48

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Canyon Bauer for 11 yds to the SDkSt 46

4th & 19Blocked Punt+9 yds

Hunter Dustman punt blocked by Grant Romfo blocked by Grant Romfo , Nate DeMontagnac returns for 9 yds to the SDkSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for no gain to the SDkSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

3rd & 10Sack-18 ydsPPA -1.73

Tommy Schuster sacked by Jarod DePriest for a loss of 18 yards to the NDKTA 36

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jadon Janke at the SDkSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.85

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 39 yds to the NDKTA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Tucker Kraft

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 6 yds to the NDKTA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Amar Johnson run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Mark Gronowski run for 10 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 64 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 25 yds to the NDKTA 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 29

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tommy Schuster run for no gain to the NDKTA 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.14

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 22 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Tommy Schuster sacked by Quinton Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 8 yds to the SDkSt 42

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tommy Schuster run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 33

2nd & 4Penalty-24 yds

Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short middle to Dennis,Caden PENALTY SDSU Targeting (Spalding,Graham) SDSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Spalding,Graham) 24 yards from SDSU33 to SDSU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tommy Schuster run for 9 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

kickoff for 5 yds , Tucker Kraft return for 30 yds to the NDKTA 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Amar Johnson run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.35

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Schuster,Tommy rush right for 5 yards gain to the SDSU45, out of bounds at SDSU45 PENALTY UND Holding (Kilty,Easton) 10 yards from UND50 to UND40. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 5 yds to the NDKTA 45

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nate DeMontagnac

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Buri run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Keaton Heide pass complete to Tyler Feldkamp for no gain to the SDkSt 20

4th & 7Blocked Punt+11 yds

Michael Drotzmann punt blocked by Jayson Coley blocked by Jayson Coley for a TD , Marcus Vaughn-Jones returns for 11 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Tommy Schuster sacked by Caleb Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 11 yds to the SDkSt 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 11 yds to the SDkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 3 yds to the SDkSt 27

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.52

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kneel down by South Dakota St. at SDSU26 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
34%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play