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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 3.1

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 54%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Youngstown State -1.5

Edge: Youngstown State -1.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
14701435
Youngstown State
3183630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-76-1414-1421-2124-2124-2830-35
Youngstown StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSNDYSNDYSNDYSNDYSNDNDYSNDYSNDYSYSNDYSNDPUNT59ydTD855ydFG632ydTD375ydFG838ydDOWNS1245ydTD470ydTD773ydTD1070ydEND1-1ydPUNT514ydFG865ydMISS656ydMISS1152ydTD1176ydTD36ydTD778ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS828ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Youngstown State
StatisticNorth DakotaYoungstown State
Passing20-3121-32
Pass Yards292280
Rush Yards93178
Total Yards385458
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-114-12
Penalties2-173-29
Possession29:2230:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
20/31, 292 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Hoosman
14 CAR, 51 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Isaiah Smith
3 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
21/32, 280 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
14 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Oliver
8 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mitch Davidson run for no gain to the YngSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Mitch Davidson run for 1 yd to the YngSt 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Brandon Alexander

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDKTA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 7 yds to the YngSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 6 yds to the YngSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 1 yd to the YngSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 14 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 26 yds to the YngSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the YngSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 54 yds , Dra Rushton return for 28 yds to the YngSt 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.94

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 30 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 33

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 31

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 29

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Colt McFadden 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Isaiah rush left for 4 yards gain to the UND29 (Robinson,Amarian) PENALTY UND Block Below Waist (DeMontagnac,Nate) 12 yards from UND25 to UND13. NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.39

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 37 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 18 yds to the YngSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 32 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 64 yds , Dra Rushton return for 40 yds to the YngSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 10 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 13 yds to the NDKTA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Dra Rushton run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 21

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Davidson run for no gain to the NDKTA 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

4th & 8Field Goal Good+38 yds

Colt McFadden 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 9 yds to the NDKTA 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 9 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Tommy Schuster sacked by Michael Voitus for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 45

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Quincy Vaughn run for 10 yds to the YngSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 11 yds to the YngSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the YngSt 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 3 yds to the YngSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Nate DeMontagnac

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.36

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds to the YngSt 36

2nd & 4Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.27

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 27 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 16 yds to the NDKTA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 21 yds for a TD, (Bryce Oliver pass to for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 61 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 23 yds to the NDKTA 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 31

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.71

Tommy Schuster run for 26 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the YngSt 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the YngSt 16

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.66

Isaiah Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 63 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 28 yds to the YngSt 30

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 16 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Mitch Davidson sacked by Ben McNaboe for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 39

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.71

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 22 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 11 yds to the NDKTA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Luke Hensley

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 10 yds to the NDKTA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Latrell Fordham

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 11 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kneel down by North Dakota at UND24 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 65 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 37 yds to the NDKTA 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler Hoosman run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 45

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for no gain to the YngSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.45

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 46 yds to the NDKTA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Rushton,Dra rush left for 11 yards gain to the UND23 (Krzanowski,Devon), out of bounds PENALTY YSU Holding (McAllister,Mike) 10 yards from UND34 to UND44. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 41

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 11 yds to the NDKTA 30

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Dra Rushton run for 12 yds to the NDKTA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Colt McFadden 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 64 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 19 yds to the NDKTA 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Red Wilson run for no gain to the NDKTA 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 50 yds to the YOUNGSTOWN 30 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 6 yds to the YngSt 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Brady Stevens 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 12 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Randy Smith run for 3 yds to the YngSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 6 yds to the YngSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Randy Smith run for 2 yds to the YngSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Randy Smith run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 6 yds to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 13 yds to the NDKTA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 24

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the NDKTA 24

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Colt McFadden 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 26

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UND False Start (Bryant,Brayden) 5 yards from UND26 to UND21. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Penalty0 yds

NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Morrison) declined

3rd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.69

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 21 yds to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 10 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the YngSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the YngSt 31

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Quincy Vaughn run for 3 yds to the YngSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Smith,Isaiah PENALTY YSU Pass Interference (Johnson,Devin) 14 yards from YSU28 to YSU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tyler Hoosman run for 14 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 60 yds , Dra Rushton return for 14 yds to the YngSt 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Jaleel McLaughlin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds to the YngSt 25

4th & 4Blocked Punt+3 yds

Paddy Lynch punt blocked by Cole Davis blocked by Cole Davis for a TD , Cole Davis returns for 3 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 60 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 17 yds to the YngSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 3 yds to the YngSt 19

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the YngSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Latrell Fordham

4th & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.40

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 13 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.12

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Luke Hensley for 39 yds to the NDKTA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds to the NDKTA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 31 yds , Bo Belquist return for no gain to the NDKTA 35 YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Devin Johnson) to the NDKTA 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 41

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.91

Tommy Schuster sacked by Chris Fitzgerald for a loss of 11 yards to the NDKTA 30

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 9 yds to the NDKTA 36

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 3 yds to the NDKTA 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Mitch Davidson sacked by Jayson Coley for a loss of 9 yards to the NDKTA 38

4th & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.59

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 10 yds to the NDKTA 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kneel down by North Dakota at UND27 for loss of 1 yards.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kneel down by North Dakota at UND26 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play