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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Southern Illinois 62%

Market (consensus)

Southern Illinois -4

Edge: Southern Illinois -4 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
0100717
Southern Illinois
10147334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-010-717-1024-1031-1734-17
Southern IllinoisNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSINDSINDSINDSINDSINDSINDSINDSINDPUNT35ydTD1177ydPUNT412ydFG1262ydTD1265ydTD368ydFG859ydTD975ydEND1-1ydMISS1065ydDOWNS1165ydTD885ydTD1275ydFG837ydDOWNS610ydDOWNS49ydEND627yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Southern Illinois
StatisticNorth DakotaSouthern Illinois
Passing20-3422-28
Pass Yards233310
Rush Yards38148
Total Yards271458
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-128-12
Penalties2-205-46
Possession29:5530:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
19/32, 232 YDS
rushing
Tyler Hoosman
7 CAR, 31 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
5 REC, 78 YDS
Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
21/27, 289 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Romeir Elliott
16 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Avante' Cox
7 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the SoIll 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 13 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the SoIll 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.07

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 13 yds to the NDKTA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 18 yds to the NDKTA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Strong run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 19

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Southern Ill. rush middle for 10 yards loss to the UND29 fumbled by Southern Ill. at UND24 recovered by SIU Strong,Justin at UND29, End Of Play PENALTY UND Offside (Navratil,Josh) 5 yards from UND19 to UND14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 8

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.75

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 39 yds , C.J. Siegel return for no gain to the NDKTA 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 12 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the NDKTA 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 42

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Schuster sacked by Branson Combs for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 20 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the SoIll 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Zach Gibson for 7 yds to the NDKTA 39

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Strong run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the NDKTA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 16

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

4th & 12Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jake Baumgarte 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 61 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 31 yds to the NDKTA 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Red Wilson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.94

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 21 yds to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 3 yds to the SoIll 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the SoIll 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Tommy Schuster run for 3 yds to the SoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Tommy Schuster run for 8 yds to the SoIll 25

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the SoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 5 yds to the SoIll 14

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Tommy Schuster run for 5 yds to the SoIll 9 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (PJ Jules) to the SoIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tommy Schuster run for 3 yds to the SoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 41 yds , Jacob Garrett return for 8 yds to the SoIll 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the SoIll 28

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Romeir Elliott run for 5 yds to the SoIll 33

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.88

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 67 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 63 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 24 yds to the NDKTA 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the NDKTA 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.22

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 9 yds to the SoIll 40 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Clayton Bush) to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.01

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 42 yds to the SoIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+4 yds

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the SoIll 7

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.94

Tommy Schuster sacked by Quinton Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the SoIll 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brady Stevens 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.06

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Avante Cox for 21 yds to the NDKTA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shaun Lester run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 42

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Nic Baker run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 5 yds to the NDKTA 33

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Romeir Elliott run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 16

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Romeir Elliott run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tommy Schuster run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 27

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 60 yds , Javon Williams Jr. return for 16 yds to the SoIll 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Romeir Elliott run for no gain to the SoIll 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.77

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 15 yds to the SoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Romeir Elliott run for 10 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the SoIll 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 7 yds to the NDKTA 45

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Justin Strong run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Baker,Nic pass incomplete short left to Cox,D'Ante' PENALTY UND Pass Interference (Siegel,CJ) 15 yards from UND35 to UND20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 3 yds to the NDKTA 17

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nic Baker pass complete to Tyce Daniel for 5 yds to the NDKTA 14

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Jake Baumgarte 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 11 yds to the NDKTA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Tyler Hoosman run for 13 yds to the NDKTA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Tommy Schuster sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 8 yards to the NDKTA 36

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Max Gunderson

3rd & 18Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Schuster,Tommy pass complete deep right to Maag,Garett for 12 yards to the UND48 (Johnson,DJ), out of bounds PENALTY SIU Holding (Miller,David) 10 yards from UND36 to UND46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 19 yds to the SoIll 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.85

Tommy Schuster sacked by David Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the SoIll 28

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 13 yds to the SoIll 15

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.57

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Justin Strong run for 12 yds to the SoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Strong run for no gain to the SoIll 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 8 yds to the SoIll 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 12 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Javon Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Javon Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDKTA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.86

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 24 yds to the NDKTA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for no gain to the NDKTA 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 8 yds to the SoIll 30

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Smith run for 15 yds to the SoIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.69

Tommy Schuster sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 9 yards to the SoIll 24

3rd & 19Penalty+12 yds

SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Burrola) to the SoIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 4 yds to the SoIll 8

3rd & 6Penalty+4 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Isaiah rush left for 2 yards loss to the SIU10 (Harris Jr.,Chris) PENALTY SIU Offside (Calhoun,Ma'Kel) 4 yards from SIU08 to SIU04. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 13 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Romeir Elliott run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 6 yds to the NDKTA 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Jake Baumgarte 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 64 yds , C.J. Siegel return for 28 yds to the NDKTA 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 14 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.43

Tommy Schuster sacked by Dewey Greene IV for a loss of 6 yards to the NDKTA 37 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by NDKTA Tommy Schuster , return for 0 yards

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 11 yds to the NDKTA 48

4th & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NDKTA 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 34

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -2.09

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Quincy Vaughn pass complete to Red Wilson for 1 yd to the NDKTA 33

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.29

Quincy Vaughn run for 10 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quincy Vaughn pass incomplete to Elijah Klein

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 44

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Red Wilson run for 13 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
5 plays
62%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play