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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 45%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Missouri State -4

Edge: Youngstown State +4 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
3310622
Missouri StateMissouri State
0771125

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-67-1314-1617-1625-22
Missouri StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSYSMSYSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSPUNT39ydMISS550ydPUNT730ydPUNT417ydFG518ydPUNT511ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydFG648ydTD637ydPUNT824ydTO875ydEND28ydTD775ydTD135ydPUNT30ydPUNT39ydFG947ydFG1041ydTD480ydTD1392ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydDOWNS77ydEND46yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Missouri State
StatisticYoungstown StateMissouri State
Passing11-2319-37
Pass Yards117221
Rush Yards264121
Total Yards381342
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-135-14
Penalties8-703-34
Possession33:5426:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
11/23, 117 YDS
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
28 CAR, 227 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Oliver
4 REC, 33 YDS
Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
19/37, 221 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevon Latulas
14 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrone Scott
5 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 8 yds to the MoSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Celdon Manning run for 1 yd to the MoSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 24

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass incomplete short left to Oliver,Bryce PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Braswell,Montrae) 15 yards from YSU24 to YSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.01

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 30 yds to the MoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Alexander for 5 yds to the MoSt 36

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 10 yds to the MoSt 26

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Colt McFadden 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kevon Latulas run for 6 yds to the MoSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Kevon Latulas run for 9 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 4 yds to the MoSt 45

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Kevon Latulas run for 7 yds to the YngSt 48 Kevon Latulas fumbled, recovered by MoSt Tevita Fuimaono for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jason Shelley run for 9 yds to the YngSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.29

Kevon Latulas run for 5 yds to the YngSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 10 yds to the YngSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 3 yds to the YngSt 34

4th & 3Punt+11 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 42 yds , Naveon Mitchell returns for 11 yds to the MoSt 35 Naveon Mitchell fumbled, recovered by YngSt Tyjon Jones

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 11 yds to the MoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the MoSt 24

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the MoSt 21

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dra Rushton run for 4 yds to the MoSt 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 yds

Colt McFadden 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Celdon Manning run for 15 yds to the MoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Jason Shelley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 35

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the MoSt 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Latrell Fordham

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Larry Wright III

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 4 yds to the MoSt 34

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds , Randy Smith returns for 8 yds to the YngSt 27

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.12

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 43 yds to the MoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds to the MoSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 9 yds to the MoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the MoSt 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Latrell Fordham

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass incomplete short right to Oliver,Bryce broken up by Braswell,Montrae PENALTY YSU False Start 5 yards from MSU10 to MSU15. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MSU15 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Field Goal Good+42 yds

Colt McFadden 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+56 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 58 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 56 yds to the YngSt 37

1st & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the YngSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 11 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 8 yds to the YngSt 17

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 15 yds to the YngSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+3 yds

Celdon Manning run for 3 yds to the YngSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jason Shelley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 65 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 23 yds to the YngSt 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 12 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Mitch Davidson run for 3 yds to the MoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the MoSt 48

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the MoSt 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Latrell Fordham

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU False Start (Merryman,Sam) 5 yards from MSU48 to YSU47. NO PLAY.

4th & 14Punt+1 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 37 yds , Montrae Braswell returns for 1 yd to the MoSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 26 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Alex Howard) to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jason Shelley run for 4 yds to the YngSt 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 4 yds to the YngSt 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 16 yds to the YngSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jahod Booker

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.12

Jason Shelley sacked by Michael Voitus for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 28

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 20 yds Terique Owens fumbled, recovered by YngSt Caleb Burr

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 10

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 16

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 10 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.31

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 26 yds to the MISSOURIST 24 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kevin Ellis) to the MoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the MoSt 9

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the MoSt 5

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.43

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the MoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 45 yds , Siale Suliafu return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Tripping Personal Foul (Marcus Hooker) to the YngSt 35

1st & 17Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.59

Kevon Latulas run for 35 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 57 yds , Natavious Payne return for 25 yds to the YngSt 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass complete short middle to McLaughlin,Jaleel for 0 yards to the YSU38 PENALTY YSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from YSU38 to YSU33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Max Tomczak

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the MoSt 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 10 yds to the MoSt 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.81

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 18 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 3 yds to the MoSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the MoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jake Benio for 16 yds to the MoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the MoSt 13

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 11

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Merryman) declined

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Colt McFadden 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 62 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 26 yds to the MoSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 4 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevon Latulas run for 5 yds to the MoSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 19 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 3 yds to the YngSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Kevon Latulas run for 9 yds to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jose Pizano 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 61 yds , Natavious Payne return for 16 yds to the YngSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.03

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Alexander for 17 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 65 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 58 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 8 yds to the MoSt 43 MISSOURI ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (7 Yards) to the MoSt 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 9 yds to the MoSt 17

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Jason Shelley pass complete to Hunter Wood for 6 yds to the MoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.50

Jason Shelley sacked by Deamontae Diggs for a loss of 8 yards to the MoSt 15

3rd & 18Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.40

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 23 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Hunter Wood

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Lance Mason

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.55

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 22 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.66

Celdon Manning run for 28 yds to the YngSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jason Shelley run for 3 yds to the YngSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.92

Tyrone Scott 9 Yd pass from Jason Shelley (Jason Shelley Pass to Kevon Latulas for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 65 yds , Natavious Payne return for 25 yds to the YngSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Luke Hensley

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kevon Latulas run for no gain to the MoSt 22

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Celdon Manning run for 8 yds to the MoSt 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds , Randy Smith returns for 3 yds to the YngSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 2 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete to Jaleel McLaughlin

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Davidson,Mitch pass incomplete short left to Tomczak,Max PENALTY YSU Holding offsetting MSU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Mitch Davidson run for 10 yds to the YngSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 41

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 42

4th & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.09

Mitch Davidson sacked by Devin Goree for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevon Latulas run for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Kevon Latulas run for 5 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 27

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 29

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play